scholarly journals Stochastic modelling of wind and its implication for wildfire spread predictions

1998 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 179-185
Author(s):  
Morten Grum

On evaluating the present or future state of integrated urban water systems, sewer drainage models, with rainfall as primary input, are often used to calculate the expected return periods of given detrimental acute pollution events and the uncertainty thereof. The model studied in the present paper incorporates notions of physical theory in a stochastic model of water level and particulate chemical oxygen demand (COD) at the overflow point of a Dutch combined sewer system. A stochastic model based on physical mechanisms has been formulated in continuous time. The extended Kalman filter has been used in conjunction with a maximum likelihood criteria and a non-linear state space formulation to decompose the error term into system noise terms and measurement errors. The bias generally obtained in deterministic modelling, by invariably and often inappropriately assuming all error to result from measurement inaccuracies, is thus avoided. Continuous time stochastic modelling incorporating physical, chemical and biological theory presents a possible modelling alternative. These preliminary results suggest that further work is needed in order to fully appreciate the method's potential and limitations in the field of urban runoff pollution modelling.


1992 ◽  
Vol 57 (10) ◽  
pp. 2100-2112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimír Kudrna ◽  
Pavel Hasal ◽  
Andrzej Rochowiecki

A process of segregation of two distinct fractions of solid particles in a rotating horizontal drum mixer was described by stochastic model assuming the segregation to be a diffusion process with varying diffusion coefficient. The model is based on description of motion of particles inside the mixer by means of a stochastic differential equation. Results of stochastic modelling were compared to the solution of the corresponding Kolmogorov equation and to results of earlier carried out experiments.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
pp. 7046
Author(s):  
Jorge Francisco Ciprián-Sánchez ◽  
Gilberto Ochoa-Ruiz ◽  
Lucile Rossi ◽  
Frédéric Morandini

Wildfires stand as one of the most relevant natural disasters worldwide, particularly more so due to the effect of climate change and its impact on various societal and environmental levels. In this regard, a significant amount of research has been done in order to address this issue, deploying a wide variety of technologies and following a multi-disciplinary approach. Notably, computer vision has played a fundamental role in this regard. It can be used to extract and combine information from several imaging modalities in regard to fire detection, characterization and wildfire spread forecasting. In recent years, there has been work pertaining to Deep Learning (DL)-based fire segmentation, showing very promising results. However, it is currently unclear whether the architecture of a model, its loss function, or the image type employed (visible, infrared, or fused) has the most impact on the fire segmentation results. In the present work, we evaluate different combinations of state-of-the-art (SOTA) DL architectures, loss functions, and types of images to identify the parameters most relevant to improve the segmentation results. We benchmark them to identify the top-performing ones and compare them to traditional fire segmentation techniques. Finally, we evaluate if the addition of attention modules on the best performing architecture can further improve the segmentation results. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that evaluates the impact of the architecture, loss function, and image type in the performance of DL-based wildfire segmentation models.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. e29406 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melanie I. Stefan ◽  
David P. Marshall ◽  
Nicolas Le Novère

1996 ◽  
Vol 82 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 303-330 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Reynolds ◽  
Jagannathan Gomatam

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