Simple Moving Average as a Risk Management Method in Main Asset Classes

Author(s):  
Lukas Macijauskas
1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 333-346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fred J. Heemstra ◽  
Rob J. Kusters

Most software projects take place in a volatile environment in which many dangers exist that may affect the successful outcome of the project. After completion of the project an evaluation may show that many of the problems encountered during the project could have been foreseen before they actually occurred. Risk management is an approach that is aimed at predicting the occurrence of this type of problem and at taking counter measures to either prevent them from affecting the project or to soften their impact. In this paper the basic activities related to risk management are described. Furthermore a concrete method aimed at supporting risk management is presented. This method has been used successfully in practice. Some of the results obtained by using it are presented on the basis of five cases. Some conclusions are that: (1) the use of a short and structured checklist will ease identification of and discussions about risks, (2) a risk management method in which explicit use is made of a group related approach, involving all parties, will increase reliability and acceptance of the results, and (3) involvement of a neutral process risk advisor will further both the successful use of the method and the acceptance of the results.


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 193
Author(s):  
Chang-Youl Choi ◽  
Hyung-Bum Ham

Author(s):  
Ikhtiar Faahakhododo ◽  
Indra Dwi Rianto

In the development of a software, there are several aspects that must be taken to ensure that the process can produce a useful product and make a profit. This article clarified some of the methods of risk management exist. There was two techniques to determine the risks used in this study, those were Metrics of Process Structure and Referential Model or could be referred as the Comparison to the Referential Model technique. That technique will produce Software Process Meta Model, Model of Risk Management, and Manage Risks in Project models. Those models were used to help managers in mapping the risks of the project.


2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 153
Author(s):  
Ari Christianti

Financial risk model evaluation or backtesting is a key part of the internal model’s approach to market risk management as laid out by the Basle Committee on Banking Supervision. Using daily exchange rate from January 2006-February 2008, will be compared measuring volatility between EWMA (Exponential Weighted Moving Average) and GARCH (Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heterocedasticity). The results show that GARCH methods have considerably better power properties in measuring the volatility than the EWMA methods. However, the number of exceptions from the GARCH model, although much less than the EWMA model but the numbers were still above 5% and 1% (confidence level of 95% and 99%). The arguments for explained this finding is a pressure from stakeholders or the existence of an economic events that result in changes in exposure due to the different policies. As a result, the VaR model would be inaccurate to reality.Keywords: volatility, backtesting, EWMA, and GARCH


2016 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 201-221
Author(s):  
ChangYoul Choi ◽  
HyungBum Ham

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