IMPACT ASSESSMENT FOR CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE MIDORI RIVER BASIN WITH LARGE ENSEMBLE CLIMATE SIMULATION DATA

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
AKIHIRO HASHIMOTO ◽  
KENICHI YAMAGUCHI ◽  
TOSHIMITSU KOMATSU
Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2141 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saddique ◽  
Usman ◽  
Bernhofer

Projected climate changes for the 21st century may cause great uncertainties on the hydrology of a river basin. This study explored the impacts of climate change on the water balance and hydrological regime of the Jhelum River Basin using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Two downscaling methods (SDSM, Statistical Downscaling Model and LARS-WG, Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator), three Global Circulation Models (GCMs), and two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for three future periods (2030s, 2050s, and 2090s) were used to assess the climate change impacts on flow regimes. The results exhibited that both downscaling methods suggested an increase in annual streamflow over the river basin. There is generally an increasing trend of winter and autumn discharge, whereas it is complicated for summer and spring to conclude if the trend is increasing or decreasing depending on the downscaling methods. Therefore, the uncertainty associated with the downscaling of climate simulation needs to consider, for the best estimate, the impact of climate change, with its uncertainty, on a particular basin. The study also resulted that water yield and evapotranspiration in the eastern part of the basin (sub-basins at high elevation) would be most affected by climate change. The outcomes of this study would be useful for providing guidance in water management and planning for the river basin under climate change.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allison H. Baker ◽  
Dorit M. Hammerling ◽  
Sheri A. Mickleson ◽  
Haiying Xu ◽  
Martin B. Stolpe ◽  
...  

Abstract. High-resolution earth system model simulations generate enormous data volumes, and retaining the data from these simulations often strains institutional storage resources. Further, these exceedingly large storage requirements negatively impact science objectives by forcing reductions in data output frequency, simulation length, or ensemble size, for example. To lessen data volumes from the Community Earth System Model (CESM), we advocate the use of lossy data compression techniques. While lossy data compression does not exactly preserve the original data (as lossless compression does), lossy techniques have an advantage in terms of smaller storage requirements. To preserve the integrity of the scientific simulation data, the effects of lossy data compression on the original data should, at a minimum, not be statistically distinguishable from the natural variability of the climate system, and previous preliminary work with data from CESM has shown this goal to be attainable. However, to ultimately convince climate scientists that it is acceptable to use lossy data compression, we provide climate scientists with access to publicly available climate data that has undergone lossy data compression. In particular, we report on the results of a lossy data compression experiment with output from the CESM Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) Community Project, in which we challenge climate scientists to examine features of the data relevant to their interests, and attempt to identify which of the ensemble members have been compressed and reconstructed. We find that while detecting distinguishing features is certainly possible, the compression effects noticeable in these features are often unimportant or disappear in post-processing analyses. In addition, we perform several analyses that directly compare the original data to the reconstructed data to investigate the preservation, or lack thereof, of specific features critical to climate science. Overall, we conclude that applying lossy data compression to climate simulation data is both advantageous in terms of data reduction and generally acceptable in terms of effects on scientific results.


Author(s):  
Asif M. BHATTI ◽  
Toshio KOIKE ◽  
Patricia Ann JARANILLA-SANCHEZ ◽  
Mohamed RASMY ◽  
Kohei YOSHIMURA ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 79-86
Author(s):  
Morihiro HARADA ◽  
Yasuyuki MARUYA ◽  
Toshiharu KOJIMA ◽  
Daisuke MATSUOKA ◽  
Yujin NAKAGAWA ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Carolyne W. L. Andrade ◽  
Suzana M. G. L. Montenegro ◽  
Abelardo A. A. Montenegro ◽  
José R. de S. Lima ◽  
Raghavan Srinivasan ◽  
...  

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