Risk Analysis of the Real Estate Financial Market Based on Risk Energy Theory

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 15-26
Author(s):  
Mu Ling Ling ◽  
Li Yuan ◽  
Cheng Ya Wei

Beginning with real estate financial risk and risk energy theory, combined with empirical research, this article analyzes real estate financial markets in different stages and calculates the profit and loss (the ratio of the release of risk energy to the risk energy) in order to judge whether the risk energy has exceeded the system tolerance and to play a warning role. First, this article analyzes uncertain factors in the real estate market, builds a real estate supply and demand network, determines system risk characteristics, corresponding profit and loss categories, quantitative and qualitative factors, and the risk of energy release and the collapse of boundary conditions. The real estate market is approached using both univariate and multivariate analyses, dividing the real estate market into three stages and probing mergers and transformation conditions for different levels of risk. Finally, the authors analyze whether the financial risk energy released by real estate market exceeds the capacity of the system by calculating probability, risk, which play a warning role.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. s232-s242
Author(s):  
Olha Balabash ◽  
Valerii Ilin ◽  
Nataliia Poprozman ◽  
Inna Kuznetsova ◽  
Dmytro Shushpanov ◽  
...  

The aim of the article is to substantiate the theoretical and methodological support for the formation and implementation of the content strategy of a construction company.  The article considers the formation of content strategy, its place in the management of communications of the enterprise. The following methods were used in the course of the research: the method of statistical analysis (for the analysis of the tendency of the real estate market development of Ukraine); analysis, synthesis, logical and theoretical generalization – to specify the factors of supply and demand in the real estate market; graphical method, table method (to visualize the results of the study); method of calculating specific indicators of communicative activity (CPC (Cost Per Click), CPA (Cost Per Action), CTR (Click Through Rate)) for analysing trends in traffic to the company's website and identifying alternative sources of traffic. The specifics of developing a content strategy taking into account the peculiarities of the company's construction industry are shown. An analysis of trends in the real estate market of Ukraine is carried out based on official statistics. The dynamics of the volume of construction works is analysed, the housing price indices in Ukraine are determined and the factors of supply and demand in the real estate market are specified. The analysis of communicative efficiency of the web-system of the construction company is carried out, as a result of which, measures for improvement of management of its external communications by substantiation of variants of advancement on the Internet are developed. This is done by analysing trends in traffic to the company's website and identifying alternative sources of traffic. The developed measures will increase the efficiency of management of the construction company. The article proposed a procedure for analysing the web-system of a construction company based on attendance indicators and search activity, which allows identifying alternative sources of traffic and developing appropriate measures to manage communications of the enterprise in order to achieve their efficiency. The practical significance lies in the fact that the developed recommendations for the formation of the communication strategy of the construction company can be further used to intensify the promotion of the company's services in the real estate market and attract investment.


2013 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-28 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karolina Czechowska

Abstract The article aimed to present the dependencies between the transparency of the real estate market and the level of foreign investments realized on it. For developers on the real estate market, a key element, other than potential profits, may be the market’s transparency. The main feature of a transparent real estate market is easy access to credible data concerning supply and demand, rent, property prices, transactions, vacant houses and capitalization rates that could be the basis for analysis. Market transparency does not guarantee the success of an investment, but considerably influences investment decisions and the level of risk connected with them.


2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-96
Author(s):  
Justyna Brzezicka

Abstract Technical analysis (TA) and its different aspects are widely used to study the capital market. In the traditional approach, this analysis is used to determine the probability of changes in current rates on the basis of their past changes, accounting for factors which had, have or may have an influence on shaping the supply and demand of a given asset. In the practical sense, TA is a set of techniques used for assessing the value of an asset based on the analysis of the asset's trajectories as well as statistical tools. The work assumes three research objectives: 1) a review of tools applied in technical analysis, 2) an attempt at implementing selected tools of technical analysis for analyzing the real estate market (REM), 3) an assessment of the possibilities of implementing selected tools for assessing the real estate market on the example of the Olsztyn residential real estate market. The research hypothesis is a presumption regarding the possibility of implementing tools used in traditional technical analysis for the analysis of the real estate market accounting for the natural limitations and specifics of the market. The work extends scientific achievements in the part regarding the methods and tools of analyzing the real estate market as well as the connections between the real estate market and the capital market.


2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 79-85
Author(s):  
Maria Chernyshova ◽  
Arina Malenkaya ◽  
Tatyana Mezhuyeva

In the real estate market price depends on supply and demand is formed under the influence of social, economic and physical factors. The article presents the results of the analysis of pricing factors in the real estate market, the forecast of real estate prices in 2019.


2014 ◽  
Vol 11 ◽  
pp. 527-535
Author(s):  
Leopoldo Sdino ◽  
Paola Castagnino

One of the main problems in defining strategies for the real estate market (whether in terms of planning and, therefore, in public administration, or whether of a considerably more speculative nature, and therefore, in the private sector) lies in the operator’s less than perfect knowledge of the aspects of supply and demand, due to the real estate market’s characteristics. The prerequisite to starting or sustaining virtuous dynamics in territorial development is knowledge of the real estate market, an area that has now been widely studied, in terms of the potential for economic, social and territorial development. This paper proposes the application of a synthetic index, the Housing Affordability Index (HAI), which was developed in detail at the municipality level to identify areas where housing is inadequate. The territorial scope includes Northwest regions of Italy, Liguria and Lombardy. HAI describes what happened and must then be understood conducing multi-disciplinary examinations, intended to explain why it happened.


Land ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 1283
Author(s):  
Weiwei Li ◽  
Lisheng Weng ◽  
Kaixu Zhao ◽  
Sidong Zhao ◽  
Ping Zhang

Inventory management not only determines the health of the real estate market development, but also affects the regional economy and the capacity of sustainable social development. In this paper we use the DPSIR framework to integrate multi-dimensional influence factors, such as economic, social, and environmental factors, to construct a real estate inventory management performance evaluation and obstacle diagnosis model, and conduct an empirical study on 31 Chinese provinces and cities. The results show that: first, China’s real estate inventory is huge in size, with significant spatial heterogeneity and agglomeration; second, China’s real estate inventory management performance is unsatisfactory and still shows no improvement despite the strong policy intervention of the central and local governments; third, the obstacle factors of real estate inventory management are becoming increasingly diversified and complicated, with great differences among provinces—significantly, Profits of Real Estate Enterprises, Disposable Income of Urban Residents, Financial Revenue, Per Capital GDP, Resident Population, Gross Domestic Product, Total Retail Sales of Social Consumer Goods, Financial Expense, and Loans Balance of Financial Institutes are critical obstacle factors; and fourth, it is suggested that, on the basis of mastering the actual conditions of supply and demand in the real estate market, differentiated and precise response strategies should be formulated by integrating near-term and long-term goals, direct and indirect forces, and administrative and market instruments.


2011 ◽  
Vol 280 ◽  
pp. 250-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wang Hu Sun ◽  
Shu Chen Xu ◽  
Li Sha Li

The purpose of this paper sets forth the various hazards of vacant rooms. By analyzing the phenomena of the Housing and relevant data, the paper demonstrates the urban and town housing in China is not in short supply in the aggregate and the discrepancy between housing supply and demand is due to the real estate market speculation and investment which have led to the massive housing vacancy. These vacant houses waste a lot of resources, impact the life of other inhabitants, impede the developing process of the city’s livability, distort the relationship between the supply and demand in the real estate market, and push up the house prices. Therefore, the reduction of vacant housing is more important than the implementation of green building, this conclusion, and vacant housing hazards and data are where the innovation of this article.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1065-1069 ◽  
pp. 2530-2533
Author(s):  
Bi Lin Shao ◽  
Ting Meng ◽  
Wen Juan Liu

This paper takes gray prediction forecasting model as a tool to forecast the real estate market in Urumqi from development and investment, construction housing area and sale of housing area. The difference between the actual value and the predicted prediction value is small, with high accuracy. Predictive value can be reflected in the coming period of the real estate market situation in Urumqi. From the predicted results, we could know that there is a lot potential in Urumqi real estate market in next few years and investment in real estate the construction housing area, housing area of real estate sale will get a larger annual growth. In general, there will be increasing potential in the development of the real estate market in Urumqi. Meanwhile, Urumqi real estate market will tend to rationally develop under the regulation of government in the next few years.


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Guihang Guo ◽  
Zhaohui Wang

The study aims to find whether the concept of metaphorical “BUBBLE” can assist us in understanding thephenomena of US housing bubble appearing from 2001 to 2007. With the node of “housing bubble”, the researcherssearch the collocates of it and dig into the context of highly frequent collocates. The study finds: 1)the collocates of“housing bubble”, mainly categorized in “v+N”, “n/adj+N” and “N+v”, reflect the 5 stages of housing bubbledevelopment and the context explains the cause and effect of housing bubble in every stage; 2)the maincorrespondences of BUBBLE metaphor have been concluded in the real estate market; 3)the combination of bubblemetaphor and orientation metaphor can explain the demand and supply curve of real estate. As a result, it can assistbusiness English teachers in teaching the supply and demand curve of the housing bubble.


Author(s):  
Rosangela A. S. Fernandes ◽  
Thais Pinto da Rocha Torres ◽  
Fábio José Rodrigues Ferreira

Nesse artigo, realizou-se uma análise descritiva e estatística das variáveis que representam o mercado imobiliário para locação na cidade de Ouro Preto. Além disso, realizou-se uma caracterização das duas forças econômicas (oferta e demanda) que influenciam o funcionamento deste mercado. Verificou-se que os imóveis disponíveis para locação no município apresentam amplo conjunto de peculiaridades. Deve-se ressaltar que as características do município (cidade histórica, universitária e presença da atividade mineradora) influenciam diretamente sobre este mercado. Existe uma escassez de imóveis com características que atendam a demanda dos potenciais locadores. Os preços dos imóveis são relativamente elevados. The Real Estate Market For Lease in Ouro Preto, Minas Gerais In this article, a descriptive and statistical analysis was performed on the variables that represent the real estate market for rent in the city of Ouro Preto. In addition, a characterization of the two economic forces (supply and demand) that influenced the functioning of this market was carried out. It was verified that the properties available for rent in the municipality present a wide set of peculiarities. It should be noted that the characteristics of the municipality (historical city, university and presence of mining activity) directly influence this market. There is a shortage of properties with features that meet the demand of potential landlords. Real estate prices are relatively high. Keywords: Real estate market. Ouro Preto. Demand. Offer. El Mercado Inmobiliario para Alquiler en Ouro Preto, Minas Gerais En ese artículo, se realizó un análisis descriptivo y estadístico de las variables que representan el mercado inmobiliario para alquiler en la ciudad de Ouro Preto. Además, se realizó una caracterización de las dos fuerzas económicas (oferta y demanda) que influencian el funcionamiento de este mercado. Se verificó que los inmuebles disponibles para alquiler en el municipio presentan un amplio conjunto de peculiaridades. Se debe resaltar que las características del municipio (ciudad histórica, universitaria y presencia de la actividad minera) influencian directamente sobre este mercado. Existe una escasez de inmuebles con características que atiendan la demanda de los potenciales locadores. Los precios de los inmuebles son relativamente altos.


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