A Zonal Watershed Hydrological Model Considering Land use and Land Cover Change and its Application
In order to evaluate quantitatively the hydrology and water resources effects of land use and land cover change (LUCC), a zonal watershed hydrological model considering land use and land cover change (ZWHM-LUCC) was developed. According to the daily rainfall, evaporation and discharge data of Wuding River Basin during 1980~2000, the parameters of the model were calibrated and verified. The results show that coefficient of water balance (R) is 1.004 and the qualified rate of annual runoff depth (DR) is86.67% during calibration period 1986~2000 and the R is 0.938 and the DR is 66.67% during calibration verification 1980~1985. The calculated results indicate that this model has good adaptability in Wuding River Basin. The different scenarios of land use/land cover were analyzed by the model, with 2000 year as base year, 13 scenarios were designed, which be helpful to study water-economy-ecology interactions and natural-social dualistic, and provide the scientific basis for Wuding river basin water and soil conservation planning and water resources planning.