Does Brownian Risk Matter in Debt or Equity Issuance and Repurchase Decision in Indian Non-Financial Companies?

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-69
Author(s):  
Pankaj Sinha ◽  
Shalini Agnihotri

External commercial borrowings (ECBs) of Indian non-financial firms have grown by 107 % in past few years. Looking at the high reliance of firms on external debt, this paper investigates the effect of foreign exchange, interest rate and firm specific risk on the debt issuance and retirement decision. It also investigates the factors affecting equity issuance and retirement decision of the firms. Foreign exchange risk and interest rate risk is estimated using stochastic volatility and GARCH (1,1) methods. Firm specific risk is calculated using Black-Scholes Merton model for company valuation. The results highlight that interest rate risk negatively affects the debt issuance and positively affects debt retirement decision of the firms. However, the foreign exchange risk does not affect debt issuance and retirement decision. Firm-specific risk negatively affects propensity of debt issuance of firms but plays no role in debt retirement. Foreign exchange risk, firm-specific risk, and profitability negatively affect propensity of issuance of debt to issuance of equity. This result supports the view that risky firms are more likely to finance their capital needs via new equity issues rather than by new debt issues to avoid the high-risk premium and to limit the likelihood of bankruptcy.

SIMAK ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 52-68
Author(s):  
Olivia Luthfiah Mufida ◽  
Gusganda Suria Manda

This research was conducted to show the importance of company managers in managing stock returns during inflation, increases in interest rates, and increases in foreign exchange rates. The purpose of this study is to analyze the effect of inflation risk, interest rate risk, and foreign exchange risk on stock returns, 2012-2019 study period. The method in this research is using multiple linear regression analysis. Techniques in conducting this research using quantitative descriptive analysis and obtained 8 companies as research samples. The results of this study indicate that inflation risk has an insignificant effect and the relationship is partially positive influence on stock returns, interest rate risk has no significant effect and partially negative influence on stock returns, foreign exchange risk has a significant effect and the relationship is negative influence significantly partial to stock returns. This research is inseparable from the limitations of the researcher. For investors and potential investors who want to invest, it is better if they pay more attention to the company's financial condition so that investors can find out whether it is feasible or not to invest in the chosen company so that investors do not experience losses.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (11) ◽  
pp. 48-62
Author(s):  
Viktor V. Erokhin ◽  

New ideas make it clear that attempts by the international community to support microfinance institutions and provide them with borrowers do not always take into account the most serious financial risks of lenders. This study examines the exposure of microfinance institutions to liquidity, interest rate and foreign exchange (FX) risks. Analyzing data from financial statements of microfinance institutions, it can be concluded that the microfinance sector faces minimal liquidity risk, high interest rate risk and lower than commonly as-sumed foreign exchange risk. Linking risk exposure to institutional characteristics, the data show that legal status and regional affiliation correlate with risk exposure, but regulatory quality does not. The results indicate that the lender community may not expect great benefits from expanding the array of ongoing measures from credit market regulators to mitigate liquidity or foreign exchange risk.


Author(s):  
Sisimonda Kinya Mwanja

The main aim of the investigation was to analyze the effect of operational and market risk exposures on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya. The specific objectives of the study were to; assess the effect of operating expense risk exposure on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya; To establish the effect of operation efficiency risk exposure on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya; Effect of interest rate risk exposure on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya; Effect of foreign exchange rate risk exposure on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya. Effect of operational and market risk exposure on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya. The study used panel data between the years 2010-2019 which was 10 years period. The results revealed that at both bivariate and multivariate regression operating expense risk, operating efficiency and foreign exchange risk exposure had a significant effect on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya. Only interest rate risk exposure did not have a significant effect on the financial performance of DT-SACCOs in Kenya.


This chapter discusses the method's application to foreign exchange risk management by elaborating how to use foreign exchange options for hedging the interest rate risk. The problem is to determine how many European Put options to purchase for optimal hedging of the foreign exchange risk: 1) Stochastic Optimisation is used to construct Efficient Frontier of optimal hedging strategies of the foreign exchange risk with minimal Standard Deviation; 2) Monte Carlo simulation is utilised to stochastically calculate and measure the Total Amount Hedged (US $), Variance, Standard Deviation and VAR of Efficient Frontier optimal hedging strategies; 3) Six Sigma process capability metrics are also stochastically calculated against desired specified target limits for Total Amount Hedged and associated VAR of Efficient Frontier optimal hedging strategies; 4) Simulation results are analysed and the optimal hedging strategy is selected based on the criteria of minimal VAR.


2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 184-189
Author(s):  
Светлана Черниченко ◽  
Svetlana Chernichenko ◽  
Роман Котов ◽  
Roman Kotov ◽  
Светлана Гильмулина ◽  
...  

Multifaceted, multifactor and multicomponent nature of credit risk makes it possible to consider it as an integral hypothetical unit which consists of the autonomous diverse segments specifying risky situations. As the given article is focused on the mechanism of loan fund circulation within foreign currency loan the author considers the combination of credit, interest rate, foreign exchange and inflation risks within the aggregate (total, combined) credit risk. Foreign exchange and inflation risks generate special interest in relation to evaluation procedures as there can be statutory regulation of interest rate risk and well-functioning mechanism of debt capacity analysis as the main factor of credit risk. As commercial loans and bank credits taken by Russian companies are wide spread the authors of the article suggest an innovative procedure of aggregate credit risk assessment considering agricultural companies, as well as companies belonging to chemical and machine-building industries as “pure borrowers” (debtors). The research has a set sequence of procedures. During the first stage the authors structured a risky situation in the lending process, determined specific constituents and performed their further strategic agreement. The second stage implies the analysis of the possibilities and specific characteristics of the preliminary segment assessment of the risk level. The third stage involves the development of experimental synthetic approach to the segment assessment of the aggregate credit risk in case of foreign exchange rate and interest rate volatility when there are inflation expectations. The procedure considers the following scenarios: 1) isolated assessment of inflation risk; 2) isolated assessment of exchange rate risk; 3) complex assessment of inflation and exchange rate risks.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Deny Ismanto

This study discusses liquidity risk, credit risk, operational risk, and interest rates risk on finance performance at the National Private Foreign Exchange Commercial Bank listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2013-2017. In this study, the independent variables are liquidity risk, credit risk, operational risk and interest rate risk and the dependent variable is financial performance. The object of research is the National Private Foreign Exchange Private Bank listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2013-2017. The population in this study was 23 banks. The sampling technique using purposive sampling method, based on research criteria, the research sample won 11 banks. The analysis tool used is panel regression data with eviews 6. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the official website pages of the Indonesia Stock Exchange and Bank Indonesia. Partially, the results of the study indicate that negative liquidity risk is not significant to finance, negative credit risk is significant to finance, operational risk is significantly negative to financial performance, and interest rates increase significantly positive to finance. Simultaneously liquidity risk, credit risk, operational risk and interest rate risk affect financial performance.


2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aman Chugh ◽  
Renuka Sharma ◽  
Kiran Mehta

In the recent globalised financial markets, financial markets are more integrated which leads to more foreign exchange risk for firms. In such scenario currency derivatives are top most operational hedging strategy to manage foreign exchange risk. This scenario is different in developed and emerging markets as turnover of derivatives is growing swiftly in emerging markets and uses of currency derivatives is common but lower in comparison to the interest rate derivatives. In emerging markets (Hong Kong, Singapore and Brazil) use of currency derivatives is fifty per cent of total derivative traded follow by equity derivatives and interest rate derivatives (Mihaljek and Packer, 2010). The benefits of doing hedging have been discussed by many finance experts. These include classic contribution by Miller and Modigliani (1958) and then by Smith and Stulz (1985). Several studies have employed the questionnaire approach for the analysis of exchange-rate exposure management in non-financial firms (e.g. Bodnar and Gebhardt, 1999; Hakkarainen et al., 1998; Bodnar et al., 1998; Marshall, 2000; Ceuster et al., 2000; Mallin et al., 2001). The most refered study is Bodnar et al. (1998), which considered publicly traded U.S. firms. The present study examines the forex risk management by SMEs and unlisted non-financial forms in the form of literature review.


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