The Effects of El Niño-South Oscillation on the Winter Haze
Pollution of China
Abstract. It is reported in previous studies that El Niño-South Oscillation (ENSO) influences not only the summer monsoon, but also the winter monsoon over East Asia. This contains some clues that ENSO may affect the winter haze pollution of China, which has become a serious problem in recent decades, through influencing the winter climate of East Asia. In this work, we explore the effects of ENSO on the winter (from December to February) haze pollution of China statistically and numerically. Statistical results reveal that the haze days of southern China tend to be less (more) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter; whereas the winter haze days of northern and eastern China have no significant relationship with ENSO. Results from numerical simulations show that under the emission level of aerosols for the year 2010, the winter-average atmospheric contents of anthropogenic aerosols over southern China are generally more (less) than normal in El Niño (La Niña) winter. It is because that the transports of aerosols from South and Southeast Asia to southern China are enhanced (weakened), which mask the better (worse) scavenging conditions for aerosols in El Niño (La Niña) winter. The probability density function (PDF) of the simulated daily surface concentrations of aerosols over southern China indicates that the region tends to have less clean and moderate (heavy) haze days, but more heavy (moderate) haze days in El Niño (La Niña) winter.