The Role of the NECC in a Strong El Niño.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Webb
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
Ekman Transport ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
The North ◽  
Ocean Science ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
North Equatorial Counter Current

<p>An analysis of archived data from the NEMO 1/12th degree global ocean model shows the importance of the North Equatorial Counter Current (NECC) in the development of the strong 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 El Niños.  The model results indicate that in a normal year the coreof warm water in the NECC is diluted by the surface Ekman transport, by geostrophic inflow and by tropical instability waves. During the development of the 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 El Niños, these processes had reduced effect at the longitudes of warmest equatorial temperatures. During the autumns of 1982 and 1997, the speed of the NECC was also increased by a stronger-than-normal annual Rossby wave and other changes in sea level in the western Pacific.  The resulting increased transport of warm water by the NECC resulted in water with temperatures above 28C reaching the eastern Pacific.  This appears to have been a major factor in moving the centre of deep atmospheric convection eastwards across the Pacific.</p><p>Note:  This is based on the paper published in Ocean Science.  An oral presentation is possible.</p>

scholarly journals On the role of the North Equatorial Counter Current during a strong El Niño

Ocean Science ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 633-660 ◽  
Author(s):  
David John Webb
Keyword(s):  
Ocean Model ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
Ekman Transport ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Instability Waves ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
North Equatorial Counter Current ◽  
Counter Current

Abstract. An analysis of archived data from the NEMO 1∕12th degree global ocean model shows the importance of the North Equatorial Counter Current (NECC) in the development of the strong 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 El Niños. The model results indicate that in a normal year the core of warm water in the NECC is diluted by the surface Ekman transport, by geostrophic inflow and by tropical instability waves. During the development of the 1982–1983 and 1997–1998 El Niños, these processes had reduced effect at the longitudes of warmest equatorial temperatures and to the west. During the autumns of 1982 and 1997, the speed of the NECC was also increased by a stronger-than-normal annual Rossby wave. The increased transport of warm water by the NECC due to these changes resulted in warm water reaching the far eastern Pacific and appears to have been a major factor in moving the centre of deep atmospheric convection eastwards across the Pacific.

scholarly journals On the Role of the North Equatorial Counter Current in Transporting Heat during a Strong El Niño

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Webb
Keyword(s):  
Heat Transport ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Ekman Transport ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Atmospheric Convection ◽  
Tropical Instability Waves ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific

Abstract. An analysis of archived data from the Nemo 1/12th degree global ocean model shows the importance of the NECC in the development of the 1982-83 El Niño. The model results indicate that heat transport by the NECC is usually restricted by a combination of Ekman transport, geostrophic inflow and tropical instability waves. During the development of an El Niño these may be reduced near to and to the west of the region of increased atmospheric convection in the Pacific. This allows increased heat transport eastwards by the NECC which in turn may move the atmospheric convection further east across the Pacific Ocean.

scholarly journals On the Indonesian throughflow in the OCCAM 1/4 degree ocean model

2007 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 325-370 ◽  
Author(s):  
U. W. Humphries ◽  
D. J. Webb
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Indonesian Throughflow ◽  
Island Rule ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Pass Through

Abstract. The Indonesian Throughflow is analysed in two runs of the OCCAM 1/4 degree global ocean model, one using monthly climatological winds and one using ECMWF analysed six-hourly winds for the period 1993 to 1998. The long-term model throughflow agrees with observations and the value predicted by Godfrey's Island Rule. The Island Rule has some skill in predicting the annual signal each year but is poor at predicting year to year and shorter term variations in the total flow especially in El Nino years. The spectra of transports in individual passages show significant differences between those connecting the region to the Pacific Ocean and those connecting with the Indian Ocean. This implies that different sets of waves are involved in the two regions. Vertical profiles of transport are in reasonable agreement with observations but the model overestimates the near surface transport through the Lombok Strait and the dense overflow from the Pacific through the Lifamatola Strait into the deep Banda Sea. In both cases the crude representation of the passages by the model appears responsible. In the north the model shows, as expected, that the largest transport is via the Makassar Strait. However this is less than expected and instead there is significant flow via the Halmahera Sea. If Godfrey's Island Rule is correct and the throughflow is forced by the northward flow between Australia and South America, then the Halmahers Sea route should be important. It is the most southerly route around New Guinea to the Indian Ocean and there is no apparent reason why the flow should go further north in order to pass through the Makassar Strait. The model result thus raises the question of why in reality the Makassar Strait route appears to dominate the throughflow.

scholarly journals On the Indonesian Throughflow in the OCCAM 1/4 degree ocean model

Ocean Science ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 4 (3) ◽  
pp. 183-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
U. W. Humphries ◽  
D. J. Webb
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Indonesian Throughflow ◽  
Island Rule ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
The North ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
The Indian Ocean ◽  
Pass Through

Abstract. The Indonesian Throughflow is analysed in two runs of the OCCAM 1/4 degree global ocean model, one using monthly climatological winds and one using ECMWF analysed six-hourly winds for the period 1993 to 1998. The long-term model throughflow agrees with observations and the value predicted by Godfrey's Island Rule. The Island Rule has some skill in predicting the annual signal each year but is poor at predicting year to year and shorter term variations in the total flow, especially in El Niño years. The spectra of transports in individual passages show significant differences between those connecting the region to the Pacific Ocean and those connecting with the Indian Ocean. On investigation we found that changes in the northern transports were strongly correlated with changes in the position of currents in the Celebes Sea and off Halmahera. Vertical profiles of transport are in reasonable agreement with observations but the model overestimates the near surface transport through the Lombok Strait and the dense overflow from the Pacific through the Lifamatola Strait into the deep Banda Sea. In both cases the crude representation of the passages by the model appears responsible. In the north the model shows, as expected, that the largest transport is via the Makassar Strait. However this is less than expected and instead there is significant flow via the Halmahera Sea. If Godfrey's Island Rule is correct and the throughflow is forced by the northward flow between Australia and South America, then the Halmahers Sea route should be important. It is the most southerly route around New Guinea to the Indian Ocean and there is no apparent reason why the flow should go further north in order to pass through the Makassar Strait. The model result thus raises the question of why in reality the Makassar Strait route appears to dominate the throughflow.

scholarly journals A comparison of ocean model data and satellite observations of features affecting the growth of the North Equatorial Counter Current during the strong 1997–1998 El Niño

Ocean Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 565-574
Author(s):  
David J. Webb ◽  
Andrew C. Coward ◽  
Helen M. Snaith
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Satellite Observations ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Warm Water ◽  
The North ◽  
North Equatorial Counter Current ◽  
Counter Current

Abstract. Descriptions of the ocean's role in the El Niño usually focus on equatorial Kelvin waves and the ability of such waves to change the mean thermocline depth and the sea surface temperature (SST) in the central and eastern Pacific. In contrast, starting from a study of the transport of water with temperatures greater than 28 ∘C, sufficient to trigger deep atmospheric convection, Webb (2018) found that, during the strong El Niños of 1983–1984 and 1997–1998, advection by the North Equatorial Counter Current (NECC) had a much greater impact on sea surface temperatures than processes occurring near the Equator. Webb's analysis, which supports the scheme proposed by Wyrtki (1973, 1974), made use of archived data from a high-resolution ocean model. Previously the model had been checked in a preliminary comparison against SST observations in the equatorial Pacific, but, given the contentious nature of the new analysis, the model's behaviour in key areas needs to be checked further against observations. In this paper this is done for the 1987–1988 El Niño, making use of satellite observations of SST and sea level. SST is used to check the movement of warm water near the Equator and at the latitudes of the NECC. Sea level is used to check the model results at the Equator and at 6∘ N in the North Equatorial Trough. Sea level differences between these latitudes affect the transport of the NECC, the increased transport at the start of each strong El Niño being associated with a drop in sea level at 6∘ N in the western Pacific. Later rises in sea level at the Equator increase the transport of the NECC in mid-ocean. The variability of sea level at 6∘ N is also used to compare the strength of tropical instability waves in the model and in the observations. The model showed that in a normal year these act to dilute the temperature in the core of the NECC. However their strength declined during the development of the strong El Niños, allowing the NECC to carry warm water much further than normal across the Pacific. The results of this paper should not be taken as providing proof of the hypotheses of Wyrtki (1973, 1974) or Webb (2018) but instead as a failure of a targeted study, using satellite observations, to disprove the hypotheses.

scholarly journals On the Role of Westerly Wind Anomalies in the Development of the 1982–1983 El Niño

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David J. Webb
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Westerly Wind ◽  
The North ◽  
North Equatorial Counter Current ◽  
Counter Current

Abstract. A recent study of two strong El Niños highlighted the potential importance of a region of low sea level that developed in the western equatorial Pacific prior to the El Niños of 1982–1983 and 1997–1998. Here the cause of the low sea level in 1982 is investigated using a series of runs of a global ocean model with different wind fields and initial conditions. The results indicate that the low sea level was due to the increased wind shear that developed just north of the Equator during 1982. This generated Ekman divergence at the latitudes of the North Equatorial Trough, raising the underlying density surfaces and increasing the depth of the trough. This also increased the strength of the North Equatorial Counter Current which lies on the southern slope of the trough. The anomalous westerly winds associated with Madden Julian Oscillations are often held responsible for triggering El Niños through the generation of westerly wind bursts and the resulting equatorial Kelvin waves in the ocean. However if Webb (2018) is correct, the present results imply that a different physical process was involved in which Ekman divergence due to the same winds, increased the heat transported by the North Equatorial Counter Current early in the year and ultimately caused the strong 1982–1983 El Niño.

Using Satellite Altimeter and SST Observations of the 1997-1998 El Nino to Check the Key Ocean Processes Involved in a Strong El Nino.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Webb ◽  
Andrew Coward ◽  
Helen Snaith
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Satellite Altimeter ◽  
The North ◽  
Satellite Sst ◽  
Model Study ◽  
North Equatorial Counter Current ◽  
Equatorial Current

<p>A recent high-resolution ocean model study of the strong El Ninos of 1982-1983 and 1997-1998 highlighted a previously neglected ocean mechanism which was active during their growth.   The mechanism involved a weakening of both the Equatorial Current and the tropical instability eddies in mid-ocean.  It also involved an increase in the strength of the North Equatorial Counter Current due to the passage of the annual Rossby wave.</p><p>      This presentation reports how satellite altimeter and satellite SST data was used to validate the model results the key areas, confirming the changes in the current and eddy fields and the resulting eastward extension of the region of highest SST values.  The SST changes were sufficient to trigger new regions deep-atmospheric convection and so had the potential to have a significant impact on the development of the El Nino and the resulting changes in the large scale atmospheric circulation.</p>

scholarly journals Wind-driven transport of fresh shelf water into the upper 30 m of the Labrador Sea

Ocean Science ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 1247-1264 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lena M. Schulze Chretien ◽  
Eleanor Frajka-Williams
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Surface Waters ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Ekman Transport ◽  
Labrador Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The Labrador Sea is one of a small number of deep convection sites in the North Atlantic that contribute to the meridional overturning circulation. Buoyancy is lost from surface waters during winter, allowing the formation of dense deep water. During the last few decades, mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet has accelerated, releasing freshwater into the high-latitude North Atlantic. This and the enhanced Arctic freshwater export in recent years have the potential to add buoyancy to surface waters, slowing or suppressing convection in the Labrador Sea. However, the impact of freshwater on convection is dependent on whether or not it can escape the shallow, topographically trapped boundary currents encircling the Labrador Sea. Previous studies have estimated the transport of freshwater into the central Labrador Sea by focusing on the role of eddies. Here, we use a Lagrangian approach by tracking particles in a global, eddy-permitting (1/12∘) ocean model to examine where and when freshwater in the surface 30 m enters the Labrador Sea basin. We find that 60 % of the total freshwater in the top 100 m enters the basin in the top 30 m along the eastern side. The year-to-year variability in freshwater transport from the shelves to the central Labrador Sea, as found by the model trajectories in the top 30 m, is dominated by wind-driven Ekman transport rather than eddies transporting freshwater into the basin along the northeast.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document