Soil Moisture and Live Fuel Moisture Content as key remote sensing variables to unlock improved wildfire predictions

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florian Briquemont ◽  
Akli Benali
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Risk ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Risk Maps ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
The Impact

<p>Large wildfires are amongst the most destructive natural disasters in southern Europe, posing a serious threat to both human lives and the environment.</p><p>Although wildfire simulations and fire risk maps are already very a useful tool to assist fire managers in their decisions, the complexity of fire spread and ignition mechanisms can greatly hinder their accuracy. An important step in improving the reliability of wildfire prediction systems is to implement additional drivers of fire spread and fire risk in simulation models.</p><p>Despite their recognized importance as factors influencing fuel flammability and fire spread, soil moisture and live fuel moisture content are rarely implemented in the simulation of large wildfires due to the lack of sufficient and accurate data. Fortunately, new satellite products are giving the opportunity to assess these parameters on large areas with high temporal and spatial resolution.</p><p>The purpose of this study is twofold. First, we aimed to evaluate the capabilities of satellite data to estimate soil moisture and live fuel moisture content in different landcovers.  Secondly, we focused on the potential of these estimates for assessing fire risk and fire spread patterns of large wildfires in Portugal. Ultimately, the goal of this study is to implement these estimated variables in fire spread simulations and fire risk maps.<br><br>We compared datasets retrieved from Sentinel 1, SMAP (Soil Moisture Active Passive radiometer) and MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer) missions. Several estimators of LFMC based on spectral indices were tested and their patterns were compared with field data. Based on these estimators, we assessed the impact of LFMC and soil moisture on the extent and occurrence of large wildfires. Finally, we built a database of detailed historical wildfire progressions, which we used to evaluate the influence of soil moisture and LFMC on the velocity and direction of the fire spread.</p>

The initiation of fire spread in shrubland fuels recreated in the laboratory

2010 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matt P. Plucinski ◽  
Wendy R. Anderson ◽  
Ross A. Bradstock ◽  
A. Malcolm Gill
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Classification Tree ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Shrub Layer ◽  
Moisture Contents ◽  
Layer Density ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
The Impact

Fire-prone shrub-dominated vegetation communities cover a considerable portion of Australia, including areas fringing urban development. Near urban interfaces, they are actively managed with prescribed fire to reduce the risk of wildfire (unplanned fire). Knowledge of the range of conditions that allow fires to spread or fail to do so is limited and can inconvenience fire managers when conducting prescribed burns. A series of experimental ignitions conducted in miniature shrublands reconstructed in the laboratory were used to investigate factors that influence ignition thresholds. The miniature shrublands were composed of foliage from the shrub Allocasuarina nana and were prepared over a range of moisture contents and densities. The impact of dead fuel within the aerial structure of the shrubs was also investigated, as was the presence and absence of wind and litter. The most important factors for spread initiation were identified using logistic regression analysis and classification tree modelling. The presence of litter, live fuel moisture content, shrub-layer density, presence of wind, and the amount and continuity of the dead elevated fuel were all found to influence spread sustainability. There was a negative interaction between shrub-layer density and live fuel moisture content, showing the effect of density to be less at higher moisture contents.

scholarly journals Live Fuel Moisture Content: The ‘Pea Under the Mattress’ of Fire Spread Rate Modeling?

Fire ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Rossa ◽  
Paulo Fernandes
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
High Heat ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Spread Rate ◽  
Live Fuels ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Live Tree ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Currently, there is a dispute on whether live fuel moisture content (FMC) should be accounted for when predicting a real-world fire-spread rate (RoS). The laboratory and field data results are conflicting: laboratory trials show a significant effect of live FMC on RoS, which has not been convincingly detected in the field. It has been suggested that the lack of influence of live FMC on RoS might arise from differences in the ignition of dead and live fuels: flammability trials using live leaves subjected to high heat fluxes (80–140 kW m−2) show that ignition occurs before all of the moisture is vaporized. We analyze evidence from recent studies, and hypothesize that differences in the ignition mechanisms between dead and live fuels do not preclude the use of overall fine FMC for attaining acceptable RoS predictions. We refer to a simple theory that consists of two connected hypotheses to explain why the effect of live FMC on field fires RoS has remained elusive so far: H1, live tree foliage FMC remains fairly constant over the year; and H2, the seasonal variation of live shrubs’ FMC correlates with the average dead FMC. As a result, the effect of live FMC is not easily detected by statistical analysis.

scholarly journals Short communication: On the effect of live fuel moisture content on fire-spread rate

2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. eSC08 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos G. Rossa ◽  
Paulo M. Fernandes
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Short Communication ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Rate Of Spread ◽  
Mediterranean Shrubland ◽  
Live Fuels ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Aim of study: To reconcile the effects of live fuel moisture content (FMC) on fire rate of spread (ROS) derived from laboratory and field fires.Methods: The analysis builds on evidence from previous fire-spread experimental studies and on a comparison between two functions for the FMC damping effect: one derived from field burns, based on dead FMC, and another derived from laboratory trials, based on a weighted FMC (dead and live fuels).Main results: In a typical Mediterranean shrubland, laboratory and field-derived FMC damping functions are linearly related, which is explained by the correlation between monthly average live and dead FMC variation throughout the year. This clarifies why the effect of live FMC on real-world fires ROS has remained elusive.Research highlights: By providing evidence that the most significant effect of FMC on ROS is independent of vegetation phenology (dead or live condition), and explaining why in specific situations dead FMC is sufficient to provide satisfactory ROS predictions, our results can assist future modelling efforts.

Effects of distribution of bulk density and moisture content on shrub fires

2013 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 625 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ambarish Dahale ◽  
Selina Ferguson ◽  
Babak Shotorban ◽  
Shankar Mahalingam
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Spatial Variation ◽  
Bulk Density ◽  
Solid Fuel ◽  
Numerical Solutions ◽  
Propagation Speed ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Combustion Heat ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content

Formulation of a physics-based model, capable of predicting fire spread through a single elevated crown-like shrub, is described in detail. Predictions from the model, obtained by numerical solutions to governing equations of fluid dynamics, combustion, heat transfer and thermal degradation of solid fuel, are found to be in fairly good agreement with experimental results. In this study we utilise the physics-based model to explore the importance of two parameters – the spatial variation of solid fuel bulk density and the solid fuel moisture content – on the burning of an isolated shrub in quiescent atmosphere. The results suggest that vertical fire spread rate within an isolated shrub and the time to initiate ignition within the crown are two global parameters significantly affected when the spatial variation of the bulk density or the variation of fuel moisture content is taken into account. The amount of fuel burnt is another parameter affected by varying fuel moisture content, especially in the cases of fire propagating through solid fuel with moisture content exceeding 40%. The specific mechanisms responsible for the reduction in propagation speed in the presence of higher bulk densities and moisture content are identified.

Modelling fine fuel moisture content and the likelihood of fire spread in blue gum (Eucalyptus globulus) litter

2014 ◽  
pp. 353-359
Author(s):  
Anita Pinto ◽  
Juncal Espinosa-Prieto ◽  
Carlos Rossa ◽  
Stuart Matthews ◽  
Carlos Loureiro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Eucalyptus Globulus ◽  
Fire Spread ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content ◽  
Blue Gum

scholarly journals SAR-enhanced mapping of live fuel moisture content

2020 ◽  
Vol 245 ◽  
pp. 111797 ◽  
Author(s):  
Krishna Rao ◽  
A. Park Williams ◽  
Jacqueline Fortin Flefil ◽  
Alexandra G. Konings
Keyword(s):  
Moisture Content ◽  
Fuel Moisture ◽  
Live Fuel Moisture ◽  
Fuel Moisture Content
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