scholarly journals El Niño-Southern Oscillation and water resources in Headwaters Region of the Yellow River: links and potential for forecasting

2010 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 8521-8543 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Lü ◽  
S. Jia ◽  
H. Yan ◽  
S. Wang
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Yellow River ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
The Yellow River ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Monthly Streamflow

Abstract. Many studies have examined that El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) could result in the variation of rainfall and runoff of different rivers across the world. In this paper, we will look specifically at the Headwaters Region of the Yellow River (HRYR) to explore the rainfall-ENSO and runoff-ENSO relationships and discuss the potential for water resources forecasting using these relationships. Cross-correlation analyses were performed to determine the significant correlation between rainfall, runoff and ENSO indicators (e.g. SOI, Niño 1.2, Niño 3, Niño 4, and Niño 3.4) and the lag period for each relationship. Main result include: (1) there are significant correlation at 95% confidence level during three periods, i.e. January and March, from September to November; (2) there were significant correlations between monthly streamflow and monthly ENSO indictors during three periods, i.e. JFM, June, and OND, with lag periods between one and twelve months. As ENSO events can be accurately predicted one to two years in advances using physical model of coupled ocean-atmosphere system, the lead time for forecasting runoff using ENSO indicator in the HRYR can be extent to one to thirty-six months. Therefore, ENSO may have potential as a powerful forecast tool for water resource in headwater regions of Yellow River.

scholarly journals El Niño-Southern Oscillation and water resources in the headwaters region of the Yellow River: links and potential for forecasting

2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 1273-1281 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Lü ◽  
S. Jia ◽  
W. Zhu ◽  
H. Yan ◽  
S. Duan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Yellow River ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
The Yellow River ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Monthly Streamflow

Abstract. This research explores the rainfall-El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and runoff-ENSO relationships and examines the potential for water resource forecasting using these relationships. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), Niño1.2, Niño3, Niño4, and Niño3.4 were selected as ENSO indicators for cross-correlation analyses of precipitation and runoff. There was a significant correlation (95% confidence level) between precipitation and ENSO indicators during three periods: January, March, and from September to November. In addition, monthly streamflow and monthly ENSO indictors were significantly correlated during three periods: from January to March, June, and from October to December (OND), with lag periods between one and twelve months. Because ENSO events can be accurately predicted one to two years in advance using physical modeling of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system, the lead time for forecasting runoff using ENSO indicators in the Headwaters Region of the Yellow River could extend from one to 36 months. Therefore, ENSO may have potential as a powerful forecasting tool for water resources in the headwater regions of Yellow River.

Long term population changes of fur seals Arctocephalus gazella and Arctocephalus tropicalis on subantarctic (Crozet) and subtropical (St. Paul and Amsterdam) islands and their possible relationship to El Niño Southern Oscillation

1994 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 473-478 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Guinet ◽  
P. Jouventin ◽  
J-Y. Georges
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Fur Seals ◽  
Fur Seal ◽  
Arctocephalus Tropicalis

The population trend over the last decade for subantarctic fur seals (Arctocephalus tropicalis) on Amsterdam and St. Paul islands and on Possession Island (Crozet Archipelago) and Antarctic fur seals (A. gazella) on Possession Island are analysed. At Amsterdam Island, based on pup counts, the subantarctic fur seal population appears to have stabilized after a period of rapid growth. At Possession Island subantarctic fur seal and Antarctic fur seal, with respective annual growth rates of 19.2 and 17.4%, are reaching the maximum growth rate for the genus Arctocephalus. Annual pup censuses at Possession Island since 1978 indicate important variations from year to year with pup production for A. gazella significantly lower the year after an El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) event, but with no such relationship for A. tropicalis. Several other long term demographic studies of seabirds and marine mammals at different breeding locations in the Southern Ocean indicate that the breeding success of several of these predators appears to be widely affected in years which appear to be related to the ENSO events. To clarify this, it is necessary to analyse in more detail the demographic data obtained for the different subantarctic and Antarctic locations where long term monitoring programmes are conducted.

scholarly journals Extratropical Influences on the El Niño–Southern Oscillation through the Late Quaternary

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (5) ◽  
pp. 788-800 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew B. G. Bush
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Late Quaternary ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Linear Stability Theory ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Enso Events

Abstract A sequence of numerical simulations with a coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model configured for particular times during the late Quaternary shows that simulated El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events decrease in frequency from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to today, in accord with linear stability theory, but increase in amplitude. Diagnostic analyses indicate that altered momentum fluxes from midlatitude eddy activity caused by changes in orbital forcing (in the Holocene) and topographic forcing (at the LGM) regulate the strength of climatological easterlies and therefore affect both the tropical mean state and the characteristics of interannual variability. The fact that climatic teleconnections associated with paleo-ENSO are fundamentally different during these times suggests a way in which to reconcile some of the existing discrepancies amongst interpretations of proxy records and numerical paleoclimate simulations.

scholarly journals ASSESSING CARBON SEQUESTRADED IN BRAZILIAN NORTHEASTERN BIOMES UNDER ENSO EVENTS

Gaia Scientia ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Robson de Sousa Nascimento ◽  
José Ivaldo Barbosa de Brito ◽  
Valéria Peixoto Borges
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Net Primary Production ◽  
Amazon Rainforest ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Enso Events ◽  
Caatinga Biome

The goal of the present study it was to know the behavior of the Net Primary Production (NPP) in years that have occurred El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and during the temperature anomalies of the surface of the Sea (SST) in the Tropical Atlantic, that is Atlantic Dipole. The results showed that the Amazon Rainforest, Atlantic Forest, and the Cerrado were not enough affected by the occurrence of El Niño Southern Oscillation and Atlantic Dipole. However, the Caatinga biome has shown to be quite sensitive to these events and patterns, especially in years of occurrence of El Niño, which contributed to a reduction in NPP; while in years of El Niña and negative dipole, the NPP achieved the highest values. The amount of rainfall in the previous year to the El Niño Southern Oscillation episodes showed influence on the amount of carbon sequestered by biomes in the year of study.

SIMULATED IMPACTS OF EL NINO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION ON UNITED STATES WATER RESOURCES

2003 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 137-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allison M. Thomson ◽  
Robert A. Brown ◽  
Norman J. Rosenberg ◽  
R. Cesar Izaurralde ◽  
David M. Legler ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Water Resources ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation

Evidence for stronger El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Events in a Mid-Holocene massive coral

2000 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 465-470 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thierry Corrège ◽  
Thierry Delcroix ◽  
Jacques Récy ◽  
Warren Beck ◽  
Guy Cabioch ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Niño Southern Oscillation ◽  
El Nino Southern Oscillation ◽  
Massive Coral ◽  
Enso Events
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