scholarly journals Promising Oldest Ice sites in East Antarctica based on thermodynamical modelling

Author(s):  
Brice Van Liefferinge ◽  
Frank Pattyn ◽  
Marie G. P. Cavitte ◽  
Nanna B. Karlsson ◽  
Duncan A. Young ◽  
...  

Abstract. To resolve the mechanisms behind the major climate reorganisation which occurred between 0.9 and 1.2 Ma, the recovery of a suitable 1.5 million-year-old ice core is fundamental. The quest for such an Oldest Ice core requires a number of key boundary conditions, of which the poorly known basal geothermal heat flux (GHF) is lacking. We use a transient thermodynamical 1D vertical model that solves for the rate of change of temperature in the vertical, with surface temperature and modelled GHF as boundary conditions. For each point on the ice sheet, the model is forced with variations in atmospheric conditions over the last 2 Ma, and modelled ice-thickness variations. The process is repeated for a range of GHF values to determine the value of GHF that marks the limit between frozen and melting conditions over the whole ice sheet, taking into account 2 Ma of climate history. These threshold values of GHF are statistically compared to existing GHF data sets. The new probabilistic GHF fields obtained for the ice sheet thus provide the missing boundary conditions in the search for Oldest Ice. High spatial resolution radar data are examined locally in the Dome Fuji and Dome C regions, as these represent the ice core community's primary drilling sites. GHF, bedrock variability, ice thickness and other essential criteria combined highlight a dozen major potential Oldest Ice sites in the vicinity of Dome Fuji and Dome C, where GHF allows for Oldest Ice.

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 2773-2787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brice Van Liefferinge ◽  
Frank Pattyn ◽  
Marie G. P. Cavitte ◽  
Nanna B. Karlsson ◽  
Duncan A. Young ◽  
...  

Abstract. To resolve the mechanisms behind the major climate reorganisation, which occurred between 0.9 and 1.2 Ma, the recovery of a suitable 1.5 million-year-old ice core is fundamental. The quest for an Oldest Ice core requires a number of key boundary conditions, of which the poorly known basal geothermal heat flux (GHF) is lacking. We use a transient thermodynamical 1-D vertical model that solves for the rate of change of temperature in the vertical, with surface temperature and modelled GHF as boundary conditions. For each point on the ice sheet, the model is forced with variations in atmospheric conditions over the last 2 Ma and modelled ice-thickness variations. The process is repeated for a range of GHF values to determine the value of GHF that marks the limit between frozen and melting conditions over the whole ice sheet, taking into account 2 Ma of climate history. These threshold values of GHF are statistically compared to existing GHF data sets. The new probabilistic GHF fields obtained for the ice sheet thus provide the missing boundary conditions in the search for Oldest Ice. High spatial resolution radar data are examined locally in the Dome Fuji and Dome C regions, as these represent the ice core community's primary drilling sites. GHF, bedrock variability, ice thickness and other essential criteria combined highlight a dozen major potential Oldest Ice sites in the vicinity of Dome Fuji and Dome C, where GHF could allow for Oldest Ice.


2013 ◽  
Vol 59 (213) ◽  
pp. 9-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reinhard Drews ◽  
Carlos Martín ◽  
Daniel Steinhage ◽  
Olaf Eisen

AbstractWe present a comprehensive approach (including field data, remote sensing and an anisotropic ice-flow model) to characterize Halvfarryggen ice dome in coastal Dronning Maud Land, Antarctica. This is a potential drill site for the International Partnerships in Ice Core Sciences, which has identified the need for ice cores covering atmospheric conditions during the last few millennia. We derive the surface topography, the ice stratigraphy from radar data, and accumulation rates which vary from 400 to 1670 kg m−2 a−1 due to preferred wind directions and changing surface slope. The stratigraphy shows anticlines and synclines beneath the divides. We transfer Dansgaard–Johnsen age–depth scales from the flanks along isochrones to the divide in the upper 20–50% of the ice thickness and show that they compare well with the results of a full-Stokes, anisotropic ice-flow model which predicts (1) 11 ka BP ice at 90% of the ice thickness, (2) a temporally stable divide for at least 2700–4500 years, (3) basal temperatures below the melting point (−12°C to −5°C) and (4) a highly developed crystal orientation fabric (COF). We suggest drilling into the apices of the deep anticlines, providing a good compromise between record length and temporal resolution and also facilitating studies of the interplay of anisotropic COF and ice flow.


2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 2489-2505 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Fischer ◽  
J. Severinghaus ◽  
E. Brook ◽  
E. Wolff ◽  
M. Albert ◽  
...  

Abstract. The recovery of a 1.5 million yr long ice core from Antarctica represents a keystone of our understanding of Quaternary climate, the progression of glaciation over this time period and the role of greenhouse gas cycles in this progression. Here we tackle the question of where such ice may still be found in the Antarctic ice sheet. We can show that such old ice is most likely to exist in the plateau area of the East Antarctic ice sheet (EAIS) without stratigraphic disturbance and should be able to be recovered after careful pre-site selection studies. Based on a simple ice and heat flow model and glaciological observations, we conclude that positions in the vicinity of major domes and saddle position on the East Antarctic Plateau will most likely have such old ice in store and represent the best study areas for dedicated reconnaissance studies in the near future. In contrast to previous ice core drill site selections, however, we strongly suggest significantly reduced ice thickness to avoid bottom melting. For example for the geothermal heat flux and accumulation conditions at Dome C, an ice thickness lower than but close to about 2500 m would be required to find 1.5 Myr old ice (i.e., more than 700 m less than at the current EPICA Dome C drill site). Within this constraint, the resolution of an Oldest-Ice record and the distance of such old ice to the bedrock should be maximized to avoid ice flow disturbances, for example, by finding locations with minimum geothermal heat flux. As the geothermal heat flux is largely unknown for the EAIS, this parameter has to be carefully determined beforehand. In addition, detailed bedrock topography and ice flow history has to be reconstructed for candidates of an Oldest-Ice ice coring site. Finally, we argue strongly for rapid access drilling before any full, deep ice coring activity commences to bring datable samples to the surface and to allow an age check of the oldest ice.


1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adeline Fabre ◽  
Anne Letréguilly ◽  
Catherine Ritz ◽  
Anne Mangeney

A new three-dimensional, time-dependent ice-sheet model, including the calculation of the coupled temperature and velocity fields, isostatic adjustment of the bedrock and a mass-balance parameterization, was used to reconstruct the evolution of the Greenland ice sheet in response to a climate history derived from the oxygen-18 measured in the GRIP ice core. Steady-state experiments were done to test the sensitivity of the model, first to variations of poorly known parameters, secondly to different climates. These experiments show that the modelled ice sheet is not very sensitive to variations in the geothermal heat flux, but very sensitive to changes in the accumulation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 65 (254) ◽  
pp. 1023-1034 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soroush Rezvanbehbahani ◽  
Leigh A. Stearns ◽  
C. J. van der Veen ◽  
Gordon K. A. Oswald ◽  
Ralf Greve

AbstractThe spatial distribution of basal water critically impacts the evolution of ice sheets. Current estimates of basal water distribution beneath the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) contain large uncertainties due to poorly constrained boundary conditions, primarily from geothermal heat flux (GHF). The existing GHF models often contradict each other and implementing them in numerical ice-sheet models cannot reproduce the measured temperatures at ice core locations. Here we utilize two datasets of radar-detected basal water in Greenland to constrain the GHF at regions with a thawed bed. Using the three-dimensional ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS, we iteratively adjust the GHF to find the minimum GHF required to reach the bed to the pressure melting point, GHFpmp, at locations of radar-detected basal water. We identify parts of the central-east, south and northwest Greenland with significantly high GHFpmp. Conversely, we find that the majority of low-elevation regions of west Greenland and parts of northeast have very low GHFpmp. We compare the estimated constraints with the available GHF models for Greenland and show that GHF models often do not honor the estimated constraints. Our results highlight the need for community effort to reconcile the discrepancies between radar data, GHF models, and ice core information.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Sutter ◽  
Hubertus Fischer ◽  
Klaus Grosfeld ◽  
Nanna B. Karlsson ◽  
Thomas Kleiner ◽  
...  

Abstract. The international endeavour to retrieve a continuous ice core, which spans the middle Pleistocene climate transition ca. 1.2–0.9 Myr ago, encompasses a multitude of field and model-based pre-site surveys. We expand on the current efforts to locate a suitable drilling site for the oldest Antarctic ice core by means of 3D continental ice sheet modelling. To this end, we present an ensemble of ice sheet simulations spanning the last 2 Myr and employing transient boundary conditions derived from climate modelling and climate proxy records. We discuss the effects of changing climate conditions, sea level and geothermal heat flux boundary conditions on the mass balance and ice dynamics of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Our modelling results show a range of configurational ice sheet changes across the middle Pleistocene transition, suggesting a potential shift of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a marine-based configuration. Despite the middle Pleistocene climate re-organisation and associated ice-dynamic changes we identify several regions conducive to conditions maintaining 1.5 Myr old ice, particularly around Dome Fuji, Dome C and Ridge B, in agreement to previous studies. This finding strengthens the notion that old ice exists in previously identified regions, while providing a dynamic continental ice sheet context.


1995 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adeline Fabre ◽  
Anne Letréguilly ◽  
Catherine Ritz ◽  
Anne Mangeney

A new three-dimensional, time-dependent ice-sheet model, including the calculation of the coupled temperature and velocity fields, isostatic adjustment of the bedrock and a mass-balance parameterization, was used to reconstruct the evolution of the Greenland ice sheet in response to a climate history derived from the oxygen-18 measured in the GRIP ice core. Steady-state experiments were done to test the sensitivity of the model, first to variations of poorly known parameters, secondly to different climates. These experiments show that the modelled ice sheet is not very sensitive to variations in the geothermal heat flux, but very sensitive to changes in the accumulation.


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (7) ◽  
pp. 2023-2041 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Sutter ◽  
Hubertus Fischer ◽  
Klaus Grosfeld ◽  
Nanna B. Karlsson ◽  
Thomas Kleiner ◽  
...  

Abstract. The international endeavour to retrieve a continuous ice core, which spans the middle Pleistocene climate transition ca. 1.2–0.9 Myr ago, encompasses a multitude of field and model-based pre-site surveys. We expand on the current efforts to locate a suitable drilling site for the oldest Antarctic ice core by means of 3-D continental ice-sheet modelling. To this end, we present an ensemble of ice-sheet simulations spanning the last 2 Myr, employing transient boundary conditions derived from climate modelling and climate proxy records. We discuss the imprint of changing climate conditions, sea level and geothermal heat flux on the ice thickness, and basal conditions around previously identified sites with continuous records of old ice. Our modelling results show a range of configurational ice-sheet changes across the middle Pleistocene transition, suggesting a potential shift of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet to a marine-based configuration. Despite the middle Pleistocene climate reorganisation and associated ice-dynamic changes, we identify several regions conducive to conditions maintaining 1.5 Myr (million years) old ice, particularly around Dome Fuji, Dome C and Ridge B, which is in agreement with previous studies. This finding strengthens the notion that continuous records with such old ice do exist in previously identified regions, while we are also providing a dynamic continental ice-sheet context.


2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1165-1180 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Willeit ◽  
A. Ganopolski

Abstract. Permafrost influences a number of processes which are relevant for local and global climate. For example, it is well known that permafrost plays an important role in global carbon and methane cycles. Less is known about the interaction between permafrost and ice sheets. In this study a permafrost module is included in the Earth system model CLIMBER-2, and the coupled Northern Hemisphere (NH) permafrost–ice-sheet evolution over the last glacial cycle is explored. The model performs generally well at reproducing present-day permafrost extent and thickness. Modeled permafrost thickness is sensitive to the values of ground porosity, thermal conductivity and geothermal heat flux. Permafrost extent at the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) agrees well with reconstructions and previous modeling estimates. Present-day permafrost thickness is far from equilibrium over deep permafrost regions. Over central Siberia and the Arctic Archipelago permafrost is presently up to 200–500 m thicker than it would be at equilibrium. In these areas, present-day permafrost depth strongly depends on the past climate history and simulations indicate that deep permafrost has a memory of surface temperature variations going back to at least 800 ka. Over the last glacial cycle permafrost has a relatively modest impact on simulated NH ice sheet volume except at LGM, when including permafrost increases ice volume by about 15 m sea level equivalent in our model. This is explained by a delayed melting of the ice base from below by the geothermal heat flux when the ice sheet sits on a porous sediment layer and permafrost has to be melted first. Permafrost affects ice sheet dynamics only when ice extends over areas covered by thick sediments, which is the case at LGM.


2000 ◽  
Vol 30 ◽  
pp. 69-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Savvin ◽  
R. Greve ◽  
R. Calov ◽  
B. Mügge ◽  
K. Hutter

AbstractThe modern dynamic and thermodynamic state of the entire Antarctic ice sheet is computed for a 242 200 year paleoclimatic simulation with the three-dimensional polythermal ice-sheet model SICOPOLIS. The simulation is driven by a climate history derived from the Vostok ice core and the SPECMAP sea-level record. In a 872 km × 436 km region in western Dronning Maud Land (DML), where a deep ice core is planned for EPICA, new high-resolution ice-thickness data are used to compute an improved bedrock topography and a locally refined numerical grid is applied which extends earlier work (Calov and others, 1998). The computed fields of basal temperature, age and shear deformation, together with the measured accumulation rates, give valuable information for the selection of a drill site suitable for obtaining a high-resolution climate record for the last glacial cycle. Based on these results, a possible drill site at 73°59′ S, 00°00′ E is discussed, for which the computed depth profiles of temperature, age, velocity and shear deformation are presented. The geographic origin of the ice column at this position extends 320 km upstream and therefore does not leave the DML region.


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