scholarly journals Effect of Volatility Changes on Emerging Stock Markets: The Case of Jordan

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 132
Author(s):  
Marwan Mohammad Abu Orabi ◽  
Talal Abed-Alkareem Alqurran

<p>The Middle East financial markets have experienced several unexpected volatility shifts during the last two decades had recorded a serious impact on these markets and caused a financial turmoil that has elevated the uncertainties in the region. In view of this, more empirical findings should be learned and documented for future benefits. As one of the affected countries, Jordan was chosen as a case to provide empirical insight on the matter. This paper analyzed the behavior of Jordan’s stock market (Amman Stock Exchange, ASE) during the intervals of high uncertainty. It highlighted the impact of volatility on this market in terms of its efficiency and returns, during 2004-2012 periods, by utilizing the iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) algorithm, GARCH and GARCH-M models. Sudden changes in volatility seem to arise from the evolution of emerging stock markets, exchange rate policy changes and financial crises. Evidence also reveals that when sudden shifts are taken into account in the GARCH models, the persistence of volatility is reduced significantly in every series. Research results provided significant empirical evidence for positive risk-return relationship in the stock exchange. Moreover, this study also found that the stock market, across all sectors, was more sensitive to global news events as compared to the local events. The asymmetrical responses to good and bad news were also an important characteristic of the ASE market behavior.</p>

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-23
Author(s):  
Sunjida Haque ◽  
Tanbir Ahmed Chowdhury

The world's big economies are roiled and going under a devastating threat amid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. No country will be safe as this virus will eventually outbreak everywhere, regardless of how countries prepare to avoid it. The economic ramification as well as the stock market crisis will be uncertain due to the extended suspension of economic activities in almost every country. No wonder, the clattered stock markets of Bangladesh which have already got the adjective of “the worst stock market in the world” because of inefficient and irrational fluctuations in previous years will experience a colossal crisis due to the pandemic. The article provides an investigation on comparable analysis of the impact on stock markets of Bangladesh, Dhaka stock exchange, and Chittagong stock exchange, before and after the pandemic situation with current market data. We also examine the potential consequence of policy interventions to the market and the investors during a pandemic.


2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 215-242
Author(s):  
Rehana Kousar ◽  
Zahid Imran ◽  
Qaisar Maqbool Khan ◽  
Haris Khurram

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of terrorism on stock markets of South Asia namely, Karachi Stock Exchange 100 index (Pakistan), Bombay Stock Exchange (India), Colombo Stock Exchange (Sri Lanka) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (Bangladesh). Monthly panel data has been used for the period of January 2000 to December 2016. Terrorism events happened during the period of 2000 to 2016 have been incorporated to examine the impact of terrorism on stock market returns of South Asia. DCC GARCH through R software is used to analyze the impact of terrorism on stock market returns and to analyze the spillover effect of terrorism in one country and on the stock markets of other countries of South Asia. The results indicate that terrorism has significant and negative effect on stock market returns of Pakistan, India and Bangladesh but insignificant in Sri Lanka. Results also shows that stock markets return of Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh are significant and positively correlated with each other except the Stock market of Sri Lanka.


2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-45
Author(s):  
Mukail Aremu Akinde ◽  
Eriki Peter ◽  
Ochei Ailemen Ikpefan

At a time, the Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) is generally undergoing bearish trends; the paper investigated the performance of eighty-eight (88) sampled stocks, which were screened with the modern Price Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio into the Growth and the Value Portfolios. This is to ascertain whether the Value Portfolio outperformed the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns. From the researches in the developed and emerging stock markets, the momentum supports that the Value Portfolio outscored the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns. The paper explored pooled data from the Factbooks of the Nigerian Stock Market and the Annual Reports across different industries from 1990 to 2016. Descriptive methods and Arellano and Generalized Methods of Moment (GMM) xtabond2 were adopted to address the outliers, reverse causality and other related consequences of panel data. Similar to the findings from the developed and emerging stock markets, the study recognized that the Value Portfolio over-performed the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns in the NSE. Therefore, it is recommended that rational investors should show more preferences to invest in low-priced Value Stocks to earn higher returns than the high-priced Growth Stocks, which generated lower returns in the NSE.


2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 713
Author(s):  
Hesham. I. Almujamed ◽  
Suzanne G. M. Fifield ◽  
David .M. Power

This paper uses a questionnaire survey to investigate share valuation methods and the sources of information employed by Kuwaiti investors; it compares the appraisal techniques and the sources of information employed by Kuwaiti investors to those used in other developed and emerging stock markets. The findings suggest that Kuwaiti investors behave like their counterparts in other stock markets; fundamental analysis is the main appraisal technique used by investors; technical analysis and risk analysis are ranked second and third, respectively. However, the usage of technical and risk analysis is much higher in Kuwait. Further, quarterly and annual corporate reports as well as newspapers, the Kuwait Stock Exchange (KSE) website, and charts are commonly studied by investors when valuing Kuwaiti shares. By contrast, communication with company management is not common since executives are usually unwilling to discuss their firm's performance with investors.


Economies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caner Demir

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impacts of some prominent macroeconomic factors on the Turkish Stock Market index, BIST-100 (Borsa Istanbul-100). For centuries, and mostly since the 20th century, stock markets are at the heart of economies. In our era, the largest economic crises arise from the stock market instabilities and thus, the stock markets are the focus of interest of the economy. Economists, investors, and policymakers try to predict the tendency of share prices, which substantially depend on foreign and domestic macroeconomic factors. Within this purpose, this study tries to investigate the impact of some selected macroeconomic factors on BIST-100 index over the 2003Q1–2017Q4 period. The findings obtained from the quarterly data via the ARDL Bounds Test suggest that economic growth, the relative value of the domestic currency, portfolio investments and foreign direct investments raise the stock market index while interest rate and crude oil prices negatively affect it. The results briefly reveal that the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market needs stronger domestic currency, higher international capital inflows, and lower energy and investment costs.


2021 ◽  
Vol VI (II) ◽  
pp. 238-253
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ishtiaq ◽  
Aisha Imtiaz ◽  
Hina Mushtaq

The crisis of COVID-19 comes with a calamitous economic stance. The South Asian countries experience their nastiest economic performance in the last four decenniums, and a moiety of the countries are falling into recession. This paper checks the impact of the first,second and third waves of COVID-19 outbreak on the stock market indices of all the South Asian countries, including India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, SriLanka, Bangladesh, Maldives, Nepal, and Bhutan. The study has utilized the Event Study Methodology and results exhibit that COVID-19 decreases the mean returns of all the stock market indices and increases their volatility,which designates that Corona does influence all the stock markets of South Asia in decrementing their returns and incrementing volatility. Overall, the negative effect of the first wave of COVID-19 is not paramount across all the indices except the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), albeit its second wave did not affect any of the stock market indices significantly. In contrast,the third wave affects the stock markets indices of Pakistan (PSX) and Afghanistan (AFX).


2018 ◽  
Vol III (III) ◽  
pp. 595-610
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nadeem Iqbal ◽  
Muhammad Zia ur Rehman ◽  
Kashif Saleem

The macroeconomic version of the APT is of great significance in examining the return on assets. It analyzes the estimated security return with reference to various macroeconomic variables. Despite availability of research studies related to the developed and emerging stock markets of the world, still a research gap exists for exploring the frontier markets like equity market of Pakistan. The study examines the long and short term impact of macroeconomic variables on the KSE 100 index for the period of July 1996 - June 2015. Cointegration technique and VECM models have been applied. Among these variables, GDP, inflation, exchange rate, unemployment rate, labor force cost and stock market of US were found significant for explanation of effects on return of stock market of Pakistan. The study findings have potential implications for both policymakers and investors pertaining to macroeconomic factors and stock market volatility.


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