scholarly journals The Impact of different Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Stock Markets in South Asian Countries

2021 ◽  
Vol VI (II) ◽  
pp. 238-253
Author(s):  
Muhammad Ishtiaq ◽  
Aisha Imtiaz ◽  
Hina Mushtaq
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Third Wave ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
The South ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact

The crisis of COVID-19 comes with a calamitous economic stance. The South Asian countries experience their nastiest economic performance in the last four decenniums, and a moiety of the countries are falling into recession. This paper checks the impact of the first,second and third waves of COVID-19 outbreak on the stock market indices of all the South Asian countries, including India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, SriLanka, Bangladesh, Maldives, Nepal, and Bhutan. The study has utilized the Event Study Methodology and results exhibit that COVID-19 decreases the mean returns of all the stock market indices and increases their volatility,which designates that Corona does influence all the stock markets of South Asia in decrementing their returns and incrementing volatility. Overall, the negative effect of the first wave of COVID-19 is not paramount across all the indices except the National Stock Exchange of India (NSE), albeit its second wave did not affect any of the stock market indices significantly. In contrast,the third wave affects the stock markets indices of Pakistan (PSX) and Afghanistan (AFX).

scholarly journals A note on the relationship between COVID-19 and stock market return: evidence from South Asia

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Arafat Rahman ◽  
Md Mohsan Khudri ◽  
Muhammad Kamran ◽  
Pakeezah Butt
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Stock Market Return ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The transformation of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) from a regional health crisis in a Chinese city to a global pandemic has caused severe damage not only to the natural and economic lives of human beings but also to the financial markets. The rapidly pervading and daunting consequences of COVID-19 spread have plummeted the stock markets to their lowest levels in many decades especially in South Asia. This concern motivates us to investigate the stock markets’ response to the COVID-19 pandemic in four South Asian countries: Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka. This study aims to investigate the causal impact of the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases on stock market returns using panel data of the countries stated above. Design/methodology/approach This study collects and analyzes the daily data on COVID-19 spread and stock market return over the period May 28, 2020 to October 01, 2020. Using Dumitrescu and Hurlin panel Granger non-causality test, the empirical results demonstrate that the COVID-19 spread measured through its daily confirmed cases in a country significantly induces stock market return. This paper cross-validates the results using the pairwise Granger causality test. Findings The empirical results suggest unidirectional causality from COVID-19 to stock market returns, indicating that the spread of COVID-19 has a dominant short-term influence on the stock movements. To the best of the knowledge, this study provides the first empirical insights into the impact of COVID-19 on the stock markets of selected South Asian countries taking the cross-sectional dependence into account. The results are also in line with the findings of other existing literature on COVID-19. Moreover, the results are robust across the two tests used in this study. Originality/value The findings are equally insightful to the fund managers and investors in South Asian countries. Taking into account the possible impact of COVID-19 on stock markets’ returns, investors can design their optimal portfolios more effectively. This study has another important implication in the sense that the impact of COVID-19 on the stock markets of South Asian countries may have spillover effects on other developing or even developed countries.

scholarly journals Impact of Terrorism on Stock Market: A Case of South Asian Stock Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 215-242
Author(s):  
Rehana Kousar ◽  
Zahid Imran ◽  
Qaisar Maqbool Khan ◽  
Haris Khurram
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
South Asia ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Spillover Effect ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Negative Effect ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of terrorism on stock markets of South Asia namely, Karachi Stock Exchange 100 index (Pakistan), Bombay Stock Exchange (India), Colombo Stock Exchange (Sri Lanka) and Chittagong Stock Exchange (Bangladesh). Monthly panel data has been used for the period of January 2000 to December 2016. Terrorism events happened during the period of 2000 to 2016 have been incorporated to examine the impact of terrorism on stock market returns of South Asia. DCC GARCH through R software is used to analyze the impact of terrorism on stock market returns and to analyze the spillover effect of terrorism in one country and on the stock markets of other countries of South Asia. The results indicate that terrorism has significant and negative effect on stock market returns of Pakistan, India and Bangladesh but insignificant in Sri Lanka. Results also shows that stock markets return of Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh are significant and positively correlated with each other except the Stock market of Sri Lanka.

scholarly journals Financial Contagion and Globalization: Evidence from South Asian Countries

2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 61
Author(s):  
Muhammad Usman Sana Ullah ◽  
Naveed Ul Haq ◽  
Hood Laeeq ◽  
Ammar Aftab Raja
Keyword(s):  
Sri Lanka ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Correlation Coefficients ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Asian Countries ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
The South ◽  
Global Shocks

This study investigates the contagion and globalization between the South Asian (Pakistan, India, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka) and five largest economies (US, UK, China, Japan and Germany) stock markets. Daily stock returns data from 1st July 1997 to 30th June 2015 consisting of total 4695 observation is analyzed.  DCC GARCH is applied to calculate the conditional correlation coefficients to overcome the issue of heteroscedasticity. Null hypothesis of no globalization got rejected eleven times out of twenty while the hypothesis of no contagion got rejected six times. Further analysis of conditional correlation coefficients confirmed the impact of 9/11 attacks, Subprime mortgage crises and Europeans debt crises on the Indian market. Impact of 9/11 attacks also found on Pakistani and Sri Lankan stock exchanges, while Dhaka stock exchange remained independent of all shocks. In sum, the South Asian stock markets remained isolated from the global shocks except India. Isolation of South Asian stock markets from the global shocks is due to their lower integration with the global markets. This study provides some useful recommendations to the investors and policy makers. Results suggests that Indian stock exchange  get  contagion impact from the major economies, so authorities of India should have to take measure to decouple the market from the global shocks. The markets of Bangladesh, Sri Lanka and Pakistan are not properly integrated with global financial system, so the authorities of these countries should have to take proper steps to liberalize the markets. This paper presents the first empirical study on financial contagion and globalization of South Asian countries.

scholarly journals South–South Cooperation in South and East Asia: An Event Study of the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 54-67
Author(s):  
Wing Him Yeung ◽  
Yilisha Pang ◽  
Asad Aman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
East Asia ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Global South ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Empirical Results ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Event Study Methodology

South–South cooperation has been on the rise in recent years. One of the latest examples is the China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) proposed by the Chinese and Pakistani governments in 2013. Using event study methodology, this article examines the impact of events and announcements associated with CPEC on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in Pakistan and the Shanghai Stock Exchange in China. The first key finding of this article is that the initial announcement associated with CPEC had stronger and positive short-term impact on the Pakistan Stock Exchange in comparison with the impact of subsequent CPEC events on the stock market. The second key finding is that the short-term impact of the CPEC initial announcement was stronger on the Pakistan Stock Exchange than on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, possibly due to the substantial difference in the size of the two economies. The empirical results of this article have important implications for investors, corporations and regulators to the Global South.

scholarly journals Impact of Covid-19 in Bangladesh Stock Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 22-23
Author(s):  
Sunjida Haque ◽  
Tanbir Ahmed Chowdhury
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Potential Consequence ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Market Data ◽  
Policy Interventions ◽  
The World ◽  
Before And After ◽  
The Impact

The world's big economies are roiled and going under a devastating threat amid the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. No country will be safe as this virus will eventually outbreak everywhere, regardless of how countries prepare to avoid it. The economic ramification as well as the stock market crisis will be uncertain due to the extended suspension of economic activities in almost every country. No wonder, the clattered stock markets of Bangladesh which have already got the adjective of “the worst stock market in the world” because of inefficient and irrational fluctuations in previous years will experience a colossal crisis due to the pandemic. The article provides an investigation on comparable analysis of the impact on stock markets of Bangladesh, Dhaka stock exchange, and Chittagong stock exchange, before and after the pandemic situation with current market data. We also examine the potential consequence of policy interventions to the market and the investors during a pandemic.

scholarly journals Effect of Volatility Changes on Emerging Stock Markets: The Case of Jordan

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 132
Author(s):  
Marwan Mohammad Abu Orabi ◽  
Talal Abed-Alkareem Alqurran
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Emerging Stock Markets ◽  
Amman Stock Exchange ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Icss Algorithm ◽  
The Impact ◽  
High Uncertainty

<p>The Middle East financial markets have experienced several unexpected volatility shifts during the last two decades had recorded a serious impact on these markets and caused a financial turmoil that has elevated the uncertainties in the region. In view of this, more empirical findings should be learned and documented for future benefits. As one of the affected countries, Jordan was chosen as a case to provide empirical insight on the matter. This paper analyzed the behavior of Jordan’s stock market (Amman Stock Exchange, ASE) during the intervals of high uncertainty. It highlighted the impact of volatility on this market in terms of its efficiency and returns, during 2004-2012 periods, by utilizing the iterated cumulative sums of squares (ICSS) algorithm, GARCH and GARCH-M models. Sudden changes in volatility seem to arise from the evolution of emerging stock markets, exchange rate policy changes and financial crises. Evidence also reveals that when sudden shifts are taken into account in the GARCH models, the persistence of volatility is reduced significantly in every series. Research results provided significant empirical evidence for positive risk-return relationship in the stock exchange. Moreover, this study also found that the stock market, across all sectors, was more sensitive to global news events as compared to the local events. The asymmetrical responses to good and bad news were also an important characteristic of the ASE market behavior.</p>

scholarly journals Do Stock markets welcome signs of changing ruling set-up? An empirical investigation on the impacts of General and Presidential Elections on KSE

2015 ◽  
Vol 03 (01) ◽  
pp. 08-18
Author(s):  
Zaheer Khan ◽  
◽  
Sahar Zeast ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Empirical Investigation ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
Set Up ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Event Study Methodology

This study was an attempt to analyze the impact of general and presidential elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange. The event study methodology was employed and the data from 1997 to 2013 was used to identify the impact. This study investigated the impact of general and presidential elections held in Pakistan individually and collectively. The results established that there was a significant impact of elections on stock market returns of Karachi Stock Exchange.

scholarly journals Asymmetric Volatility and Cross Correlations in Stock Returns under Risk and Uncertainty

2009 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 25-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rakesh Kumar ◽  
Raj S Dhankar
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Global Stock

Capital market efficiency is a matter of great interest for policy makers and investors in designing investment strategy. If efficient market hypothesis (EMH) holds true, it will prevent the investors to realize extra return by utilizing the inherent information of stocks. They will realize extra returns only by incorporating the extra risky stocks in their portfolios. While empirical tests of EMH and risk-return relationship are plentiful for developed stock markets, the focus on emerging stock markets like India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, etc., began with the liberalization of financial systems in these markets. With globalization and deregulation, the enormous opportunities of investment in South Asian stock markets have attracted the domestic and foreign institutional investors in general, and to reduce their portfolio risk by diversifying their funds across the markets in particular. The efforts are made in this study to examine the cross-correlation in stock returns of South Asian stock markets, their regional integration, and interdependence on global stock market. The study also examines the important aspects of investment strategy when investment decisions are made under risk and uncertainty. The study uses Bombay stock exchange listed index BSE 100 for India, Colombo stock exchange listed Milanka Price Index for Sri Lanka, Karachi stock exchange listed KSE 100 for Pakistan, Dhaka stock exchange listed DSE-General Index for Bangladesh, and S & P Global 1200 to represent the global market. It carries out a comprehensive analysis, tracing the autocorrelation in stock returns, cross correlations in stock returns under risk and uncertainty, interdependency among the South Asian stock markets, and that with the global stock market. The research methodology applied in the study includes application of Ljung-Box to examine the cross-correlation in stock returns, ARCH and its generalized models for the estimation of conditional and asymmetric volatilities, and Ljung-Box as a diagnostic testing of fitted models, and finally correlation to examine the interdependency of these markets in terms of stock returns and expected volatility. The results bring out the following: L-B statistics suggests the presence of autocorrelation in stock returns in all Asian stock markets; however, for the global market, autocorrelations are significant at 15 lags, and thereafter they are insignificant. The significant autocorrelations in stock returns report volatility clustering in stock returns, reject the EMH, and hold that current stock returns are significantly affected by returns being offered in the past. ARCH and its generalized models significantly explain the conditional volatility in all stock markets in question. The study rejects the relationship between stock returns and expected volatility; however, the relationship is significant with unexpected volatility. It brings out that investors adjust their risk premium for expected variations in stock prices, but they expect extra risk premium for unexpected variations. With their entry into the liberalization phase, South Asian stock markets have reported regional interdependence, and also interdependence with the global stock market.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON IRAQI STOCK MARKET: AN EVENT TO STUDY METHODOLOGY

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Azzam Khalid Chyad ◽  
Dr. Ayad Taher Aljubori
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Scatter Plot ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Study Methodology ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Exchange Data

The research aims to study the impact of the economic crisis caused by the Corona pandemic on the Iraqi stock market by studying the event, specifically the impact of two pandemic events on the returns and volume of shares circulation, for companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange across sectors (banks - communications - insurance - services - Industry - Hotels and Tourism - Agriculture), and the Iraqi market for financial stocks represents the place of application, while the market sectors, which number (7), represent the research community, and the sample of the study of the impact of the pandemic on the market index, companies included in the Iraq Stock Exchange Index (SIX60) which Its number reached (60) companies from all market sectors, while the sample for studying the impact of the pandemic on the sector’s returns and trading volume in them was (102) companies representing all companies listed on the Iraq Stock Exchange. Data and information were obtained from reports (daily, weekly and monthly) issued. From the Iraq Stock Exchange and the Securities Commission for the time period (2019-2020), and the financial methods represented by stock returns, trading volume and market momentum index were relied upon, and some statistical methods were adopted. For my description of (arithmetic mean, standard deviation, and percentages), as well as inferential statistics methods (autocorrelation coefficient - simple regression - T-test - histogram - scatter plot - QQ chart) across applications (SPSS V25-Excle 2020- Py Charme2020) to compare Results and testing of research hypotheses. This is to determine the impact of the Corona pandemic (the first and second event) on the returns and trading of ordinary shares on the Iraq Stock Exchange.

scholarly journals Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Fluctuations: The Case of BIST-100

Economies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caner Demir
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Capital Inflows ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Domestic Currency ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Market Index ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of this study is to analyze the impacts of some prominent macroeconomic factors on the Turkish Stock Market index, BIST-100 (Borsa Istanbul-100). For centuries, and mostly since the 20th century, stock markets are at the heart of economies. In our era, the largest economic crises arise from the stock market instabilities and thus, the stock markets are the focus of interest of the economy. Economists, investors, and policymakers try to predict the tendency of share prices, which substantially depend on foreign and domestic macroeconomic factors. Within this purpose, this study tries to investigate the impact of some selected macroeconomic factors on BIST-100 index over the 2003Q1–2017Q4 period. The findings obtained from the quarterly data via the ARDL Bounds Test suggest that economic growth, the relative value of the domestic currency, portfolio investments and foreign direct investments raise the stock market index while interest rate and crude oil prices negatively affect it. The results briefly reveal that the Istanbul Stock Exchange Market needs stronger domestic currency, higher international capital inflows, and lower energy and investment costs.

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