Value and growth stock returns: international evidence (JES)

Purpose This study aims to analyze the returns obtained from companies with strong growth potential (growth stocks) and the returns from companies with quite low stock prices, but with high value (value stocks). Design/methodology/approach The sample comprises monthly data, from January 2002 to December 2016, from seven countries, Germany, France, Switzerland, the UK, Portugal, the USA and Japan. The authors have used linear regression models for three different periods, the pre-crisis, subprime crisis and post-crisis period. Findings The results point out that the performance of value and growth stocks differs from different periods surrounding the global financial crisis. In fact, for six countries, value stocks outperformed growth stocks in the period that precedes the subprime crisis and during the crisis, this tendency remained only for France, Portugal and Japan. This trend changed in the period following the crisis. The results also show that investor sentiment has a robust significance in value and growth stock returns, mostly in the period before the crisis, highlighting that the investor sentiment is more significant in the moments that the value stocks outperformed. Originality/value As far as the authors know, this is the first work that, taking into account the future research lines of Capaul et al. (1993), investigates whether the results obtained by those authors remain current, meeting the authors’ challenge and covering the gap of recent studies on the performance of value and growth stocks. Besides, the authors have introduced a new country, heavily punished by both the global financial crisis and the sovereign debt crisis to understand whether there are significant differences in investment styles and whether this is related to the different economies. Also, in this context, the authors were pioneers in adding investor sentiment as an exogenous variable in the influence of stock returns.

Private Retirement Scheme Funds: Will the Asset Allocation Strategy Work For Retirees?

One of the principal-agent problems is the asymmetric information between fund managers and investors. To mitigate this issue, this study conducts the return-based style analysis on Private Retirement Scheme funds to their asset allocation strategy. Our results show: First, conservative funds have a strong focus on fixed income products rather than equity. Second, in terms of asset allocation to equity, on average, growth funds have a higher allocation to foreign equity of 16.28 per cent, followed by moderate funds of 9.18 per cent; Third, growth funds focus on large growth stocks, while moderate funds focus on large value stocks. However, three observations deserve our attention: First, a high degree of selection for the conservative fund will entail higher transaction cost; and second, in terms of the degree of style and selection, conservative funds do not vary much from growth funds. In other words, there is no distinct product differentiation between the two categories; Lastly, there is a wide disparity in asset allocation across the conservative funds. This implies some degree of risk-taking by some fund managers. These results suggest that the financial goals of retirees will be undermined if PRS funds do not focus on their mandate.

International Real Estate Review

This paper studies the evolution of property values and the connections between shadow banking and property markets in China. We use Pooled Mean Group estimation to analyze Chinese house prices in 65 cities from 2007-2016, define the "fundamentals¨ of housing prices with the Gordon dividend discount model, and use lagged rents, prices, real and nominal interest rates, and shadow banking activity as short term explanatory factors. We find that the cities tend to share long run fundamentals and adjust relatively quickly to deviations from the fundamentals. We do not find bubbles; rather houses are like growth stocks with house prices rapidly chasing growing rents. More importantly, we find that house prices increase more quickly with the availability of shadow banking funds, which have grown rapidly.

Analisis Komparatif Tingkat Pengembalian Value Stocks dan Growth Stocks di Bursa Efek Indonesia

Purpose- This study aims to examine the difference in returns between portfolio value stocks and growth stocks with comparative analysis. Methods- The population of this research is all companies in the Indonesia Stock Exchange. Based on the results of the purposive sampling method, there were 396 companies that were sampled in this study with IPO criteria before 2011. There were four portfolios formed, namely small growth, small value, big growth and big value portfolios, each consisting of 59 companies. Portfolio performance in this study was measured by the Sharpe, Treynor and Jensen indices. Finding- The results showed a difference in portfolio return value stocks and growth stocks. Return portfolio value stocks are lower than growth stocks portfolios and portfolio performance value stocks are also lower than growth stocks portfolios.

Value and growth stocks and shareholder value creation in Brazil

Purpose Investors label high (low) book-to-market (B/M) firms as value (growth) companies. The conventional wisdom supports that growth stocks grow faster than the value ones, creating greater shareholder value. The Purpose of this paper is to analyze how stocks of growth and value companies create value for their shareholders in Brazil, compared to the USA market. For this, the authors analyze three dimensions of return. Design/methodology/approach First, the authors perform portfolios to analyze the growth rates of shareholders’ return. Then, the authors perform regressions to study the explanatory power of the B/M in growth. The data come from Thomson Reuters Eikon database and the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics. The authors select all non-financial firms with available data from 1997 to 2017. Findings The profitability of growth firms is higher than the value ones, in almost every year after the portfolios’ formation, with little variation. Contrary to the findings for the US market, growth companies in Brazil show higher dividend growth than value companies. Research limitations/implications It is possible that the database does not contain complete and entirely reliable accounting data, which may partially affect the results. Practical implications The findings contradict those exposed in the USA. The implications are the inverse of the US study: the duration-based explanation could be a vital factor for the value premium in the Brazilian stock market. Also, the findings support the standard valuation techniques and help the growth rates estimation in the valuation process (top-down approach). Originality/value This study is the first to compare the profitability and dividend growth of growth/value stocks in the Brazilian market. Overall, growth stocks have considerable profitability, and dividend growth compared to value stocks.

Default Risk and Cross Section of Returns

Prior research uses the basic one-period European call-option pricing model to compute default measures for individual firms and concludes that both the size and book-to-market effects are related to default risk. For example, small firms earn higher return than big firms only if they have higher default risk and value stocks earn higher returns than growth stocks if their default risk is high. In this paper we use a more advanced compound option pricing model for the computation of default risk and provide a more exhaustive test of stock returns using univariate and double-sorted portfolios. The results show that long/short hedge portfolios based on Geske measures of default risk produce significantly larger return differentials than Merton’s measure of default risk. The paper provides new evidence that mediates between the rational and behavioral explanations of value premium.

Growth versus value investing: a case of Nigerian Stock Market

At a time, the Nigeria Stock Exchange (NSE) is generally undergoing bearish trends; the paper investigated the performance of eighty-eight (88) sampled stocks, which were screened with the modern Price Earnings Growth (PEG) ratio into the Growth and the Value Portfolios. This is to ascertain whether the Value Portfolio outperformed the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns. From the researches in the developed and emerging stock markets, the momentum supports that the Value Portfolio outscored the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns. The paper explored pooled data from the Factbooks of the Nigerian Stock Market and the Annual Reports across different industries from 1990 to 2016. Descriptive methods and Arellano and Generalized Methods of Moment (GMM) xtabond2 were adopted to address the outliers, reverse causality and other related consequences of panel data. Similar to the findings from the developed and emerging stock markets, the study recognized that the Value Portfolio over-performed the Growth Portfolio in terms of returns in the NSE. Therefore, it is recommended that rational investors should show more preferences to invest in low-priced Value Stocks to earn higher returns than the high-priced Growth Stocks, which generated lower returns in the NSE.