scholarly journals The Effect of Sustainable Asymmetric Market Conditions on Returns & Volatility in Stock Markets during a Global Financial Crisis

2021 ◽  
pp. 42-56
Author(s):  
Majid Imdad Khan ◽  
Aftab Ahmad ◽  
Rana Shahid Imdad Akash ◽  
Asif Mahmood ◽  
Ayyaz Ahmad ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Sustainable asymmetric market conditions’ development and volatility in stock returns play a vital role in investment decisions during a global financial crisis. Rational investment decisions and portfolio diversification can have the optimum returns. However, portfolio diversification through Islamic stock returns is perceived as a model of safer flight than that of conventional stocks. In the present study, the GARCH (1,1) - (Mean and Variance equations) has been employed to predict the impact of asymmetric market conditions on returns and volatility of Islamic stock markets (Dow Jones Islamic Market Malaysia (DJIM), Dow Jones Islamic Market Indonesia (JKII) and Dow Jones World Islamic Index (DJWI) Benchmark), and Conventional stock markets (Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE-China), Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE-India) and Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSE-Pakistan), during the global financial crisis. The analysis reveals that the bullish effect was higher in all stock markets. Overall results suggested that Islamic stock markets have a sustainable impact of asymmetric market conditions on returns and volatility of Islamic stock markets & conventional stock markets during the global financial crisis. The asymmetric market conditions in stock markets are strongly recommended for economic globalisation during a global financial crisis.

scholarly journals The impact of operating leverage on the capital structure of Johannesburg Stock Exchange-listed firms before and after the 2008 global financial crisis

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Matabane T. Mohohlo ◽  
Johan H. Hall
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Capital Structure ◽  
South African ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Johannesburg Stock Exchange ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Operating Leverage ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Capital Structure

The financial leverage-operating leverage trade-off hypothesis states that as financial leverage increases, management of firms will seek to reduce the exposure to operating leverage in an attempt to balance the overall risk profile of a firm. It is the objective of this study to test this hypothesis and ascertain whether operating leverage can indeed be added to the list of factors that determine the capital structure of South African firms. Forty-six firms listed on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange between 1994 and 2015 are analysed and the impact of operating leverage is determined. The results are split into two periods, that is, the period before the global financial crisis (1994–2007) and after the global financial crisis (2008–2015). The impact of operating leverage during these two periods is then compared to determine whether a change in the impact of operating leverage on the capital structure can be observed especially following the crisis. The results show that the conservative nature of South African firms leading up to 2008 persisted even after the global financial crisis. At an industry level, the results reveal that operating leverage does not have a noticeable impact on capital structure with the exception of firms in the industrials sector of the South African economy.

scholarly journals Ocena zdolności do kontynuowania działalności polskich spółek giełdowych w czasie kryzysu za pomocą modeli wielowymiarowej analizy dyskryminacyjnej

2017 ◽  
pp. 21-62
Author(s):  
Paweł Kopczyński
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Investment Decisions ◽  
Listed Companies ◽  
Multiple Discriminant Analysis ◽  
Financial Situation ◽  
The Real ◽  
Share Prices ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis

Ocena zdolności do kontynuowania działalności polskich spółek giełdowych w czasie kryzysu za pomocą modeli wielowymiarowej analizy dyskryminacyjnej The Global Financial Crisis, which began in 2007, had a huge influence on the situation on world stock markets. The behavior of investors is often affected by various factors which can impact their investment decisions. As they do not always act rationally, have a tendency to overreact and cannot remove all emo-tional components from their decision-making process, it may be difficult to explain their behavior and investment decisions during the crisis, especially those concerning the sale of shares. The huge drop in share prices on world stock markets was visible in the early stages of the crisis, but it probably was not justified by actual deterioration of the financial situation of listed companies. The Global Financial Crisis triggered a wave of panic selling of shares on the Warsaw Stock Exchange (WSE). As the fluctuations in share prices do not always reflect the real economic situation of the companies, it is worth to examine whether the financial standing of companies listed on WSE actually deteriorated and whether the number of companies facing bankruptcy grew during the 2007 Crisis. The main purpose of this article is to evalu-ate the influence of the recent financial crisis on the financial situation and performance of Polish listed companies. Eight multiple discriminant analysis models were utilized to evaluate the real changes in the financial situation of Polish listed companies during the crisis (years 2006-2011). The aforementioned models enable prediction of corporate bankruptcy and measurement of financial health of companies. Theoretically, the number of companies facing bankruptcy should increase in time of crisis. As many as 175 joint-stock companies listed on the regulated market of the WSE were covered by the study. Their financial data were extracted from the Notoria Serwis database, which is available on the University of Lodz Library’s website.

scholarly journals The Impact of the Global Financial Crisis on the Co-Integration Relationship between Reit and Stock Markets: A Dynamic Co-Integration Approach

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
S. Aydin Yüksel ◽  
Asli Yüksel ◽  
Ümit Erol ◽  
Hakki Öztürk
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Structural Breaks ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Main Tool ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
Integration Approach ◽  
Variable Nature ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

The aim of this paper is to analyze the impact of the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) on the co-integration relationship between the REIT and stock market indices using a sample of 10 developed countries. The main tool employed for this purpose is the dynamic co-integration approach. The empirical results strongly suggest that the stock and REIT markets were deeply affected by two successive crises. The first crisis was related to the U.S. subprime problems while the second shock emanated from the European insolvency problems. The shocks led to serious structural breaks in the financial data during the 2007-2012 period. As a result of this and the highly variable nature of the co-integration structure during this period, the conventional and static Johansen tests cannot detect the strong co-integration between the REIT and stock markets which were the result of common negative response of both markets to the successive shocks. Dynamic co-integration approach seems to be a more valid tool to capture the dynamics of the co-integration structure after the GFC. The dynamic approach implies that the destruction of diversification benefits between the REIT and stock markets was essentially a shock related outcome which also implies that the diversification potential between these two markets may still be valid in the absence of shocks.

Volatility of Malaysian conventional and Islamic indices: does financial crisis matter?

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhamad Abduh
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This study aims to investigate the volatility of conventional and Islamic indices and to explore the impact of the global financial crisis toward the volatility of both markets in Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach The data consist of financial times stock exchange group (FTSE) Bursa Malaysia Kuala Lumpur Composite Index and FTSE Bursa Malaysia Hijrah-Shari‘ah Index covering the period January 2008-October 2014. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity is used to find the volatility of the two markets and an ordinary least square model is then used to investigate the impact of the crisis toward the volatility of those markets. Findings Interestingly, the result shows that Islamic index is less volatile during the crisis compared to the conventional index. Furthermore, the crisis is proven to significantly affect the volatility of conventional index in the short run and Islamic index in the long run. Originality/value This study explores the volatility–financial crisis nexus, especially for the Islamic financial markets, which to the best of the author’s knowledge, is still lacking empirical research which may improve the understanding upon this issue.

scholarly journals The source of financial contagion and spillovers: An evaluation of the covid-19 pandemic and the global financial crisis

PLoS ONE ◽  
2022 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. e0261835
Author(s):  
Samet Gunay ◽  
Gokberk Can
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Test Results ◽  
Developed Economies ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the reaction of stock markets to the Covid-19 pandemic and the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 (GFC) and compares their influence in terms of risk exposures. The empirical investigation is conducted using the modified ICSS test, DCC-GARCH, and Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness analysis to examine financial contagion and volatility spillovers. To further reveal the impact of these two crises, the statistical features of tranquil and crisis periods under different time intervals are also compared. The test results show that although the outbreak’s origin was in China, the US stock market is the source of financial contagion and volatility spillovers during the pandemic, just as it was during the GFC. The propagation of shocks is considerably higher between developed economies compared to emerging markets. Additionally, the results show that the COVID-19 pandemic induced a more severe contagious effect and risk transmission than the GFC. The study provides an extensive examination of the COVID-19 pandemic and the GFC in terms of financial contagion and volatility spillovers. The results suggest the presence of strong co-movements of world stock markets with the US equity market, especially in periods of financial turmoil.

scholarly journals An Optimal Control Approach to Portfolio Diversification on Large Cap Stocks Traded in Tokyo Stock Exchange

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Jaffar Sadiq Abdullah ◽  
Norizarina Ishak
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Risk Mitigation ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Diversification Strategy ◽  
Optimal Portfolios ◽  
Control Approach ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Naïve Diversification

In this chapter, Markowitz mean-variance approach is proposed for examining the best portfolio diversification strategy within three subperiods which are during the global financial crisis (GFC), post-global financial crisis, and during the non-crisis period. In our approach, we used 10 securities from five different industries to represent a risk-mitigation parameter. In this way, the naive diversification strategy is used to serve as a comparison for the approach used. During the computation process, the correlation matrices revealed that the portfolio risk is not well diversified during non-crisis periods, meanwhile, the variance-covariance matrices indicated that volatility can be minimized during portfolio construction. On this basis, 10 efficient portfolios were constructed and the optimal portfolios were selected in each subperiods based on the risk-averse preference. Performance-wise that optimal portfolio dominated the naïve strategy throughout the three subperiods tested. All the optimal portfolios selected are yielding more returns compared to the naïve portfolio.

scholarly journals Changes in stock markets interdependencies as a result of the global financial crisis: Empirical investigation on the CEE region

2011 ◽  
Vol 58 (4) ◽  
pp. 525-543 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cristiana Tudor
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Leading Role ◽  
The Us ◽  
The Usa ◽  
The Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Indexes ◽  
European Stock Markets

This paper investigates causal relationships and short-term interaction mechanisms among six Central and Eastern European stock markets and the USA stock exchange, while paying special consideration to the effects of the 2007-2009 global financial crisis. We employ daily observations for the six CEE stock indexes and also for the US market covering the period January 2006-March 2009, which is subsequently divided into two sub-periods corresponding to the pre-crisis and crisis period. The study reveals that the relationships among CEE stock markets are time varying. While before the crisis stock market linkages are limited, we find that during crisis these interactions become significantly stronger. Our results further suggest that the potential for diversifying risk by investing in different CEE markets is limited during financial turmoil. Other findings reveal the leading role of the Russian market in the CEE region before the crisis. Also, before the crisis CEE markets were significantly influenced by innovations in the USA market, thus explaining why they were affected heavily by the crisis, which has managed to spread immediately in the region.

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