scholarly journals Stock return volatility based on intraday high frequency data: double-threshold ACD-GARCH model

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 221-230
Author(s):  
Sunah Chung ◽  
S.Y. Hwang
2016 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 264-283 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingyuan Guo ◽  
Xu Wang

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China based on high-frequency data. Design/methodology/approach – Using a multiplicative error model (hereinafter MEM) to describe the margins in volatility of China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market, this study adopts static and time-varying copulas, respectively, estimated by maximum likelihood estimation method to describe the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China. Findings – This paper has identified the asymmetrical dependence structure in financial market volatility more precisely. Gumbel copula could best fit the empirical distribution as it can capture the relatively high dependence degree in the upper tail part corresponding to the period of volatile price fluctuation in both static and dynamic view. Originality/value – Previous scholars mostly use GARCH model to describe the margins for price volatility. As MEM can efficiently characterize the volatility estimators, this paper uses MEM to model the margins for the market volatility directly based on high-frequency data, and proposes a proper distribution for the innovation in the marginal models. Then we could use copula-MEM other than copula-GARCH model to study on the dependence structure in volatility between Shanghai and Shenzhen stock market in China from a microstructural perspective.


2015 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 215-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ningning Pan ◽  
Hongquan Zhu

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how block trading and asymmetric information contribute to the firm-specific information measured by the stock return synchronicity. Based on China stock market which is dominated by individual investors, this study focus on whether traders of block trading, which are usually institutional investors, are “information trader.” Design/methodology/approach – Based on the high frequency data, the paper constructs two measures of information asymmetry, intraday measure and inter-day measure. Then the paper constructs a multiple regression model and examine how block trading and information asymmetry contribute to the firm-specific information measured by the stock return synchronicity. Findings – The results show that: on the one hand, block trading transmits more firm-specific information, and can reduce the synchronicity; on the other hand, when the degree of information asymmetry is higher, block trading contains more firm-specific information and has a stronger effect on synchronicity. The effect of information asymmetry specifically displays as: block trading during the first half-hour of the trading day has a stronger effect on synchronicity; and block trading occurred in the days with publicly announced trading information has greater impact on synchronicity. Practical implications – The conclusions have important practical implications: for market regulators, monitoring for block trading can improve the recognition and prevention of insider trading; for individual investors, especially the risk aversion investors, recognition of intraday and inter-day information asymmetry is beneficial for them to avoid the risk of asymmetric information. Originality/value – First, the domestic and foreign research mostly concentrated impact of block trading on stock prices. However, reasons of stock price changes include the information effect and non-information effect, this paper selects stock return synchronicity as firm-specific information measure, and mainly focus on the information effect of block trading. Second, based on the high frequency data, the paper constructs two measures of information asymmetry, intraday measure and inter-day measure. Compared with general measure of information asymmetry, such as firm size, earnings quality, the two measures based on high frequency data are more precisely.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 145
Author(s):  
Makoto Nakakita ◽  
Teruo Nakatsuma

Intraday high-frequency data of stock returns exhibit not only typical characteristics (e.g., volatility clustering and the leverage effect) but also a cyclical pattern of return volatility that is known as intraday seasonality. In this paper, we extend the stochastic volatility (SV) model for application with such intraday high-frequency data and develop an efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithm for Bayesian inference of the proposed model. Our modeling strategy is two-fold. First, we model the intraday seasonality of return volatility as a Bernstein polynomial and estimate it along with the stochastic volatility simultaneously. Second, we incorporate skewness and excess kurtosis of stock returns into the SV model by assuming that the error term follows a family of generalized hyperbolic distributions, including variance-gamma and Student’s t distributions. To improve efficiency of MCMC implementation, we apply an ancillarity-sufficiency interweaving strategy (ASIS) and generalized Gibbs sampling. As a demonstration of our new method, we estimate intraday SV models with 1 min return data of a stock price index (TOPIX) and conduct model selection among various specifications with the widely applicable information criterion (WAIC). The result shows that the SV model with the skew variance-gamma error is the best among the candidates.


2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 717-730 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng-ying Fan ◽  
Si-xin Wu ◽  
Zi-long Zhao ◽  
Min Chen

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (11) ◽  
pp. 1922
Author(s):  
Chunliang Deng ◽  
Xingfa Zhang ◽  
Yuan Li ◽  
Qiang Xiong

This work is devoted to the study of the parameter test for the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model. Based on the daily GARCH model, using the parameter estimator obtained by intraday high-frequency data, the adjusted Likelihood Ratio test statistic and Wald test statistic are provided. Asymptotic distributions of the two adjusted test statistics are deducted and a way to select the optimal sampling frequency is also discussed. Simulation studies show that the proposed test statistics have better size and power than traditional ones (without using intraday high-frequency data). An empirical study is given to illustrate the potential applications of the proposed tests. The results show the idea of this article is of certain superiority and it can be extended to other GARCH type models.


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