Local Stock Market Integration with International Gold and Oil Price

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kanon Kumar Sen ◽  
◽  
Md. Thasinul Abedin ◽  
Ratan Ghosh ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Bounds Testing ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Short Run

We look for the integration of Bangladesh Stock Market with international gold and oil price using most recent monthly data set from January 2003 to December 2020 (2003m1-2020m12). We employ the bounds-testing approach to cointegration between stock market index (DSEX) and international gold and oil price and eventually find an integration and dynamic significant impact of international gold and oil price on DSEX in the long and short-run. We discuss the important policy implications of the dynamic impact of international gold and oil price on stock market index.

scholarly journals Granger Causality Approach to Examining Stock Market Integration in West Africa

2019 ◽  
pp. 838-845
Author(s):  
Eseosa David Obadiaru ◽  
Adebayo John Oloyede ◽  
Alex Ehimare Omankhanlen ◽  
Olusegun Barnabas Obasaju
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
West Africa ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
The United States ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Market Index

Stock markets have been found to be increasingly interdependent overtime due to activities related to internationalization, diversification, integration, and globalization. This study assesses the lead/lag interactions between equity markets in the West Africa viz a viz the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK) markets. Stock market index data were analyzed from 2008 - 2016 using the Granger causality test. Findings from the study indicates both uni-directional and bi-directional causality between most of the market pairs implying that none of the market exists in autarky.

scholarly journals Granger Causality Approach to Examining Stock Market Integration in West Africa.

2018 ◽  
pp. 563-570
Author(s):  
Eseosa David Obadiaru ◽  
Adebayo John Oloyede ◽  
Alex Ehimare Omankhanlen ◽  
Olusegun Barnabas Obasaju
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
West Africa ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
The United States ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Market Index

Stock markets have been found to be increasingly interdependent overtime due to activities related to internationalization, diversification, integration, and globalization. This study assesses the lead/lag interactions between equity markets in the West Africa viz a viz the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK) markets. Stock market index data were analyzed from 2008 - 2016 using the Granger causality test. Findings from the study indicates both uni-directional and bi-directional causality between most of the market pairs implying that none of the market exists in autarky.

scholarly journals The Impact of Palm Oil Price on the Malaysian Stock Market Performance

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sabariah Nordin ◽  
Rusmawati Ismail .
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Stock Market Performance ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

The performance of a stock market has always become the center of attention for market analysts and investors. Due to its significant role in the economy of a country, the performance of the stock market is always associated with the economic condition of a country. Because of that, this study intends to examine the impact of commodity prices in influencing the behavior of the stock market index specifically by focusing on the palm oil prices. Since Malaysia is one of the major producers of palm oil, the behavior of the palm oil price is expected to have an influence on the Malaysian stock market index. In pursuing the objective, we have adopted the bounds test approach to analyze the existence of cointegration relationship among the underlying variables of the Malaysian stock market index, interest rate, exchange rate and the price of palm oil. Using monthly data for the period of 1997M12 to 2012M9, results of an ARDL test indicates that all the variables employed are significant in influencing the Malaysian stock market index in the long run as well as in the short run.

scholarly journals The long-Run and Short-Run Analysis between Stock Market Index and Macroeconomic Variables in Jordan: Bounds Tests Approach

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 50
Author(s):  
Raed Walid Al-Smadi ◽  
Muthana Mohammad Omoush
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Equilibrium Relationship ◽  
Short Run

This paper investigates the long-run and short-run relationship between stock market index and the macroeconomic variables in Jordan. Annual time series data for the 1978–2017 periods and the ARDL bounding test are used. The results identify long-run equilibrium relationship between stock market index and the macroeconomic variables in Jordan. Jordanian policy makers have to pay more attention to the current regulation in the Amman Stock Exchange(ASE) and manage it well, thus ultimately helping financial development.

scholarly journals Impact of Macroeconomic and Demographic Variables on the Stock Market: Evidence from Tunisian Crisis

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 194
Author(s):  
Sirine Ben Yaâla ◽  
Jamel Eddine Henchiri
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Demographic Variables ◽  
Second Order ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Order Difference ◽  
Market Index ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run

<p>This study aims to analyze the long-run as well as the short-run relationship between macroeconomic, demographic variables and the Tunisian stock market for the period subsequent to the financial crisis. Monthly data over the period 2008-2014 and ARDL model have been employed. Results indicate that the Tunisian stock market index, macroeconomic and demographic indicators are cointegrated and, therefore, a long-run relationship exists between them. The long-run coefficients suggest that budget deficit, inflation rate and number of unemployed graduates had a negative effect, otherwise, money supply and number of non-resident entries had positive effect on the Tunisian stock market. Moreover, results from the error correction model show that the Tunisian stock market index is influenced positively by money supply and second order difference of the number of unemployed graduated and negatively by first and second order difference of money supply, inflation rate, first order difference of number of non-resident entries and number of unemployment graduates.</p>

Oil price and stock market index in exporting and importing countries: evidence from MENA

2012 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 363
Author(s):  
Hussein Mohammad Salameh ◽  
Bashar Al Zu' ◽  
N.A. bi ◽  
Khaled Abdelal Al Zubi ◽  
Ihab Khaled Magableh
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Stock Market Index ◽  
Market Index

scholarly journals Cross-Country Stock Market Integration and Portfolio Diversification Opportunities Evidence from Developed, Emerging and Frontier Countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sultan Salahuddin ◽  
Muhammad Kashif ◽  
Mobeen Ur Rehman
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
South Korea ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
Country Level ◽  
Low Correlation ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Cross Country

This study examines the stock market integration in cross-regional countries of developed, emerging, and frontier markets based on low correlation. The objective of the study is to identify the diversification opportunities and link between correlation and integration among country-level stocks. For this purpose, we select 62 countries from all three classifications of developed, emerging, and Frontier Markets. We constructed portfolios by selecting least 5 correlated countries denoted with Pjt in which each country has a correlation of less than .10 with base country Pit. Thirty-two countries fulfill the criteria of low correlation; 7, 13 and 12 from developed, emerging and frontier markets, respectively. Panel co-integration and VECM are applied to test the stock market integration and long & short-run linkages between country-level portfolios designed based on low correlation criteria. After conditioning for oil price movements, S&P 500 and exchange rate, we found Canada, France and Germany from developed category; Chile, Colombia, Greece, South Korea, Malaysia, Pakistan and Philippine from emerging category; and Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Morocco, and Sri Lanka from frontier category have long-run diversification opportunities. Countries including; Canada and Italy from developed category; Argentina, Chile, China, Colombia, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Mexico and the Philippine from emerging category; and Bahrain, Kuwait, Morocco, Nigeria, and Tunisia from emerging category have short-run diversification opportunities.

scholarly journals Measuring Co-Movements and Linkages between Nigeria and the UAE Stock Exchanges: Is there Opportunity for Portfolio Building?

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-122
Author(s):  
Shafiu Abdullahi
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
Market Integration ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Portfolio Diversification ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Financial Contagion ◽  
Stock Market Integration ◽  
Short Run

Purpose: The main objective of this study is to examine the relationship between Nigerian Stock Exchange and Dubai stock exchange with the aim of finding out the direction of movements between their respective indices. Approach/Methodology/Design: The methodology adopted for the analysis is ARDL cointegration model and the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM). This is because of their known efficiency in detecting patterns between variables. Findings: The result of the short-run analysis using GMM shows that there is existence of short-run causality between the Dubai financial market (DFM) and the Nigerian stock exchange (NSE). Thus, for investors looking for short- run arbitrage opportunity between the markets, they shall look elsewhere. But, the result of bound testing has shown lack of cointegration between the two markets. This is a sign of existence of opportunities for portfolio diversification between Nigeria stock exchange and Dubai financial market, since the two markets are not cointegrated in the long-run. Practical Implications: The study helps bridge the empirical literature gap in stock market integration and portfolio diversification with reference to the Nigeria and UAE. It will, therefore, guide local and foreign investors with interest in Nigeria and UAE Stock Exchanges. It will also guide Nigerian and UAE policy makers to understand the market better, especially as it concerns financial contagion. Originality/value: This study provides further evidence on stock market integration in emerging markets. New researches shall adopt different methodology such as use of volatility tracking models to measure volatility linkage between the markets.

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