scholarly journals Economic Growth and Unemployment: An Empirical Assessment of Okun’s Law in The Case of Liberia (2001-2019)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Eshun

The economic growth of nations continue to be one of the main issues that economists have been interested in analyzing. In effect, several theories have emerged to explain the growth of nations including the Okun’s law which tests the relationship between economic growth and unemployment. Using the World Bank Dataset, the study tested the validity of Okun's Law in West Africa by employing fixed effect regressions to control for inconsistencies of the OLS estimates due to omitted variable bias. The random and time-fixed effect regressions confirm the validity of the Okun's Law in West Africa. The time-fixed effect regression shows that, economic growth will decline by 0.311 annually for every unit increase in the rate of unemployment. Time variant effects such as changes in policy provides a stronger case for the effect of unemployment rate volatility on the growth of these economies. It is therefore recommended that, various stakeholders adopt efficient fiscal and monetary policies aimed at lowering the rate of unemployment thereby expanding economic growth. One of such policies could be the reduction of the high corporate tax rates in the region that is bedeviling African countries by preventing industries and businesses from being built.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 143-156
Author(s):  
Farhat Rasul ◽  
Nabila Asghar ◽  
Hafeez ur Rehman

This study investigates the validity and asymmetry of output-unemployment relationship for three groups: high income, upper middle income and lower middle income Asian Economies over the period of 1980-2018. This study investigates whether the behavior of labor markets is rigid or flexible in these economies over the sample period. By using the Hodrick and Prescott filter, the study finds a statistically significant relationship between cyclical output and cyclical unemployment; hence provides the evidence of the existence of Okun’s Law with more sensitive results for the lower middle economies as compared to other groups of countries. The study also discovers the evidence of asymmetric relationship of output-unemployment during the recessionary and expansionary period of economic growth. Although the value of coefficient varies due to asymmetry but the variation is found to be small across the three groups of the countries. The study concludes that sample economies have rigid labor markets indicating the persistence of structural unemployment.


Author(s):  
Prihartini Budi Astuti

This study aims to determine the fit between Phillips Curve theory and Okun's law with the economic conditions that occurred in Indonesia in 1986-2016. This research is a descriptive quantitative research. Data used in the study is rate of economic growth, the unemployment rate and the inflation rate in Indonesia in 1986-2016. The data was taken from the website of Bank Indonesia and Badan Pusat Statistik. Quantitative analysis method used is correlation analysis. The analysis showed that there was no agreement between Phillips Curve theory and Okun's law with the economic conditions that occurred in Indonesia in 1986-2016. Phillip curves for compliance with the conditions of the Indonesian economy in 1986-2016, from data analysis obtained correlation coefficient of -0.16 with significance value of 0.931. From these figures, it can be concluded that there is a negative relationship but not significant between inflation and unemployment in Indonesia in 1986 - 2016. For Okun legal compliance with the conditions of the Indonesian economy in 1986 to 2016, from data analysis obtained correlation coefficient of - 0.110 with a significance value of 0,556. From these figures, it can be concluded that there is a negative relationship but not significant between economic growth and unemployment in Indonesia in 1986-2016


2017 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-58
Author(s):  
Paweł Kliber

In the article we attempt to analyse unemployment in regional labour markets in Poland. According to the well-known Okun’s Law changes in unemployment are associated with changes in economic growth. We have examined whether the law is valid in the Polish regional labour markets. We have calculated Okun’s coefficients in the regions of Poland provinces and then estimated these coefficient for the groups of regions using seemingly unrelated regressions (SUR) method, which allows to take account for common shocks. The results show that the later approach (grouping regions) gives a better estimate, because it includes the correlation of random shocks in different provinces. Following the work of Perman, Tavera (2005), the groups of regions with the same values of Okun’s coefficients are treated as “clubs” of provinces with similar macroeconomic structure. Research have revealed the existence of two such clubs: one composed of regions in the western part of the country and the second one consisting of provinces from the eastern part of the Poland.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 21-40
Author(s):  
Daniel Tomić ◽  
Saša Stjepanović ◽  
Vanja Grbac

With the publication of the work “Potential GNP: its measurement and significance” (Okun, 1962), the concept of Okun’s law became an important part of global macroeconomic issues. The empirically determined connection between the national product and unemployment, which is manifested through Okun’s law, belongs to a fundamental part of economic empiricism. Gross domestic product and unemployment are among the main macroeconomic variables that reflect the movement of a country’s economy. The countries we observe in this paper went through a transition period in the 1990s, namely a period of great economic, institutional and economic changes. Precisely because of these changes, we are interested in comparing the Slovak and Croatian economies and testing Okun’s law. The aim of this paper is to show whether Okun’s law is valid for Croatia and Slovakia, or whether there is a correlation between the observed variables for these countries. The final purpose of the paper is to show whether there are similarities between the two observed economies when it comes to Okun’s law. We will show this similarity based on the analysis of data for the period from 2000 to 2018 using vector autoregression. The results of the research have been presented at the end of the paper and they are related to the implications of economic policy in the sphere of the labour market that directly affect economic growth and development.


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