Solar Rotation Multiples in Space-Weather Effects

The solar rotation period is the most prominent mid-term periodicity in the temporal behaviour of solar, heliospheric, and geomagnetic parameters. It is also a cause of the repeatedly appearing geomagnetic storms originating from the corotating interaction regions (CIRs). Since geomagnetic CIR-driven storms have a natural periodic character, and geomagnetic storms impact energy infrastructure via geomagnetically induced currents, it is of interest whether this periodic character is also noticeable in the temporal behaviour of electrical-grid failures (EGFs), which, at least to some extent, might be of solar origin.

Development of a local empirical model of ionospheric total electron content (TEC) and its application for studying solar-ionospheric effects

Regular and irregular variations in total electron content (TEC) are one of the most significant observables in ionospheric studies. During the solar cycle 24, the variability of ionosphere is studied using global positioning system derived TEC at a mid-latitude station, Tehran (35.70N, 51.33E). Based on solar radio flux and seasonal and local time-dependent features of TEC values, a semi-empirical model is developed to represent its monthly/hourly mean values. Observed values of TEC and the results of our semi-empirical model then are compared with estimated values of a standard plasmasphere–ionosphere model. The outcome of this model is an expected mean TEC value considering the monthly/hourly regular effects of solar origin. Thus, it is possible to use it for monitoring irregular effects induced by solar events. As a result, the connection of TEC variations with solar activities are studied for the case of coronal mass ejections accompanying extreme solar flares. TEC response to solar flares of class X is well reproduced by this model. Our resulting values show that the most powerful flares (i.e. class X) induce a variation of more than 20 percent in daily TEC extent.

First solar electron events observed by EPD aboard Solar Orbiter

<p>The first solar electron events detected by Solar Orbiter were observed by the Energetic Particle Detector (EPD) suite during July 11-23, 2020, when the spacecraft was at heliocentric distances between 0.61 and 0.69 au. We combined EPD electron observations from 4 keV to the relativistic range (few MeV), radio dynamic spectra and extreme ultraviolet (EUV) observations from multiple spacecraft in order to identify the solar origin of these electron events. Electron anisotropies and timing as well as the plasma and magnetic field environment were evaluated to characterize the interplanetary transport conditions. We found that all the electron events were clearly associated with type III radio bursts. EUV jets were also found in association with all of them except one. A diversity of time profiles and pitch-angle distributions (ranging from almost isotropic to beam-like) was observed. These observations indicate that different source locations and different magnetic connectivity and transport conditions were likely involved. The broad spectral range covered by EPD with excellent energy resolution and the high time cadence ensure that future observations close to the Sun will contribute to the understanding of the acceleration, release, and transport processes of energetic particles. EPD observations will play a key role in the identification of the sources of impulsive events and the links between the near-relativistic electrons and the ion populations enriched in <sup>3</sup>He and heavy ions</p><p> </p>

Geoelectric field as a GIC proxy during the intense geomagnetic storms and Polish transmission lines failures occurrence

<p>We study intense geomagnetic storms (Dst < 100nT) during the first half of the solar cycle 24. This type of storm appeared only a few times, mostly associated with southwardly directed heliospheric magnetic field  B<sub>z</sub> . Using various methodology as self-organizing maps, statistical and superposed epoch analysis, we show that during and right after intense geomagnetic storms, growth in the number of transmission lines failures, which might be of solar origin, appeared. We also examine the temporal changes in the number of failures during 2010-2014 and found the growing linear tendency of electrical grid failures occurrence possibly connected with solar activity. We confront these results with the geoelectric field calculated for the Poland region using a 1-D layered conductivity Earth model.</p>

The Unusual Widespread Solar Energetic Particle Event on 2013 August 19: Solar origin, CME-driven shock evolution and particle longitudinal distribution

<p>Context: Late on 2013 August 19, STEREO-A, STEREO-B, MESSENGER, Mars Odyssey, and L1 spacecraft, spanning a longitudinal range of 222° in the ecliptic plane, observed an energetic particle flux increase. The widespread solar energetic particle (SEP) event was associated with a coronal mass ejection (CME) that came from a region located near the far-side central meridian from Earth's perspective. The CME appeared to consist of two eruptions, and was accompanied by a ~M3 flare as a post-eruption arcade, and low-frequency (interplanetary) type II and shock-accelerated type III radio bursts.</p><p>Aims: The main objectives of this study are two, disentangling the reasons of the different intensity-time profiles observed by MESSENGER and STEREO-A, longitudinally separated by only 15°, and unravelling the single solar source related with the SEP event.</p><p>Results: The solar source associated with the widespread SEP event is the shock driven by the two-stages CME, as the flare observed as a posteruptive arcade is too late to explain the estimated particle onset. The different intensity-time profiles observed by STEREO-A, located at 0.97 au, and MESSENGER, at 0.33 au, can be interpreted as enhanced particle scattering beyond Mercury's orbit. The longitudinal extent of the shock does not explain by itself the wide spread of particles in the heliosphere. The particle increase observed at L1 may be attributed to cross-field diffusion transport, and this is also the case for STEREO-B, at least until the spacecraft is eventually magnetically connected to the shock at ~0.6 au. The CME-driven shock may have suffered distortion in its evolution in the heliosphere, such that the shock flank overtakes the shock nose at 1 au.</p>

EVOLUTION OF THE IMAGE OF THE SKY (“TENGER”) IN DAURIAN CULTURE

The article studies the historical transformation of the image of the sky in Daurian culture. The authors analyze the myths and shamanistic rituals of the Daur people. The concept of the sky - “tenger” - refers not only to the sky itself, but also to the tops of deer horns, tree tops, the upper part of human and horse’s heads. The authors compare the Daurian and Buryat shamanistic rituals and reveal many similar points. They come to the conclusion that the ancient people worshiped the image of “tenger” as the sun and the moon. After the Neolithic period, “tenger” worship was expressed in the totemistic cult of eagle. The cult of horse was also associated with the sky worship; Daurs sacrificed white horses and bulls to the sky. The authors find out the solar origin of the fairytale heroes of some Daurian myths as well. The sun also appeared as mother in mythical representation. Ancient people considered the sun and the moon as a man and a woman respectively. In the period of matriarchy, when paired marriages arose, there appeared the Daurian myth of marriage of two siblings to two celestial fairies (dakini)...

The ambiguous sea level rise at Brest’s 212 yearlong record elucidated

The tide gauge record at Brest, France, along Eastern part of Atlantic coast is one of the longest records in Europe spanning 212 years (1807–2019). Analyzing these records has important ramifications in assessing anthropogenic impact of climate change at local and regional scales during this period. All the previous studies that analyzed Brest’s tide gauge record have used vaguely defined quadratics models and did not incorporate the effect of sea level variations at various frequencies, which confounded the presence or absence of a plausible uniform acceleration. Here, we entertained two competing kinematic models; one with a uniform acceleration representing 212 years of monthly averaged tide gauge data, the other is a two-phase trend model (Phase I is 93 years long and Phase II is 119 years long). Both models include statistically significant (α = 0.05) common periodic effects, and sub and super harmonics of luni-solar origin for representing monthly averaged sea level anomalies observed at Brest. The least squares statistics for both models’ solutions cannot distinguish one model over the other, like earlier studies. However, the assessment of Phase I segment of the records disclosed the absence of a statistically significant trend and a uniform acceleration during this period. This outcome eliminates conclusively the occurrence of a uniform acceleration during the entire 212-year data span of the tide gauge record at Brest, favoring the two-phase trend model as a sound alternative.