Do candidates benefit from rejecting PAC contributions? Evidence from a pre-registered candidate evaluation survey experiment

Despite the public's purported distaste for candidates supported by political action committees (PACs), they remain prominent in American electoral politics, with their total spending exceeding $582 million in the 2020 cycle. Does this dislike of PACs provide an opportunity for candidates to increase their likelihood of (re)election? Using a candidate evaluation survey experiment fielded as part of the 2020 Cooperative Congressional Election Study (CCES), we investigate how the decision to accept or reject PAC contributions affects candidates' evaluation and voters' willingness to support their election efforts. We find that voters are more likely to vote for, donate to, and trust candidates that reject PAC contributions. Surprisingly we fail to find evidence of moderation by respondent's party ID. Republican and Democratic voters both penalize candidates that accept PAC money. This study is among the first to study how candidates' campaign financing choices influence their evaluation by voters.

Social Impact: Social Good, Social Neutrality, Social Bad, and Social Disaster: When Is Doing What You Have A “Right” To Do He “Right” Thing To Do?

Social good has been defined as “services or products that promote human well-being on a large scale.” While there seems to be agreement about the definitional “space” of social good, concepts of social action, social justice, and social impact require further attention.Producing social good does not require injustice: improvements can be made even when there is no injustice. Social good might be considered the first step in a triad containing social better (ment) and social best (good, better, best), with impactful results produced by social actors.There may be large cultural “umbrellas,” widely held value bundles, which define whole societies at points in time and over time. We discuss two: “the lonely crowd,” and “party ID.”We use a portfolio analysis to look at the elements of social good and social bad: social very good, social good, social neutrality, social bad, and social disaster, and then consider three examples of positive social impacts, and five examples of negative social impacts.We suggest a guide to social action to help us make better decisions aimed toward the A or B outcomes (Social Very Good and Social Good), using three steps: awareness of hidden bias, regular decision refurbishment, and using decision rules.The goal of this paper is to share ideas to help avoid social bad, and to help achieve social good. Ideally, social good considerations will become a regular part of the decision-making process.

KEGAGALAN TUAN GURU H.LALU FARHAN RASIYD MAKBUL DALAM MEMENANGKAN PEMILIHAN UMUM LEGISLATIF TAHUN 2014

Tuan Guru barangkali tidak bisa diabaikan. Berdasarkan kondisi di lapangan, peran Tuan Guru itu paling tidak diasumsikan penting dalam duaperkara. Pertama, sebagai perantara jagat spiritualitas.Kedua, sebagai penguasapondok pesantren.Di desa Ganti dalam pemilu tahun 2014 salah satu Tuan Guru yaitu Tuan Guru H. Lalu Farhan Rasyid Makbul yang senior yang memiliki yayasan atau pondok pesantren ikut mencalonkan diri sebagai caleg namun pada tahap perhitungan suara terakhir Tuan Guru tersebut tidak berhasil terpilih. Yang terpilih yaitu dari golongan biasa yaitu Legawarman.S.IP.Untuk memenangkan kiontestasi pemilihan legislatif secara langsung.untuk menjelaskna Bagaimanakah kegagalan Tuan Guru H. Lalu Farhan Rasyid Makbul dalam persfektif identifikasi Partai Amanat Nasional (PAN) dalam memenangkan Pemilihan Legislatif tahun 2014?.Dalam penelitian ini penulis akan menggunakan pendekatan kualitatif dengan metode analisis deskriftif analisis. Dalam penelitian ini pula, teori yang digunakan adalah identifikasi partai (PARTY ID)Teori identifikasi partai(PARTY ID)dilandasi oleh konsep sikap dan sosialisasi. Sikap seseorang sangat mempengaruhi perilaku politiknya. Setelah melihat dilapangan bahwa kegagalan Tuan Guru H. Lalu Farhan Rasyid sudah cukup maksimal dalam menyumbang suara terhadap PAN. Kesimpulan yang diperoleh dari penelitian tentang Kegagalan Tuan Guru H. Lalu Farhan Rasiyd Makbul dalam persfektif identifikasi partai (Party ID) dalam memenangkan pemilihan legislatif tahun 2014 di kabupaten lombok tengah, dapat dikatakan bahwa secara ideologi PAN dikalangan masyarakat tidak ada masalah, artinya masyarakat dalam hal ideologi partai itu bukan jadi persoalan.

How Do Legislators Value Constituent’s (Statistical) Lives? COVID-19, Partisanship, and Value of a Statistical Life Analysis

Value of statistical life (VSL) analysis is common place in policy circles to evaluate the effectiveness of policy. As I show using a novel survey experiment with United States' state legislators, actual use of VSL analysis faces several problems. Firstly, policy preferences are inelastic, unchanging, regardless of the cost. Secondly, policy preferences are determined in large by actors' party ID. This means that VSL analysis, in practice, will either encourage policies that are too risky to too risk adverse.

RELASI POLITIK UANG DAN PARTY-ID DI INDONESIA

Tulisan ini secara spesifik melihat implikasi serius dari rendahnya Party-ID terhadap masivnya praktek politik uang di Indonesia. Prosesi demokrasi elektoral di Indonesia bekerja dengan logika padat modal sehingga kekuatan finansial menjadi salah satu faktor determinan dalam kemenangan kandidat politik. Hal ini beririsan secara bersamaan dengan terjadinya proses deideologisasi yang berlangsung secara masif ditubuh partai politik dan pemilih sehingga tingkatan Party-ID menjadi lemah. Metode penelitian yang digunakan adalah kualitatif dengan pendekatan studi literatur. Data utama yang digunakan berasal dari jurnal, buku, maupun internet. Penelitian ini menunjukan bahwa gagalnya fungsi representasi politik (artikulasi dan agregasi kepentingan) yang ditampilkan partai politik membuat ikatan kedekatan ideologis (Party-ID) dengan masyarakat menjadi begitu rapuh. Hilangnya kohesi ideologis tersebut turut andil menguatkan tipologi floating mass yang seringkali harus diikat kembali melalui pendekatan politik uang ketika momen elektoral hadir (Pemilu dan Pilkada). Memperkuat fungsi intermediasi Partai Politik melalui reformasi kelembagaan dan kerja-kerja politik ideologis adalah salah satu solusi strategis memutus mata rantai politik uang di Indonesia.

Partisan Dimensions of Confidence in the U.S. Military, 1973–2016

Americans express more confidence in their military than any other institution. The components and causes of confidence have been little studied, especially as a partisan phenomenon. This study assesses trends in how partisanship and ideology affect confidence in the military. Multivariate analysis of General Social Survey and Harris Poll data shows that while confidence has increased for all demographic and political subgroups, partisanship and ideology play larger roles than commonly recognized. Democrats and Republicans are more confident than independents, but Republican confidence increased sharply over the last 20 years. Party ID is now the best predictor of one's confidence in the military. Conservative ideology has little effect, but liberalism reduces confidence, splitting Democrats. The pattern is not only “Republicanization,” however; partisans on both sides are more confident when their party holds the White House.

Kebangkitan Party ID: Analisis Perilaku Memilih dalam Politik Lokal di Indonesia

This article explains that the party identifi cation (party ID) has become the main factor of voting behaviorin local politics in Indonesia. Voters no longer dominant consider the proximity factor, both ethnic andregional proximity in determining vote choice, as a general conclusion that has been used to explain votingbehavioral in local politics in Indonesia. This article confi rms that voters tend to conform to the party thenmake a choice their voices to candidates that are off ered by the party.