How transnational party alliances influence national parties' policies

Previous research reports that parties in established European democracies learn from and emulate the successful election strategies of foreign incumbents, i.e., successful parties are influential abroad. We theorize that—in addition to incumbency (or success)—exchange takes place through transnational party alliances in the European Union. Relying on party manifesto data and spatial econometric analyses, we show that belonging to the same European Parliament (EP) party group enhances learning and emulation processes between national political parties. Estimated short- and long-term effects are approximately two and three times greater when foreign incumbents are in the same EP party group compared to other foreign incumbents. Our results have implications for our understanding of how transnational party groups influence national parties’ policy positions.

US parties will modify election strategies

Headline UNITED STATES: Parties will modify poll strategies

The Dynamic Electoral Returns of a Large Anti-Poverty Program

Short-term re-election strategies are widely used by governments around the world. This is problematic if governments can maximize their re-election chances by prioritizing short-term spending before an election over long-term reforms. This paper tests whether longer program exposure has a causal effect on election outcomes in the context of a large anti-poverty program in India. Using a regression-discontinuity framework, the results show that length of program exposure lowers electoral support for the government. The paper discusses a couple of potential explanations, finding that the most plausible mechanism is that voters hold the government accountable for the program's implementation quality.

How Transnational Party Alliances Influence National Parties' Policies

Previous research reports that parties in established European democracies learn from and emulate the successful election strategies of foreign incumbents, i.e., successful parties are influential abroad. We theorize that - in addition to incumbency (or success) - exchange takes place through transnational party alliances in the European Union. Relying on party manifesto data and spatial econometric analyses, we show that belonging to the same European Parliament party group enhances learning and emulation processes between national political parties. Estimated short- and long-term effects are approximately two and three times greater when foreign incumbents are in the same European Parliament party group compared to other foreign incumbents. Our results have implications for our understanding of how transnational party groups influence national parties’ policy positions.

US demography will test parties’ election strategies

Subject US suburban politics and election campaiging ahead of the 2020 elections. Significance Both parties are gearing up for the 2020 elections next November, and much of the fight for votes will take place in the suburbs. Shifting demographics and economics are making US suburbs more diverse and varied, but simultaneously more segregated and unequal. Consequently, electoral politics in the suburbs are overall turning less favourable to the Republicans, making generalisations about suburban voters’ intentions in 2020 less well-founded. Impacts Democrats will need to campaign in traditionally blue Midwestern states that Trump won in 2016. Trump’s presence on the ballot will bolster core Republican support and encourage voters to turn out who otherwise might not. Federal and state programmes that now focus almost fully on inner-city poverty will need redirection to rising suburban poverty.

Follow the foreign leader? Why following foreign incumbents is an effective electoral strategy

Previous research suggests that political parties respond to left–right policy positions of successful foreign political parties (“foreign leaders”). We evaluate whether this is an effective electoral strategy: specifically, do political parties gain votes in elections when they respond to successful foreign parties? We argue that parties that follow foreign leaders will arrive at policy positions closer to their own (domestic) median voter, which increases their electoral support. The analysis is based on a two-stage model specification of parties’ vote shares and suggests that following foreign leaders is a beneficial election strategy in national election because it allows them to better identify the position of their own median voter. These findings have important implications for our understanding of political representation, parties’ election strategies, and for policy diffusion.

Islam may define 2019 Indonesian election strategies

Significance The Jakarta governor election was marked by Islamist groups’ support for Anies and opposition to his rival, now-former governor Basuki Tjahaja Purnama (often called “Ahok”), a Christian and ethnic Chinese who was found guilty on a charge of blasphemy and imprisoned for two years. Both the election and a recent survey that found broad support for sharia (Islamic law) across all Indonesian provinces have raised the issue of the salience of political Islam in the country. Impacts If his opponents make greater use of Islam politically, President Joko “Jokowi” Widodo may adopt more Islamic policies. In this scenario, he would likely adopt mainly symbolic measures, though a nationwide alcohol ban is possible. Islamic politics could be reflected in future business regulations. Halal foods and services will likely grow, shutting out some businesses but advantaging others.

Political marketing in the times of big data

Academic considerations on the topic of political marketing very often boil down to discussing the political history of the 20th and 21st centuries, while failing to account for the significant changes in the range of instruments used to implement election strategies. However, the academic discussion about political marketing as an applied sub-discipline should take into account some mechanisms for accomplishing specified tasks. Therefore, the purpose of this paper is to fill this gap and try to examine the influence of the tools based on big data on the broad picture of what we name marketing activities in the field of politics. We would like to present readers with our hypothesis that the profound changes in this area that were particularly noticeable in the election and referendum campaigns in 2016 may provide a premise to identify a new paradigm in the discussion on the use of marketing strategies in political communication. It would be based on the Internet combining the function of a communication channel and a source of data about voters. This information is next used for marketing purposes. It should be emphasized that this mechanism that has been used in the field of commercial activities for almost a decade, in the field of politics produces completely new and potentially dangerous consequences for citizens

AN ANALYSIS OF SELF-REGULATED LEARNING ON MATHEMATICS EDUCATION STUDENT FKIP UNDANA

This research aims to explore the differences among self regulating learning aspect of math education students-FKIP Undana involving three groups of students which are the first level (the first semester), second level (fifth semester) and third level (ninth semesters) students to review the ability of the individual. The samples included 167 students that consist of 60 students of the first level (18 with high ability; 27 with average ability and 15 with low ability), 64 students of the second level (16 with high ability, 30 with average ability and 18 with low ability) and 43 students of the third level (6 with high ability, 24 with average ability and 13 with low ability). This research is a survey research. The data collection is done by distributing questionnaires on self-regulated learning to those three groups. SRL questionnaire consists of 10 aspects, goal setting, motivation, learning difficulties analysis, self-efficacy, election strategies, meta cognition, resource management, performance evaluation, evaluation of the understanding, and self-satisfaction. Two-way ANOVA was utilized in the data analysis of this study. The results of the analysis showed that, the first level group is more excellent in SRL than two other levels. In a review of capabilities, the average comparison of all three groups showed that the average-ability students excel both the high and low-ability students in SRL.