Trends in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Incidences in Japan Between 1996 and 2019

Background: While the proportion of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases with non-viral etiology continues to increase in Japan, the epidemiological trends in the sex and age distribution of new HCC cases remain unclear. This study examines the epidemiological trends, including the distribution of sex, age, and disease etiology, in HCC incidence over 24 years.Methods: Data of 20,547 newly diagnosed HCC patients in 1996–2019 at 19 institutions participating in the Liver Cancer Study Group of Kyushu were analyzed in this prospective study. We divided the study period into four 6-year quarters. HCC etiology was categorized as hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, HBV+hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, HCV infection, and both negative (non-BC). Results: The incidences of HCC per quarter of the study period were 4,311 (21.0%), 5,505 (26.8%), 5,776 (28.1%), and 4,955 (24.1%) cases, sequentially. Overall, 14,020 (68.2%) patients were male. The number of HCC cases in patients ≤50 years, 60–69 years, 70–79 years, and ≥80 years were 3,711 (18.1%), 6,652 (32.4%), 7,448 (36.2%), and 2,736 (13.3%), respectively. The average age of newly diagnosed patients increased in each quarter. HCC was associated with HBV, HBV+HCV, and HCV infections and non-BC in 2,997 (14.6%), 187 (0.9%), and 12,019 (58.5%), and 5,344 (26.0%) cases, respectively. The number of HCV-associated cases decreased in each quarter, while that of non-BC-associated cases increased.Conclusions: HCC incidence tends to increase in the elderly and in non-BC patients; in contrast, HCC incidence due to HCV tends to decrease. In countries where HCV infection is likely the predominant cause of HCC, similar trends in HCC incidence are anticipated in the future.

Preoperative risk grade predicts the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a retrospective cohort analysis

Background Cumulating evidence indicates that the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) plays a crucial role in the prognosis of various cancers. We aimed to generate a preoperative risk grade (PRG) by integrating SIR markers to preoperatively predict the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC). Methods 468 consecutive ICC patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2010 and 2017 were enrolled. The PRG and a nomogram were generated and their predictive accuracy was evaluated. Results The PRG consisted of two non-tumor-specific SIR markers platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and albumin (ALB), which were both the independent predictors of overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis showed that the PRG was significantly associated with OS (PRG = 1: hazard ratio (HR) = 3.800, p < 0.001; PRG = 2: HR = 7.585, p < 0.001). The C-index of the PRG for predicting survival was 0.685 (95% CI 0.655 to 0.716), which was statistically higher than that of the following systems: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition (C-index 0.645), Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) (C-index 0.644) and Okabayashi (C-index 0.633) (p < 0.05). Besides, the C-index of the nomogram only consisting of the tumor-specific factors (serum carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, tumor number) could be improved to 0.737 (95% CI 0.062–0.768) from 0.625 (95% CI 0.585–0.665) when the PRG was incorporated (p < 0.001). Conclusions The PRG integrating two non-tumor-specific SIR markers PLR and ALB was a novel method to preoperative predicting the prognosis of ICC.

Preoperative risk grade predicts the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a retrospective cohort analysis

Background: Cumulating evidence indicates that the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) plays a crucial role in the prognosis of various cancers. We aimed to generate a preoperative risk grade (PRG) by integrating SIR markers to preoperatively predict the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).Methods: 468 consecutive ICC patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2010 to 2017 were enrolled. The PRG and a nomogram were generated and their predictive accuracy was evaluated. Results: The PRG consisted of two non-tumor-specific SIR markers platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and albumin (ALB), which were both the independent predictors of overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis showed that the PRG was significantly associated with OS (PRG =1: Hazard ratio (HR) = 3.800, p < 0.001; PRG = 2: HR = 7.585, p < 0.001). The C-index of the PRG for predicting survival was 0.685 (95% CI: 0.655 to 0.716), which was statistically higher than that of the following systems: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition (C-index 0.645), Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) (C-index 0.644) and Okabayashi (C-index 0.633) (p < 0.05). Besides, the C-index of the nomogram only consisting of the tumor-specific factors (serum carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, tumor number) could be improved to 0.737 (95% CI: 0.062-0.768) from 0.625 (95% CI: 0.585-0.665) when the PRG was incorporated (p < 0.001).Conclusions: The PRG integrating two non-tumor-specific SIR markers PLR and ALB was a novel method to preoperative predicting the prognosis of ICC.

Preoperative risk grade predicts the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: a retrospective cohort analysis

Background: Cumulating evidence indicates that the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) plays a crucial role in the prognosis of various cancers. We aimed to generate a preoperative risk grade (PRG) by integrating SIR markers to preoperatively predict the long-term prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC).Methods: 468 consecutive ICC patients who underwent hepatectomy between 2010 to 2017 were enrolled. The PRG and a nomogram were generated and their predictive accuracy was evaluated.Results: The PRG consisted of two non-tumor-specific SIR markers platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and albumin (ALB), which were both the independent predictors of overall survival (OS). Multivariate analysis showed that the PRG was significantly associated with OS (PRG =1: Hazard ratio (HR) = 3.800, p < 0.001; PRG = 2: HR = 7.585, p < 0.001). The C-index of the PRG for predicting survival was 0.685 (95% CI: 0.655 to 0.716), which was statistically higher than that of the following systems: American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 8th edition (C-index 0.645), Liver Cancer Study Group of Japan (LCSGJ) (C-index 0.644) and Okabayashi (C-index 0.633) (p < 0.05). Besides, the C-index of the nomogram only consisting of the tumor-specific factors (serum carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, tumor number) could be improved to 0.737 (95% CI: 0.062-0.768) from 0.625 (95% CI: 0.585-0.665) when the PRG was incorporated (p < 0.001).Conclusions: The PRG integrating two non-tumor-specific SIR markers PLR and ALB was a novel method to preoperative predicting the prognosis of ICC.