A New Bivariate Random Coefficient INAR(1) Model with Applications

Excess zeros is a common phenomenon in time series of counts, but it is not well studied in asymmetrically structured bivariate cases. To fill this gap, we first considered a new first-order, bivariate, random coefficient, integer-valued autoregressive model with a bivariate innovation, which follows the asymmetric Hermite distuibution with five parameters. An attractive advantage of the new model is that the dependence between series is achieved by innovative parts and the cross-dependence of the series. In addition, the time series of counts are modeled with excess zeros, low counts and low over-dispersion. Next, we established the stationarity and ergodicity of the new model and found its stochastic properties. We discuss the conditional maximum likelihood (CML) estimate and its asymptotic property. We assessed finite sample performances of estimators through a simulation study. Finally, we demonstrate the superiority of the proposed model by analyzing an artificial dataset and a real dataset.

First-Order Random Coefficient Multinomial Autoregressive Model for Finite-Range Time Series of Counts

In view of the complexity and asymmetry of finite range multi-state integer-valued time series data, we propose a first-order random coefficient multinomial autoregressive model in this paper. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of the model are discussed. Conditional least squares (CLS) and weighted conditional least squares (WCLS) estimators of the model parameters are derived, and their asymptotic properties are established. In simulation studies, we compare these two methods with the conditional maximum likelihood (CML) method to verify the proposed procedure. A real example is applied to illustrate the advantages of our model.

Interpreting Stochastic Frontier Model as Random Coefficient Model and Vice Versa

This note explores the relationship between the stochastic frontier model and the random coefficient regression model. It shows how to interpret the former as a special case of the latter and vice versa. JEL classification numbers: C13, C51, D24. Keywords: Stochastic production frontier, Random coefficient regression, Composite error, Technical inefficiency.

On simultaneous limits for aggregation of stationary randomized INAR(1) processes with poisson innovations

We investigate joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of N independent copies of strictly stationary INteger-valued AutoRegressive processes of order 1 (INAR(1)) with random coefficient α ∈ (0, 1) and with idiosyncratic Poisson innovations. Assuming that α has a density function of the form ψ(x) (1 − x) β , x ∈ (0, 1), with β ∈ (−1, ∞) and lim x ↑ 1 ψ ( x ) = ψ 1 ∈ ( 0 , ∞ ) $\lim\limits_{x\uparrow 1} \psi(x) = \psi_1 \in (0, \infty)$ , different limits of appropriately centered and scaled aggregated partial sums are shown to exist for β ∈ (−1, 0] in the so-called simultaneous case, i.e., when both N and the time scale n increase to infinity at a given rate. The case β ∈ (0, ∞) remains open. We also give a new explicit formula for the joint characteristic functions of finite dimensional distributions of the appropriately centered aggregated process in question.