Change in plutonium sedimentation fluxes into the bottom sediments of the Sevastopol Bay before and after the Chernobyl NPP accident

The Sevastopol Bay located in the northern Black Sea was exposed to radioactive contamination by anthropogenic radionuclides, inter alia 238,239+240Pu, and to other types of anthropogenic load. One of them was the construction of breakwaters at the bay mouth in 1975–1986, which resulted in a change in the hydrological regime. The aim of this work was to assess the change in 238Pu and 239+240Pu sedimentation fluxes into the bottom sediments of the Sevastopol Bay mouth in the period before and after the Chernobyl NPP accident (1962–1986 and 1986–2013, respectively). Plutonium in sediments was determined by the radiochemical method, followed by measurement of the activity of radioisotopes with an alpha spectrometer. The sedimentation rate was defined by geochronological dating of sediment layers, accessing the change in 238Pu/239+240Pu activity ratio in the bottom sediment core. Then, the mass accumulation rate in the bottom sediments was calculated. As established, in the period after 1986, the mean annual sedimentation rate and mass accumulation rate in the bay mouth increased by 63 and 70 %, respectively. Assessment of 238,239+240Pu sedimentation fluxes during two research periods showed as follows: after 1986, 238Pu and 239+240Pu fluxes into the bottom sediments increased by 150 and 49 %, respectively. The increased 238Pu percentage in plutonium sedimentation flux after 1986 indicates Chernobyl origin of plutonium in the bottom sediment layers above 11 cm. In the post-Chernobyl period, the cumulative effect of an increase in 238,239+240Pu sedimentation flux into the bay mouth results both from an increase in the radioactive fallout intensity after the Chernobyl NPP accident and an effect of breakwaters on the regime of sedimentation processes in the water area (an increase in the mass accumulation rate).

Reduction of Bias from Parameter Variance in Geophysical Data Estimation: Method and Application to Ice Water Content and Sedimentation Flux Estimated from Lidar

This paper addresses issues of statistical misrepresentation of the a priori parameters (henceforth called ancillary parameters) used in geophysical data estimation. Parameterizations using ancillary data are frequently needed to derive geophysical data of interest from remote measurements. Empirical fits to the ancillary data that do not preserve the distribution of such data may induce substantial bias. A semianalytical averaging approach based on Taylor expansion is presented to improve estimated cirrus ice water content and sedimentation flux for a range of volume extinction coefficients retrieved from spaceborne lidar observations by CALIOP combined with the estimated distribution of ancillary data from in situ aircraft measurements of ice particle microphysical parameters and temperature. It is shown that, given an idealized distribution of input parameters, the approach performs well against Monte Carlo benchmark predictions. Using examples with idealized distributions at the mean temperature for the tropics at 15 km, it is estimated that the commonly neglected variance observed in in situ measurements of effective diameters may produce a worst-case estimation bias spanning up to a factor of 2. For ice sedimentation flux, a similar variance in particle size distributions and extinctions produces a worst-case estimation bias of a factor of 9. The value of the bias is found to be mostly set by the correlation coefficient between extinction and ice effective diameter, which in this test ranged between all possible values. Systematic reporting of variances and covariances in the ancillary data and between data and observed quantities would allow for more accurate observational estimates.

Research on the Accumulative Effect by the Endogenous Release of Sediment in Offshore Area from Guanhe to Liezihe Estuary

The paper conducts a quantitative study on the accumulative effect of the sedimentation and release of the sediment pollutants in the offshore area from Guanhe to Liezihe Estuary of Jiangsu along China coast. The study begins with the index of major pollutants in the sediment of this area and establishes the calculation relations of them between the water over the seabed and sediment pollutants. The sedimentation flux of suspended substances is calculated taking into account the mud-sand absorption in the river estuaries and the change of sediment release with time and space. Hydrodynamic force as the basic principle as well as the determining factor for offshore sediment release is analyzed in the last section of the paper. The model for the sedimentation release and the calculation formula for the sediment release ratio are established, and related parameters are set based on actual measurement and analysis of space attenuation of sediment release. Innovation is made for the “method of concentration difference location for sediment mixture” and the increment of pollutants and decrement of environmental capacity within a specific area are calculated. Calculation and verification are also carried out based on the data from actual measurement.

Assessing uncertainty in radar measurements on simplified meteorological scenarios

A three-dimensional radar simulator model (RSM) developed by Haase (1998) is coupled with the nonhydrostatic mesoscale weather forecast model Lokal-Modell (LM). The radar simulator is able to model reflectivity measurements by using the following meteorological fields, generated by Lokal Modell, as inputs: temperature, pressure, water vapour content, cloud water content, cloud ice content, rain sedimentation flux and snow sedimentation flux. This work focuses on the assessment of some uncertainty sources associated with radar measurements: absorption by the atmospheric gases, e.g., molecular oxygen, water vapour, and nitrogen; attenuation due to the presence of a highly reflecting structure between the radar and a "target structure". RSM results for a simplified meteorological scenario, consisting of a humid updraft on a flat surface and four cells placed around it, are presented.