scholarly journals Dynamical downscaling of tropical cyclones from CCSM4 simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 1229-1247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinwoong Yoo ◽  
Joseph Galewsky ◽  
Suzana J. Camargo ◽  
Robert Korty ◽  
Ryan Zamora
2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (2) ◽  
pp. 659-674
Author(s):  
Quinton A. Lawton ◽  
Robert L. Korty ◽  
Ryan A. Zamora

AbstractThe tracks, intensities, and other properties of tropical cyclones downscaled from three models’ simulations of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) are analyzed and compared to those of storms downscaled from simulations of the present climate. Globally, the mean maximum intensity of storms generated from each model is lower at LGM, as is the fraction of all storms that reach intensities of category 4 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane wind scale. The median day of the storm season shifts earlier by an average of one week in all three models in both hemispheres. Two of the three models’ LGM simulations feature a reduction in storm count and global power dissipation index compared to the current climate, but a third shows no significant difference between the two climates. Although each model is forced by the same global changes, differences in the way sea surface temperatures and other large-scale environmental conditions respond in the North Atlantic impart significant differences in the climatology at LGM between models. Our results from the cold LGM provide a novel opportunity to assess how tropical cyclones respond to climate changes.


2001 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Edward C. Little ◽  
Lionel E. Jackson ◽  
Thomas S. James ◽  
Stephen R. Hicock ◽  
Elizabeth R. Leboe

2021 ◽  
pp. 10-17
Author(s):  
Oguz Turkozan

A cycle of glacial and interglacial periods in the Quaternary caused species’ ranges to expand and contract in response to climatic and environmental changes. During interglacial periods, many species expanded their distribution ranges from refugia into higher elevations and latitudes. In the present work, we projected the responses of the five lineages of Testudo graeca in the Middle East and Transcaucasia as the climate shifted from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, Mid – Holocene), to the present. Under the past LGM and Mid-Holocene bioclimatic conditions, models predicted relatively more suitable habitats for some of the lineages. The most significant bioclimatic variables in predicting the present and past potential distribution of clades are the precipitation of the warmest quarter for T. g. armeniaca (95.8 %), precipitation seasonality for T. g. buxtoni (85.0 %), minimum temperature of the coldest month for T. g. ibera (75.4 %), precipitation of the coldest quarter for T. g. terrestris (34.1 %), and the mean temperature of the driest quarter for T. g. zarudyni (88.8 %). Since the LGM, we hypothesise that the ranges of lineages have either expanded (T. g. ibera), contracted (T. g. zarudnyi) or remained stable (T. g. terrestris), and for other two taxa (T. g. armeniaca and T. g. buxtoni) the pattern remains unclear. Our analysis predicts multiple refugia for Testudo during the LGM and supports previous hypotheses about high lineage richness in Anatolia resulting from secondary contact.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brendon J. Quirk ◽  
◽  
Jeffrey R. Moore ◽  
Benjamin J. Laabs ◽  
Mitchell A. Plummer ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Howasta S. Tahiry ◽  
◽  
Jillian M. Maloney ◽  
Shannon A. Klotsko ◽  
Amy E. Gusick ◽  
...  

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