Rejecting false prophets and blind faith in numbers: A commentary on Lustick and Tetlock 2021

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence A. Kuznar
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Michael A. Durney
Keyword(s):  




Author(s):  
G. Sujin Pak

Luther’s, Zwingli’s, Bucer’s, and Zell’s early uses of prophecy focused on buttressing their teachings of the priesthood of all believers, rejecting Roman Catholic distinctions between the spiritual and temporal estates, and challenging Roman Catholic “tyranny” over biblical interpretation. These Protestant reformers defined a true prophet as one who proclaims and interprets the Word of God alone; the prophet and prophecy were therefore significant tools for rejecting Roman Catholic authority—by spurning Roman Catholic conceptions of the priesthood and identifying Roman Catholic leaders as false prophets—and ultimately for asserting the prime authority of Scripture. In the 1520s lay pamphleteers, including several female pamphleteers, embraced Luther’s, Zwingli’s, Bucer’s, and Zell’s early conceptions of the prophet in order to defend their call to proclaim God’s Word, interpret Scripture, and rebuke wrong teaching.



2011 ◽  
Vol 44 (2-3) ◽  
pp. 58-64
Author(s):  
Xiao Shunan ◽  
Zhou Qin
Keyword(s):  


1989 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 39-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth Mattox

The oft-repeated historic development of the pneumatic lower body compression suit (MAST, PASG) for the presumed treatment of hypotension has been well-documented by McSwain(l). While the experimental and anecdotal clinical observations of Crile, Gardner, Wangenstein and Kaplan are interesting, they are not prospective, controlled, randomized clinical trials in humans(2,3,4,5). In the early 1970s, the EMS community was ripe for the bandwagon reflex to grasp at any and all gimmicks and gadgets which became available, regardless of a lack of evidence regarding their safety or danger to patients. Inventions such as the esophageal obturator airway, various darts, MAST, external cardiac bumpers, percutaneous trachea obturators, and many others simultaneously were thrust upon the unsuspecting and unprotected patient community. Some of these innovations may have been beneficial but others were dangerous. Contending that some intervention in a “life threatening, good Samaritan situation” was better than no interventional treatment or “stabilization” at all, the paramedics' blind faith in these modalities persisted. The Medical Device Amendment of 1976 (6), which requires safety and efficacy for devices, similar to that long in effect for new drugs, had not yet been enacted into law to require premarketing clearance of new medical devices. Building on blind faith and premature recommendations regarding in the unproven concept of MAST, the EMS community exercised poor judgment in recommending to state legislators that this unproven device be “required equipment” on board ambulances. Furthermore, this small cadre of “special interest groups” lobbied to have the MAST mandated as essential equipment in trauma centers(7,8). Although the minutes of the trauma planning meetings do not reflect the debate at the American College of Surgeons Committee on Trauma, numerous voices of advised constraint, said “go slow” on including the MAST as part of the ATLS course and the ACS optimal resources document.



2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 87-107
Author(s):  
Ikenna L. Umeanolue

The Old Testament text of Jeremiah 27-28 presents prophetic conflict between Jeremiah and Hananiah. Jeremiah proclaimed a message of God’s judgment against the rulers and the people of Judah because of their violation of the religious and the legal traditions of the nation but Hananiah opposed him preaching a message of peace and salvation and predicted the deliverance of Israelite nation from the hands of their enemies. Both claimed to have God’s authority. Jeremiah 27-28 provides a window into the problem of discerning a true prophet from a false one. Contemporary Nigerian Christians are also being challenged with such opposing prophecies by prophets who claim that their prophecies come from God. This study adopts exegetical method of interpretation and application of the message of Jeremiah 27-28 to the fact of truity and falsity in prophecy in contemporary Christianity. This study discovered that true prophetic office is a call, and not all comers’ affair. Prophecy lacks empirical proof and is sometimes manipulative and susceptible to barratry. The study further discovered that true prophets prophesy by the spirit of God while false Prophets prophesy from their own mind but also claim to do so by the spirit of God. Just like Prophet Hananiah, there are prophets who could be genuinely called but have refused to stay within their call because of loss of focus and desire for material gains. Thus the prevalent worldview of contemporary Nigerians concerning easy solution to life’s problems that leads to abuse of prophetic consultations needs to be changed.



Author(s):  
Daniel P. Shoemaker ◽  
Gregory W. Ulferts ◽  
Patrick T. Wirtz ◽  
Antonio Drommi

<p class="MsoBodyTextIndent" style="text-indent: 0in; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-style: italic;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;">This article presents a simple approach that will allow decision-makers to evaluate the return on investment of software process improvement prior to launching such an effort. Obviously, it will be easy to tell ten years up the road whether the right decision was made. But a CEO, or CIO contemplating laying out six, or seven figures for the additional personnel and resources to conduct SPI is not in a position to make that call and the wise ones will not be led into it by blind faith. The problem is assessing the risks and returns of such a project in terms and perspective that a non-technical decision-maker can understand. We believe our instrument serves that purpose. </span></span></p>



Micah ◽  
2016 ◽  
pp. 44-46
Keyword(s):  


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