Effects of urbanization and global climate change on regional climate in the Pearl River Delta and thermal comfort implications

2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 2984-2997 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yongli Wang ◽  
Allen Chan ◽  
Gabriel Ngar‐Cheung Lau ◽  
Qingxiang Li ◽  
Yuanjian Yang ◽  
...  
2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 23275-23316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Y. Wang ◽  
Q. Wan ◽  
W. Meng ◽  
F. Liao ◽  
H. Tan ◽  
...  

Abstract. Seven-year measurements of precipitation, lightning flashes, and visibility from 2000 to 2006 have been analyzed in the Pearl River Delta (PRD) region, China, with a focus on the Guangzhou megacity area. Statistical analysis shows that the occurrence of heavy rainfall (>25 mm per day) and frequency of lightning strikes are reversely correlated to visibility during this period. To elucidate the effects of aerosols on cloud processes, precipitation, and lightning activity, a cloud resolving – Weather Research and Forecasting (CR-WRF) model with a two-moment bulk microphysical scheme is employed to simulate a mesoscale convective system occurring on 28 Match 2009 in the Guangzhou megacity area. The model predicted evolutions of composite radar reflectivity and accumulated precipitation are in agreement with measurements from S-band weather radars and automatic gauge stations. The calculated lightning potential index (LPI) exhibits temporal and spatial consistence with lightning flashes recorded by a local lightning detection network. Sensitivity experiments have been performed to reflect aerosol conditions representative of polluted and clean cases. The simulations suggest that precipitation and LPI are enhanced by about 16 % and 50 %, respectively, under the polluted aerosol condition. Our results suggest that elevated aerosol loading suppresses light and moderate precipitation (less than 25 mm per day), but enhances heavy precipitation. The responses of hydrometeors and latent heat release to different aerosol loadings reveal the physical mechanism for the precipitation and lightning enhancement in the Guangzhou megacity area, showing more efficient mixed phase processes and intensified convection under the polluted aerosol condition.


Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 567 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yahui Guo ◽  
Wenxiang Wu ◽  
Mingzhu Du ◽  
Xiaoxuan Liu ◽  
Jingzhe Wang ◽  
...  

In this study, the potential climate change impacts on rice growth and rice yield under 1.5 and 2.0 °C warming scenarios, respectively, are simulated using the Ceres-Rice Model based on high-quality, agricultural, experimental, meteorological and soil data, and the incorporation of future climate data generated by four Global Climate Models (GCMs) in the Pearl River Delta, China. The climatic data is extracted from four Global Climate Models (GCMs) namely: The Community Atmosphere Model 4 (CAM4), The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts-Hamburg 6 (ECHAM6), Model for Interdisciplinary Research On Climate 5 (MIROC5) and the Norwegian Earth System Model 1 (NorESM1). The modeling results show that climate change has major negative impacts on both rice growth and rice yields at all study sites. More specifically, the average of flowering durations decreases by 2.8 days (3.9 days), and the maturity date decreases by 11.0 days (14.7 days) under the 1.5 °C and (2.0 °C) warming scenarios, respectively. The yield for early mature rice and late mature rice are reduced by 292.5 kg/ha (558.9 kg/ha) and 151.8 kg/ha (380.0 kg/ha) under the 1.5 °C (2.0 °C) warming scenarios, respectively. Adjusting the planting dates of eight days later and 15 days earlier for early mature rice and late mature rice are simulated to be adaptively effective, respectively. The simulated optimum fertilizer amount is about 240 kg/ha, with different industrial fertilizer and organic matter being applied.


2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yihan Tang ◽  
Shufeng Xi ◽  
Xiaohong Chen ◽  
Yanqing Lian

Coastal flood regimes have been irreversibly altered by both climate change and human activities. This paper aims to quantify the impacts of multiple factors on delta flood. The Pearl River Delta (PRD), with dense river network and population, is one of the most developed coastal areas in China. The recorded extreme water level (m.s.l.) in flood season has been heavily interfered with by varied income flood flow, sea-level rise, and dredged riverbeds. A methodology, composed of a numerical model and the indexR, has been developed to quantify the impacts of these driving factors in the the PRD. Results show that the flood level varied 4.29%–53.49% from the change of fluvial discharge, 3.35%–38.73% from riverbed dredging, and 0.12%–16.81% from sea-level rise. The variation of flood flow apparently takes the most effect and sea-level rise the least. In particular, dense river network intensifies the impact of income flood change and sea-level rise. Findings from this study help understand the causes of the the PRD flood regimes and provide theoretical support for flood protection in the delta region.


2018 ◽  
Vol 193 ◽  
pp. 79-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheuk Hei Marcus Tong ◽  
Steve Hung Lam Yim ◽  
Daniel Rothenberg ◽  
Chien Wang ◽  
Chuan-Yao Lin ◽  
...  

2014 ◽  
Vol 53 (2) ◽  
pp. 346-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuemei Wang ◽  
Jingbiao Liao ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Chong Shen ◽  
Weihua Chen ◽  
...  

AbstractThe Pearl River Delta region has experienced rapid urbanization and economic development during the past 20 years. To investigate the impacts of urbanization on regional climate, the Advanced Research core of the Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW-WRF) model is used to conduct a pair of 1-yr simulations with two different representations of urbanization. Results show that the reduction in vegetated and irrigated cropland due to urban expansion significantly modifies the near-surface temperature, humidity, wind speed, and regional precipitation, which are obtained based on the significance t test of the differences between two simulations with different urbanization representations at the 95% level. Urbanization causes the mean 2-m temperature over urbanized areas to increase in all seasons (from spring to winter: 1.7° ± 0.7°C, 1.4° ± 0.3°C, 1.3° ± 0.3°, and 0.9° ± 0.4°C, respectively) and the urban diurnal temperature range decreases in three seasons and increases in one (from spring to winter: −0.5° ± 0.3°C, +0.6° ± 0.3°C, −0.4° ± 0.2°C, and −0.8° ± 0.2°C, respectively). Urbanization reduces near-surface water vapor (1.5 g kg−1 in summer and 0.4 g kg−1 in winter), 10-m wind speed (37% independent of season), and annual total precipitation days (approximately 6–14 days). However, the total rainfall amount increases by approximately 30%, since the decrease in the number of days with light rain (8–12) is overcome by the increase in the number of days of heavy or extreme rain (3–6), suggesting that urbanization induces more heavy rain events over the urban areas. Overall, the effect of urbanization on regional climate in the Pearl River Delta is found to be significant and must be considered in any broader regional climate assessment.


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