scholarly journals A dynamic runoff co-efficient to improve flash flood early warning in Europe: evaluation on the 2013 central European floods in Germany

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 410-418 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Raynaud ◽  
J. Thielen ◽  
P. Salamon ◽  
P. Burek ◽  
S. Anquetin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Central European

scholarly journals A review of advances in China’s flash flood early-warning system

2018 ◽  
Vol 92 (2) ◽  
pp. 619-634 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changjun Liu ◽  
Liang Guo ◽  
Lei Ye ◽  
Shunfu Zhang ◽  
Yanzeng Zhao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Warning System

scholarly journals Flash-flood early warning using weather radar data: from nowcasting to forecasting

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1289-1331 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Liechti ◽  
L. Panziera ◽  
U. Germann ◽  
M. Zappa
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Probabilistic Approach ◽  
Radar Data ◽  
Swiss Alps ◽  
Probabilistic Forecasting ◽  
Orographic Rainfall ◽  
Forecasting System

Abstract. This study explores the limits of radar-based forecasting for hydrological runoff prediction. Two novel probabilistic radar-based forecasting chains for flash-flood early warning are investigated in three catchments in the Southern Swiss Alps and set in relation to deterministic discharge forecast for the same catchments. The first probabilistic radar-based forecasting chain is driven by NORA (Nowcasting of Orographic Rainfall by means of Analogues), an analogue-based heuristic nowcasting system to predict orographic rainfall for the following eight hours. The second probabilistic forecasting system evaluated is REAL-C2, where the numerical weather prediction COSMO-2 is initialized with 25 different initial conditions derived from a four-day nowcast with the radar ensemble REAL. Additionally, three deterministic forecasting chains were analysed. The performance of these five flash-flood forecasting systems was analysed for 1389 h between June 2007 and December 2010 for which NORA forecasts were issued, due to the presence of orographic forcing. We found a clear preference for the probabilistic approach. Discharge forecasts perform better when forced by NORA rather than by a persistent radar QPE for lead times up to eight hours and for all discharge thresholds analysed. The best results were, however, obtained with the REAL-C2 forecasting chain, which was also remarkably skilful even with the highest thresholds. However, for regions where REAL cannot be produced, NORA might be an option for forecasting events triggered by orographic precipitation.

scholarly journals Flash flood early warning research in China

2018 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 369-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haichen Li ◽  
Xiaohui Lei ◽  
Yizi Shang ◽  
Tao Qin
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Flash Flood

Community Based Flash Flood Early Warning System: a Low-cost Technology for Nepalese Mountains

2018 ◽  
pp. 87-92
Author(s):  
Basanta Raj Adhikari ◽  
Nagendra Raj Sitoula
Keyword(s):  
Operating System ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Early Warning Systems ◽  
Ultrasonic Sensor ◽  
Environmental Cost ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Processing Unit

Every year, flood impose substantial economic, social and environmental cost on Nepalese community through direct damage to residential, commercial, educational and structures. Moreover, the flood destroys animal farm, commercial stock and records and other content of the building and pollutes the water. Early Warning Systems are important to save such lives and properties which involves computer, satellite data and high accurate operating system but this system is very costly in terms of installation as well as operation and maintenance leading to hindrance in the sustainability of the system. However, high-tech technology is very expensive and not feasible in Nepal and therefore low-cost and easy operating system is needed in the rural parts of Nepal. The system includes Solar panel, Siren, Ultrasonic sensor, processing unit, and battery. The ultrasonic sensor sense water level and the siren will automatically start. The threshold can be set up according to the space and time. Bulletin of Department of Geology, vol. 20-21, 2018, pp: 87-92

scholarly journals A Flash Flood Early Warning System for Rural Kenya: A Pilot Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.38) ◽  
pp. 1310
Author(s):  
Prof. Dr. Ir Vinesh Thiruchelvam ◽  
Mbau Stella Nyambura
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Flash Floods ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Moderation Effect ◽  
Early Warnings

The cost of climate change has increased phenomenally in recent years. Therefore, understanding climate change and its impacts, that are likely to get worse and worse into the future, gives us the ability to predict scenarios and plan for them. Flash floods, which are a common result of climate change, follow increased precipitation which then increases risk and associated vulnerability due to the unpredictable rainfall patterns. Developing countries suffer grave consequences in the event that weather disasters strike because they have the least adaptive capacity. At the equator where the hot days are hotter and winds carrying rainfall move faster, Kenya’s Tana River County is noted for its vulnerability towards flash floods. Additionally, this county and others that are classified as rural areas in Kenya do not receive short term early warnings for floods. This county was therefore selected as the study area for its vulnerability. The aim of the study is therefore to propose a flash flood early warning system framework that delivers short term early warnings. Using questionnaires, information about the existing warning system will be collected and analyzed using SPSS. The results will be used to interpret the relationships between variables of the study, with a particular interest in the moderation effect in order to confirm that the existing system can be modified; that is, if the moderation effect is confirmed.       

scholarly journals Advanced Tools for Flood Management: An Early Warning System for Arid and Semiarid Regions

2021 ◽  
pp. 209-223
Author(s):  
Ekkehard Holzbecher ◽  
Ahmed Hadidi ◽  
Nicolette Volp ◽  
Jeroen de Koning ◽  
Humaid Al Badi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Integrated Water Resources Management ◽  
Early Warning Systems ◽  
Flood Management ◽  
Special Focus ◽  
Semiarid Regions ◽  
Smart Technologies

AbstractTechnologies concerning integrated water resources management, in general, and flood management, in particular, have recently undergone rapid developments. New smart technologies have been implemented in every relevant sector and include hydrological sensors, remote sensing, sensor networks, data integration, hydrodynamic simulation and visualization, decision support and early warning systems as well as the dissemination of information to decision-makers and the public. After providing a rough review of current developments, we demonstrate the operation of an advanced system with a special focus on an early warning system. Two case studies are covered in this chapter: one specific urban case located in the city of Parrametta in Australia in an area that shows similar flood characteristics to those found in arid or semiarid regions and one case regarding the countrywide Flash Flood Guidance System in Oman (OmanFFGS).

scholarly journals A Flash Flood Early Warning System for Rural Kenya: A Pilot Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (4.38) ◽  
pp. 810
Author(s):  
Prof. Dr. Ir Vinesh Thiruchelvam ◽  
Mbau Stella Nyambura
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Rural Areas ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Flash Floods ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Moderation Effect ◽  
Early Warnings

The cost of climate change has increased phenomenally in recent years. Therefore, understanding climate change and its impacts, that are likely to get worse and worse into the future, gives us the ability to predict scenarios and plan for them. Flash floods, which are a common result of climate change, follow increased precipitation which then increases risk and associated vulnerability due to the unpredictable rainfall patterns. Developing countries suffer grave consequences in the event that weather disasters strike because they have the least adaptive capacity. At the equator where the hot days are hotter and winds carrying rainfall move faster, Kenya’s Tana River County is noted for its vulnerability towards flash floods. Additionally, this county and others that are classified as rural areas in Kenya do not receive short term early warnings for floods. This county was therefore selected as the study area for its vulnerability. The aim of the study is therefore to propose a flash flood early warning system framework that delivers short term early warnings. Using questionnaires, information about the existing warning system will be collected and analyzed using SPSS. The results will be used to interpret the relationships between variables of the study, with a particular interest in the moderation effect in order to confirm that the existing system can be modified; that is, if the moderation effect is confirmed.   

scholarly journals iCRESTRIGRS: A coupled modeling system for cascading flood-landslide disaster forecasting

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ke Zhang ◽  
Xianwu Xue ◽  
Yang Hong ◽  
Jonathan J. Gourley ◽  
Ning Lu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Slope Stability ◽  
Early Warning ◽  
Early Warning System ◽  
Flash Flood ◽  
Significant Risk ◽  
Warning System ◽  
Prototype System ◽  
Coupled Modeling ◽  
Hazard Management ◽  
Landslide Disaster

Abstract. Severe storm-triggered floods and landslides are two major natural hazards in the U.S., causing property losses of $6 billion and approximately 110–160 fatalities per year nationwide. Moreover, floods and landslides often occur in a cascading manner, posing significant risk and leading to losses that are significantly greater than the sum of the losses from the individual hazards. It is pertinent to couple hydrological and geotechnical modelling processes toward an integrated flood-landslide cascading disaster early warning system for improved disaster preparedness and hazard management. In this study, we developed the iCRESTRIGRS model, a coupled flash flood and landslide disaster early warning system, by integrating the Coupled Routing and Excess STorage (CREST) model with the physically based Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-Based Regional Slope-Stability (TRIGRS) landslide model. The iCRESTRIGRS system is evaluated in four river basins in western North Carolina that experienced a large number of floods, landslides and debris flows, triggered by heavy rainfall from Hurricane Ivan during September 16–18, 2004. The modelled hourly hydrographs at four USGS gauge stations show generally good agreement with the observations during the entire storm period. In terms of landslide prediction in this case study, the coupled model has a global accuracy of 89.5 % and a true positive rate of 50.6 %. More importantly, it shows an improved predictive capability for landslides relative to the stand-alone TRIGRS model. This study highlights the important physical connection between rainfall, hydrological processes and slope stability, and provides a useful prototype system for operational forecasting of flood and landslide.

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