A New Strategy for Parameter Estimation of Dynamic Differential Equations Based on NSGA II

Author(s):  
Yingzi Shi ◽  
Jiangang Lu ◽  
Qiang Zheng
2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
An Liu ◽  
Erwie Zahara ◽  
Ming-Ta Yang

Ordinary differential equations usefully describe the behavior of a wide range of dynamic physical systems. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) method has been considered an effective tool for solving the engineering optimization problems for ordinary differential equations. This paper proposes a modified hybrid Nelder-Mead simplex search and particle swarm optimization (M-NM-PSO) method for solving parameter estimation problems. The M-NM-PSO method improves the efficiency of the PSO method and the conventional NM-PSO method by rapid convergence and better objective function value. Studies are made for three well-known cases, and the solutions of the M-NM-PSO method are compared with those by other methods published in the literature. The results demonstrate that the proposed M-NM-PSO method yields better estimation results than those obtained by the genetic algorithm, the modified genetic algorithm (real-coded GA (RCGA)), the conventional particle swarm optimization (PSO) method, and the conventional NM-PSO method.


1996 ◽  
Vol 33 (04) ◽  
pp. 1061-1076 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. E. Kloeden ◽  
E. Platen ◽  
H. Schurz ◽  
M. Sørensen

In this paper statistical properties of estimators of drift parameters for diffusion processes are studied by modern numerical methods for stochastic differential equations. This is a particularly useful method for discrete time samples, where estimators can be constructed by making discrete time approximations to the stochastic integrals appearing in the maximum likelihood estimators for continuously observed diffusions. A review is given of the necessary theory for parameter estimation for diffusion processes and for simulation of diffusion processes. Three examples are studied.


Author(s):  
Yakup Ari

The financial time series have a high frequency and the difference between their observations is not regular. Therefore, continuous models can be used instead of discrete-time series models. The purpose of this chapter is to define Lévy-driven continuous autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models and their applications. The CARMA model is an explicit solution to stochastic differential equations, and also, it is analogue to the discrete ARMA models. In order to form a basis for CARMA processes, the structures of discrete-time processes models are examined. Then stochastic differential equations, Lévy processes, compound Poisson processes, and variance gamma processes are defined. Finally, the parameter estimation of CARMA(2,1) is discussed as an example. The most common method for the parameter estimation of the CARMA process is the pseudo maximum likelihood estimation (PMLE) method by mapping the ARMA coefficients to the corresponding estimates of the CARMA coefficients. Furthermore, a simulation study and a real data application are given as examples.


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