Algebraic reasoning for real-time probabilistic processes with uncertain information

Author(s):  
Wang Yi
Author(s):  
V. Borrell Estupina ◽  
F. Raynaud ◽  
N. Bourgeois ◽  
L. Kong-A-Siou ◽  
L. Collet ◽  
...  

Abstract. Flash floods are often responsible for many deaths and involve many material damages. Regarding Mediterranean karst aquifers, the complexity of connections, between surface and groundwater, as well as weather non-stationarity patterns, increase difficulties in understanding the basins behaviour and thus warning and protecting people. Furthermore, given the recent changes in land use and extreme rainfall events, knowledge of the past floods is no longer sufficient to manage flood risks. Therefore the worst realistic flood that could occur should be considered. Physical and processes-based hydrological models are considered among the best ways to forecast floods under diverse conditions. However, they rarely match with the stakeholders' needs. In fact, the forecasting services, the municipalities, and the civil security have difficulties in running and interpreting data-consuming models in real-time, above all if data are uncertain or non-existent. To face these social and technical difficulties and help stakeholders, this study develops two operational tools derived from these models. These tools aim at planning real-time decisions given little, changing, and uncertain information available, which are: (i) a hydrological graphical tool (abacus) to estimate flood peak discharge from the karst past state and the forecasted but uncertain intense rainfall; (ii) a GIS-based method (MARE) to estimate the potential flooded pathways and areas, accounting for runoff and karst contributions and considering land use changes. Then, outputs of these tools are confronted to past and recent floods and municipalities observations, and the impacts of uncertainties and changes on planning decisions are discussed. The use of these tools on the recent 2014 events demonstrated their reliability and interest for stakeholders. This study was realized on French Mediterranean basins, in close collaboration with the Flood Forecasting Services (SPC Med-Ouest, SCHAPI, municipalities).


2010 ◽  
Vol 139-141 ◽  
pp. 1468-1471 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zheng Xiao ◽  
Quan Liu ◽  
Qing Song Ai

This paper summarized the popular methods for acquiring customer requirement (CR) information, where the internet-based method is especially efficient when an enterprise's web possesses the function of real-time communication, guiding investigation and online experience. However, current classification and analysis of CR mainly depends on a subjective judgment, awareness and assessment of the enterprise's staff, which exists with human errors. From the point of view of CR information, the authors classified it into certain information and uncertain information; there are two types of uncertain information----the random and the fuzzy. Based on this classification, CR information can be analyzed by means of probability theory and fuzzy logic. Therefore, the enterprise will acquire CR information more effectively and analyze it more accurately.


2006 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vineet Gupta ◽  
Radha Jagadeesan ◽  
Prakash Panangaden

2013 ◽  
Vol 423-426 ◽  
pp. 2237-2243
Author(s):  
Ying Pan ◽  
Dong Juan Xue ◽  
Tian Yi Gao ◽  
Li Bin Zhou ◽  
Xiao Yu Xie

A dynamic scheduling method for FJSP is put forward based on real-time adjustment of controllable margin, aiming at uncertain information and dynamic characteristic during practical job-shop scheduling process. Strategy and methods of dynamic scheduling adjustment are presented, which respond to real-time event. In view of practical operation condition and accuracy demands, two methods are proposed. One is rescheduling that condenses domain, the other is scheduling updating based on adjustment. Such strategy obtains dynamic robust scheduling of FJSP to ensure the real-time of algorithm, continuity and stability of scheduling schemes.


1979 ◽  
Vol 44 ◽  
pp. 41-47
Author(s):  
Donald A. Landman

This paper describes some recent results of our quiescent prominence spectrometry program at the Mees Solar Observatory on Haleakala. The observations were made with the 25 cm coronagraph/coudé spectrograph system using a silicon vidicon detector. This detector consists of 500 contiguous channels covering approximately 6 or 80 Å, depending on the grating used. The instrument is interfaced to the Observatory’s PDP 11/45 computer system, and has the important advantages of wide spectral response, linearity and signal-averaging with real-time display. Its principal drawback is the relatively small target size. For the present work, the aperture was about 3″ × 5″. Absolute intensity calibrations were made by measuring quiet regions near sun center.


Author(s):  
Alan S. Rudolph ◽  
Ronald R. Price

We have employed cryoelectron microscopy to visualize events that occur during the freeze-drying of artificial membranes by employing real time video capture techniques. Artificial membranes or liposomes which are spherical structures within internal aqueous space are stabilized by water which provides the driving force for spontaneous self-assembly of these structures. Previous assays of damage to these structures which are induced by freeze drying reveal that the two principal deleterious events that occur are 1) fusion of liposomes and 2) leakage of contents trapped within the liposome [1]. In the past the only way to access these events was to examine the liposomes following the dehydration event. This technique allows the event to be monitored in real time as the liposomes destabilize and as water is sublimed at cryo temperatures in the vacuum of the microscope. The method by which liposomes are compromised by freeze-drying are largely unknown. This technique has shown that cryo-protectants such as glycerol and carbohydrates are able to maintain liposomal structure throughout the drying process.


Author(s):  
R.P. Goehner ◽  
W.T. Hatfield ◽  
Prakash Rao

Computer programs are now available in various laboratories for the indexing and simulation of transmission electron diffraction patterns. Although these programs address themselves to the solution of various aspects of the indexing and simulation process, the ultimate goal is to perform real time diffraction pattern analysis directly off of the imaging screen of the transmission electron microscope. The program to be described in this paper represents one step prior to real time analysis. It involves the combination of two programs, described in an earlier paper(l), into a single program for use on an interactive basis with a minicomputer. In our case, the minicomputer is an INTERDATA 70 equipped with a Tektronix 4010-1 graphical display terminal and hard copy unit.A simplified flow diagram of the combined program, written in Fortran IV, is shown in Figure 1. It consists of two programs INDEX and TEDP which index and simulate electron diffraction patterns respectively. The user has the option of choosing either the indexing or simulating aspects of the combined program.


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