Electricity Consumption Prediction Model Based on Bayesian Regularized BP Neural Network

Author(s):  
Chenghao Yuan ◽  
Dongxiao Niu ◽  
Changzu Li ◽  
Lijie Sun ◽  
Longxiu Xu
2020 ◽  
Vol 305 ◽  
pp. 163-168
Author(s):  
Peng Gu ◽  
Chuan Min Zhu ◽  
Yin Yue Wu ◽  
Andrea Mura

As the typical particle-reinforced aluminum matrix composite, SiCp/Al composite has low density, high elastic modulus and high thermal conductivity, and is one of the most competitive metal matrix composites. Grinding is the main processing technique of SiCp/Al composite, energy consumption of the grinding process provides guidance for the energy saving, which is the aim of green manufacturing. In this paper, grinding experiments were designed and conducted to obtain the energy consumption of the grinding machine tool. The Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) BP neural network prediction model was applied in the energy consumption prediction model of SiCp/Al composite in grinding. It showed that the Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) BP neural network prediction model has high prediction accuracy. The prediction model of energy consumption based on PSO-BP neural network is helpful in energy saving, which contributes to greening manufacturing.


2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 1356-1359
Author(s):  
You Xian Peng ◽  
Bo Tang ◽  
Hong Ying Cao ◽  
Bin Chen ◽  
Yu Li

Audible noise prediction is a hot research area in power transmission engineering in recent years, especially come down to AC transmission lines. The conventional prediction models at present have got some problems such as big errors. In this paper, a prediction model is established based on BP network, in which the input variables are the four factors in the international common expression of power line audible noise and the noise value is the output. Take multiple measured power lines as an example, a train is made by the BP network and then the prediction model is set up in the hidden layer of the network. Using the trained model, the audible noise values are predicted. The final results show that the average absolute error in absolute terms of the values by the audible noise prediction model based on BP neural network is 1.6414 less than that predicted by the GE formula.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Guorong Zhu ◽  
Sha Peng ◽  
Yongchang Lao ◽  
Qichao Su ◽  
Qiujie Sun

Short-term electricity consumption data reflects the operating efficiency of grid companies, and accurate forecasting of electricity consumption helps to achieve refined electricity consumption planning and improve transmission and distribution transportation efficiency. In view of the fact that the power consumption data is nonstationary, nonlinear, and greatly influenced by the season, holidays, and other factors, this paper adopts a time-series prediction model based on the EMD-Fbprophet-LSTM method to make short-term power consumption prediction for an enterprise's daily power consumption data. The EMD model was used to decompose the time series into a multisong intrinsic mode function (IMF) and a residual component, and then the Fbprophet method was used to predict the IMF component. The LSTM model is used to predict the short-term electricity consumption, and finally the prediction value of the combined model is measured based on the weights of the single Fbprophet and LSTM models. Compared with the single time-series prediction model, the time-series prediction model based on the EMD-Fbprophet-LSTM method has higher prediction accuracy and can effectively improve the accuracy of short-term regional electricity consumption prediction.


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