Factors Affecting Consumers’ Inflation Expectations in EU Members States with Independent Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
pp. 81-100
Author(s):  
Magdalena Szyszko ◽  
Aleksandra Rutkowska
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Factors Affecting

Credit Restriction or Economic Growth?

2019 ◽  
pp. 45-54
Author(s):  
E.Y. Sokolova ◽  
A.S. Tanasova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Domestic Demand ◽  
Retirement Age ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Credit Restriction

At the end of 2018 — the very beginning of 2019 Russia faced negative consequences of the economic measures that took place in 2018, such as the retirement age rising, tightening sanctions against Russia, VAT rising which caused increased inflation expectations of people. The Bank of Russia increased the key rate in response. All these measures lead to decrease of domestic demand, and not stimulate economic growth. The article examines the possibility of using the monetary policy method of credit restriction to fulfil the presidential act to stimulate economic growth.

Inflation expectations as a monetary policy tool

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 5-46
Author(s):  
Jin Ho Park ◽  
Jun Hee Kwak
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Policy Tool

scholarly journals Can inflation forecast and monetary policy path be really useful? The case of the Czech Republic

Equilibrium ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magdalena Szyszko ◽  
Karolina Tura
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Qualitative Analysis ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Quantitative Methods ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
The Czech Republic ◽  
Inflation Forecasts ◽  
National Bank ◽  
Parametric Statistics

Producing and revealing inflation forecast is believed to be the best way of implementing a forward-looking monetary policy. The article focuses on inflation forecast targeting (IFT) at the Czech National Bank (CNB) in terms of its efficiency in shaping consumers’ inflation expectations. The goal of the study is to verify the accuracy of the inflation forecasts, and their influence on inflation expectations. The research is divided into four stages. At the first stage, central bank credibility is examined. At the second stage – accuracy of the inflation forecasts. The next step of the research covers a qualitative analysis of IFT implementation. Finally, the existence of the interdependences of inflation forecast, optimal policy paths and inflation expectations is analyzed. Credibility of the central bank, accuracy of the forecast and decision-making procedures focused on the forecast are the premises for the existence of relationship between forecasts and expectations. The research covers the period from July 2002 – till the end of 2013. Its methodology includes qualitative analysis of decision-making of the CNB, quantitative methods (Kia and Patron formula, MAE forecasts errors, quantification of expectations, non-parametric statistics). The results confirm the existence of interdependences between inflation forecasts and expectations of moderate strength. The preconditions of such interdependences are partially fulfilled. The research opens the field for cross-country comparisons and for quantification of IFT implementation.

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Communications and Their Effects on Household Inflation Expectations

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivier Coibion ◽  
Yuriy Gorodnichenko ◽  
Michael Weber
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Expectations

scholarly journals Fiscal Foundations of Inflation: Imperfect Knowledge

2018 ◽  
Vol 108 (9) ◽  
pp. 2551-2589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Eusepi ◽  
Bruce Preston
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Public Debt ◽  
Wealth Effects ◽  
Inflation Expectations ◽  
Ricardian Equivalence ◽  
The Public ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
Imperfect Knowledge ◽  
Consumption Demand

This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect knowledge and learning. Because imperfect knowledge breaks Ricardian equivalence, the scale and composition of the public debt matter for inflation. High and moderate duration debt generates wealth effects on consumption demand that impairs the intertemporal substitution channel of monetary policy: aggressive monetary policy is required to anchor inflation expectations. Counterfactual experiments conducted in an estimated model reveal that the US economy would have been substantially more volatile over the Great Inflation and Great Moderation periods if US debt levels had been those observed in Italy or Japan. (JEL D84, E31, E32, E52, E62, H63)

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