2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huajie Duan ◽  
Zhengdong Deng ◽  
Feifan Deng ◽  
Daqing Wang

Groundwater plays an important role in global climate change and satisfying human needs. In the study, RS (remote sensing) and GIS (geographic information system) were utilized to generate five thematic layers, lithology, lineament density, topology, slope, and river density considered as factors influencing the groundwater potential. Then, the multicriteria decision model (MCDM) was integrated with C5.0 and CART, respectively, to generate the decision tree with 80 surveyed tube wells divided into four classes on the basis of the yield. To test the precision of the decision tree algorithms, the 10-fold cross validation and kappa coefficient were adopted and the average kappa coefficient for C5.0 and CART was 90.45% and 85.09%, respectively. After applying the decision tree to the whole study area, four classes of groundwater potential zones were demarcated. According to the classification result, the four grades of groundwater potential zones, “very good,” “good,” “moderate,” and “poor,” occupy 4.61%, 8.58%, 26.59%, and 60.23%, respectively, with C5.0 algorithm, while occupying the percentages of 4.68%, 10.09%, 26.10%, and 59.13%, respectively, with CART algorithm. Therefore, we can draw the conclusion that C5.0 algorithm is more appropriate than CART for the groundwater potential zone prediction.


2011 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 69-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maciej Nowak

In the paper a discrete multicriteria decision making problem under risk is considered. It is assumed that the set of alternatives consists of a finite number of elements that are explicitly described. The evaluations of alternatives with respect to criteria are represented by distribution functions. The decision maker tries to find a solution preferred to all other solutions. To solve the problem one has to analyze the decision maker's preferences. In the study interactive approach is used. Three interactive methods and its applications in operations management are presented. Santrauka Straipsnyje pateikiama diskreèiuju sprendimu priemimo problemos analize apimant rizikos veiksnius. Pasirinkimo alternatyvos suprantamos kaip kompleksas baigtiniu elementu ir alternatyvos, atsižvelgiant i kriterijus, yra išreikštos paskirstymo funkcijomis. Priimant sprendimus butina atrasti išeiti, priimtin tolesniems sprendimams. Straipsnyje siuloma, kad, norint išsprêsti vien problem, butina išanalizuoti sprendimu vertintojo lukesèius.


1986 ◽  
Vol 25 (04) ◽  
pp. 207-214 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Glasziou

SummaryThe development of investigative strategies by decision analysis has been achieved by explicitly drawing the decision tree, either by hand or on computer. This paper discusses the feasibility of automatically generating and analysing decision trees from a description of the investigations and the treatment problem. The investigation of cholestatic jaundice is used to illustrate the technique.Methods to decrease the number of calculations required are presented. It is shown that this method makes practical the simultaneous study of at least half a dozen investigations. However, some new problems arise due to the possible complexity of the resulting optimal strategy. If protocol errors and delays due to testing are considered, simpler strategies become desirable. Generation and assessment of these simpler strategies are discussed with examples.


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