Stratospheric and Mesospheric Data Assimilation: The Role of Middle Atmospheric Dynamics

Author(s):  
Saroja Polavarapu ◽  
Manuel Pulido
2017 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 2343-2357 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Kaminski ◽  
Pierre-Philippe Mathieu

Abstract. The vehicles that fly the satellite into a model of the Earth system are observation operators. They provide the link between the quantities simulated by the model and the quantities observed from space, either directly (spectral radiance) or indirectly estimated through a retrieval scheme (biogeophysical variables). By doing so, observation operators enable modellers to properly compare, evaluate, and constrain their models with the model analogue of the satellite observations. This paper provides the formalism and a few examples of how observation operators can be used in combination with data assimilation techniques to better ingest satellite products in a manner consistent with the dynamics of the Earth system expressed by models. It describes commonalities and potential synergies between assimilation and classical retrievals. This paper explains how the combination of observation operators and their derivatives (linearizations) form powerful research tools. It introduces a technique called automatic differentiation that greatly simplifies both the development and the maintenance of code for the evaluation of derivatives. Throughout this paper, a special focus lies on applications to the carbon cycle.


2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 3389-3415 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANNA TREVISAN ◽  
LUIGI PALATELLA

In the first part of this paper, we review some important results on atmospheric predictability, from the pioneering work of Lorenz to recent results with operational forecasting models. Particular relevance is given to the connection between atmospheric predictability and the theory of Lyapunov exponents and vectors. In the second part, we briefly review the foundations of data assimilation methods and then we discuss recent results regarding the application of the tools typical of chaotic systems theory described in the first part to well established data assimilation algorithms, the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and Four Dimensional Variational Assimilation (4DVar). In particular, the Assimilation in the Unstable Space (AUS), specifically developed for application to chaotic systems, is described in detail.


2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 1925-1938 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Mauri ◽  
B. A. S. Davis ◽  
P. M. Collins ◽  
J. O. Kaplan

Abstract. The atmospheric circulation is a key area of uncertainty in climate model simulations of future climate change, especially in mid-latitude regions such as Europe where atmospheric dynamics have a significant role in climate variability. It has been proposed that the mid-Holocene was characterized in Europe by a stronger westerly circulation in winter comparable with a more positive AO/NAO, and a weaker westerly circulation in summer caused by anti-cyclonic blocking near Scandinavia. Model simulations indicate at best only a weakly positive AO/NAO, whilst changes in summer atmospheric circulation have not been widely investigated. Here we use a new pollen-based reconstruction of European mid-Holocene climate to investigate the role of atmospheric circulation in explaining the spatial pattern of seasonal temperature and precipitation anomalies. We find that the footprint of the anomalies is entirely consistent with those from modern analogue atmospheric circulation patterns associated with a strong westerly circulation in winter (positive AO/NAO) and a weak westerly circulation in summer associated with anti-cyclonic blocking (positive SCAND). We find little agreement between the reconstructed anomalies and those from 14 GCMs that performed mid-Holocene experiments as part of the PMIP3/CMIP5 project, which show a much greater sensitivity to top-of-the-atmosphere changes in solar insolation. Our findings are consistent with data–model comparisons on contemporary timescales that indicate that models underestimate the role of atmospheric circulation in recent climate change, whilst also highlighting the importance of atmospheric dynamics in explaining interglacial warming.


2017 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-225 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Blanc ◽  
L. Ceranna ◽  
A. Hauchecorne ◽  
A. Charlton-Perez ◽  
E. Marchetti ◽  
...  

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