Advancing stream classification and hydrologic modeling of ungaged basins for environmental flow management in coastal southern California

Environmental streamflow management can improve the ecological health of streams by returning modified flows to more natural conditions. The Ecological Limits of Hydrologic Alteration (ELOHA) framework for developing regional environmental flow criteria has been implemented to reverse hydromodification across the heterogenous region of coastal southern California (So. CA) by focusing on two elements of the flow regime: streamflow permanence and flashiness. Within ELOHA, classification groups streams by hydrologic and geomorphic similarity to stratify flow-ecology relationships. Analogous grouping techniques are used by hydrologic modelers to facilitate streamflow prediction in ungaged basins (PUB) through regionalization. Most watersheds, including those needed for stream classification and environmental flow development, are ungaged. Furthermore, So. CA is a highly heterogeneous region spanning a gradient of urbanization, which presents a challenge for regionalizing ungaged basins. In this study, we develop a novel classification technique for PUB modeling that uses an inductive approach to group regional streams by modeled hydrologic similarity followed by deductively determining class membership with hydrologic model errors and watershed metrics. As a new type of classification, this “Hydrologic Model-based Classification” (HMC) prioritizes modeling accuracy, which in turn provides a means to improve model predictions in ungaged basins, while complementing traditional classifications and improving environmental flow management. HMC is developed by calibrating a regional catalog of process-based rainfall-runoff models, quantifying the hydrologic reciprocity of calibrated parameters that would be unknown in ungaged basins, and grouping sites according to hydrologic and physical similarity. HMC was applied to 25 USGS streamflow gages in the south coast region of California and was compared to other hybrid PUB approaches combining inductive and deductive classification. Using an Average Cluster Error metric, results show HMC provided the most hydrologically similar groups according to calibrated parameter reciprocity. Hydrologic Model-based Classification is relatively complex and time-consuming to implement, but it shows potential for advancing ungaged basin management. This study demonstrates the benefits of thorough stream classification using multiple approaches, and suggests that Hydrologic Model-based Classification has advantages for PUB and building the hydrologic foundation for environmental flow management.

A Statistical Hydrological Model for Yangtze River Watershed Based on Stepwise Cluster Analysis

Streamflow prediction is one of the most important topics in operational hydrology. The responses of runoffs are different among watersheds due to the diversity of climatic conditions as well as watershed characteristics. In this study, a stepwise cluster analysis hydrological (SCAH) model is developed to reveal the nonlinear and dynamic rainfall-runoff relationship. The proposed approach is applied to predict the runoffs with regional climatic conditions in Yichang station, Hankou station, and Datong station over the Yangtze River Watershed, China. The main conclusions are: 1) the performances of SCAH in both deterministic and probabilistic modeling are notable.; 2) the SCAH is insensitive to the parameter p in SCAH with robust cluster-tree structure; 3) in terms of the case study in the Yangtze River watershed, it can be inferred that the water resource in the lower reaches of the Yangtze River is seriously affected by incoming water from the upper reaches according to the strong correlations. This study has indicated that the developed statistical hydrological model SCAH approach can characterize such hydrological processes complicated with nonlinear and dynamic relationships, and provide satisfactory predictions. Flexible data requirements, quick calibration, and reliable performances make SCAH an appealing tool in revealing rainfall-runoff relationships.

Hydrological Modeling in Agricultural Intensive Watershed: The Case of Upper East Fork White River, USA

Identifying the core hydrological processes of catchments is a critical step for operative hydrological modeling. This study attempts to assess the long-term alterations in streamflow in three adjacent catchments of Upper East Fork White River, Indiana USA, by employing the SWAT hydrological model. The model simulations are spanning from 1980 up to 2015 and distributed in three configurations periods to identify monthly alterations in streamflow. For this purpose, water abstraction, land use, tillage, and agricultural field drainage practices have been incorporated in the model to provide accurate data input. The model setup also integrates spatially disaggregated sectorial water use data from surface and groundwater resources integrating the significant increases of water abstractions mainly for agricultural and public water supply purposes. The land cover of the study area is governed by rotating crops, while agricultural practices and tile drainage are crucial model parameters affecting the regional hydrological balance. Streamflow prediction is based on the SUFI-2 algorithm and the SWAT-CUP interface has been used for the monthly calibration and validation phases of the model. The evaluation of model simulations indicate a progressively sufficient hydrological model setup for all configuration periods with NSE (0.87, 0.88, and 0.88) and PBIAS (14%, −7%, and −2.8%) model evaluation values at the Seymour outlet. Surface runoff/precipitation as well as percolation/precipitation ratios have been used as indicators to identify trends to wetter conditions. Model outputs for the upstream areas, are successful predictions for streamflow assessment studies to test future implications of land cover and climate change.