Role of multimodel combination and data assimilation in improving streamflow prediction over multiple time scales

2015 ◽  
Vol 30 (8) ◽  
pp. 2255-2269 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weihua Li ◽  
A. Sankarasubramanian ◽  
R. S. Ranjithan ◽  
Tushar Sinha
2015 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 3729-3757 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Steiger ◽  
G. Hakim

Abstract. Paleoclimate proxy data span seasonal to millennial time scales, and Earth's climate system has both high- and low-frequency components. Yet it is currently unclear how best to incorporate multiple time scales of proxy data into a single reconstruction framework and to also capture both high- and low-frequency components of reconstructed variables. Here we present a data assimilation algorithm that can explicitly incorporate proxy data at arbitrary time scales. Through a series of pseudoproxy experiments, we find that atmosphere–ocean states are most skilfully reconstructed by incorporating proxies across multiple time scales compared to using proxies at short (annual) or long (~ decadal) time scales alone. Additionally, reconstructions that incorporate long time-scale pseudoproxies improve the low-frequency components of the reconstructions relative to using only high-resolution pseudoproxies. We argue that this is because time averaging high-resolution observations improves their covariance relationship with the slowly-varying components of the coupled-climate system, which the data assimilation algorithm can exploit. These results are insensitive to the choice of climate model, despite the model variables having very different spectral characteristics. Our results also suggest that it may be possible to reconstruct features of the oceanic meridional overturning circulation based solely on atmospheric surface temperature proxies.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Ben Hadj Hassen ◽  
C. Gaillard ◽  
E. Astrand ◽  
C. Wardak ◽  
S. Ben Hamed

SummaryFunctional neuronal correlations between pairs of neurons are thought to play an important role in neuronal information processing and optimal neuronal computations during attention, perception, decision-making and learning. Here, we report dynamic changes in prefrontal neuronal noise correlations at multiple time-scales, as a function of task contingencies. Specifically, we record neuronal activity from the macaque frontal eye fields, a cortical region at the source of spatial attention top-down control, while the animals are engaged in tasks of varying cognitive demands. First, we show that noise correlations decrease as cognitive engagement and task demands increase, both across tasks and within-trials. Second, we demonstrate, for the first time, rhythmic modulations of noise correlations in the alpha and beta frequency ranges that account both for overt behavioral performance and for layer specific modulations in spike-field coherence. All this taken together demonstrates a strong functional role of noise correlations in cognitive flexibility.


2010 ◽  
Vol 77 (3) ◽  
pp. 221-221
Author(s):  
Jordi Costa-Faidella ◽  
Sabine Grimm ◽  
Lavinia Slabu ◽  
Francisco Díaz-Santaella ◽  
Carles Escera

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Liang ◽  
◽  
Daniele J. Cherniak ◽  
Chenguang Sun

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1163 ◽  
Author(s):  
Melissa Bedinger ◽  
Lindsay Beevers ◽  
Lila Collet ◽  
Annie Visser

Climate change is a product of the Anthropocene, and the human–nature system in which we live. Effective climate change adaptation requires that we acknowledge this complexity. Theoretical literature on sustainability transitions has highlighted this and called for deeper acknowledgment of systems complexity in our research practices. Are we heeding these calls for ‘systems’ research? We used hydrohazards (floods and droughts) as an example research area to explore this question. We first distilled existing challenges for complex human–nature systems into six central concepts: Uncertainty, multiple spatial scales, multiple time scales, multimethod approaches, human–nature dimensions, and interactions. We then performed a systematic assessment of 737 articles to examine patterns in what methods are used and how these cover the complexity concepts. In general, results showed that many papers do not reference any of the complexity concepts, and no existing approach addresses all six. We used the detailed results to guide advancement from theoretical calls for action to specific next steps. Future research priorities include the development of methods for consideration of multiple hazards; for the study of interactions, particularly in linking the short- to medium-term time scales; to reduce data-intensivity; and to better integrate bottom–up and top–down approaches in a way that connects local context with higher-level decision-making. Overall this paper serves to build a shared conceptualisation of human–nature system complexity, map current practice, and navigate a complexity-smart trajectory for future research.


2021 ◽  
Vol 40 (9) ◽  
pp. 2139-2154
Author(s):  
Caroline E. Weibull ◽  
Paul C. Lambert ◽  
Sandra Eloranta ◽  
Therese M. L. Andersson ◽  
Paul W. Dickman ◽  
...  

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document