Government Investment Programmes in the Open-Economy Case

Author(s):  
Mario Baldassarri
2009 ◽  
Vol 59 (2) ◽  
pp. 119-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Major ◽  
K. Szilágyi

In this article the effects of government infrastructure investment in a small open economy environment are analysed. Apart from enhancing the country’s output directly, government spending on capital — modelled here as development of public infrastructure — creates positive externalities in the production process of the private sector. Short- and long-run effects of ambitious development programs, depending on the source of financing (transfers or loans from abroad), are addressed. The empirical relevance of the quantitative conclusions to be derived from the present stylised form of the model is admittedly limited. However, the qualitative conclusions can add some new insights and contribute to the lively debate on the expected effects of government investments and EU transfers on macroeconomic development.


2020 ◽  
Vol 93 ◽  
pp. 620-641
Author(s):  
Rónán Hickey ◽  
Matija Lozej ◽  
Diarmaid Smyth

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiluf Techane Gidey ◽  
Naser Yenus Nuru

PurposeGovernment spending has inconclusive effect on real exchange rate. From the very beginning neoclassical economists argued that a rise in government spending brings depreciation in real exchange rate while neo-Keynesians claimed that government spending appreciates real exchange rate. Hence, the main purpose of this paper is to examine the effect of government spending shock and its components' shocks, namely government consumption and government investment on real exchange rate over the period 2001Q1–2016Q1 for Ethiopia.Design/methodology/approachTo examine the effects of government spending shocks on real exchange rate, Jordà's (2005) local projection method is employed in this study. The exogenous shocks, however, are identified recursively in a vector autoregressive model.FindingsThe impulse responses show that government spending shock leads to a statistically significant appreciation of real exchange rate in Ethiopia. This evidence supports the neo-Keynesian school of thought who predicts an appreciation of real exchange rate from a rise in government spending. While government investment shock depreciates real exchange rate on impact insignificantly, government consumption shock appreciates real exchange rate in this small open economy.Originality/valueThis research contributes to the scarce literature on the effect of fiscal policy shock on real exchange rate in small open economies like Ethiopia.


2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 159-174
Author(s):  
Aleš Michl

Abstract We show an example of a small open economy – the Czech Republic – where the fiscal restriction was put in place between 2010 and 2013 in a negative output gap and zero lower bound on nominal interest rates. According to our results, such fiscal policy seems to have been mistaken, as the restriction may apparently have caused a second recession in the Czech Republic in 2012/2013 (after the global recession in 2008/2009). Instead of the dynamic stochastic general equilibrium approach (DSGE), we applied a tractable static deterministic partial equilibrium approach using the IS-LM framework. We derived mathematically from the IS-LM model that expansionary fiscal policy acting via higher government investment can be an appropriate tool for reacting to a crisis in the very short run when interest rates hit the zero lower bound. Expansionary fiscal policy after the 2008/2009 crisis would probably have led to faster stabilisation of the Czech economy. We simulate a potential increase in government investment of 8% yearly between 2011 and 2013. This would have added 0.4 pp to GDP growth and increased the inflation rate by about 0.5 pp. Hence, the inflation outlook in 2013 would not have been negative and would consequently have led to less pressure for monetary policy expansion using unconventional interventions against the Czech koruna.


2007 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 318-346
Author(s):  
SANTANU CHATTERJEE

The choice between private and government provision of a productive public good like infrastructure (public capital) is examined in the context of an endogenously growing open economy. The accumulation of public capital need not require government provision, in contrast to the standard assumption in the literature. Even with an efficient government, the relative costs and benefits of government and private provision depend crucially on the economy's underlying structural conditions and borrowing constraints in international capital markets. Countries with limited substitution possibilities and large production externalities may benefit from governments encouraging private provision of public capital through targeted investment subsidies. By contrast, countries with flexible substitution possibilities and relatively smaller externalities may benefit either from governments directly providing public capital or from regulation of private providers. The transitional dynamics also are shown to depend on the underlying elasticity of substitution and the size of the production externality.


2002 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-78
Author(s):  
S. Çiftçioğlu

The paper analyses the long-run (steady-state) output and price stability of a small, open economy which adopts a “crawling-peg” type of exchange-rate regime in the presence of various kinds of random shocks. Analytical and simulation results suggest that with the exception of money demand shocks, an exchange rate policy which involves a relatively higher rate of indexation of the exchange rate to price level is likely to lead to the worsening of price stability for all types of shocks. On the other hand, the impact of adopting such a policy on output stability depends on the type of the shock; for policy shocks to the exchange rate and shocks to output demand, output stability is worsened whereas for the shocks to risk premium of domestic assets, supply price of domestic output and the wage rate, better output stability is achieved in the long run.


2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kempe Ronald Hope

Countries with positive per capita real growth are characterised by positive national savings—including government savings, increases in government investment, and strong increases in private savings and investment. On the other hand, countries with negative per capita real growth tend to be characterised by declines in savings and investment. During the past several decades, Kenya’s emerging economy has undergone many changes and economic performance has been epitomised by periods of stability, decline, or unevenness. This article discusses and analyses the record of economic performance and public finance in Kenya during the period 1960‒2010, as well as policies and other factors that have influenced that record in this emerging economy. 


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