Uncertainty Quantification for Subsurface Flow Problems Using Coarse-Scale Models

2011 ◽  
pp. 163-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis J. Durlofsky ◽  
Yuguang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Uncertainty Quantification ◽  
Subsurface Flow ◽  
Coarse Scale ◽  
Flow Problems ◽  
Scale Models

Survival analysis at multiple scales for the modeling of track geometry deterioration

2017 ◽  
Vol 232 (3) ◽  
pp. 842-850 ◽  
Author(s):  
Negin Alemazkoor ◽  
Conrad J Ruppert ◽  
Hadi Meidani
Keyword(s):  
Survival Analysis ◽  
Multiple Scales ◽  
Fine Scale ◽  
Coarse Scale ◽  
Track Geometry ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Scale Models ◽  
Optimal Maintenance ◽  
Maintenance Decisions

Defects in track geometry have a notable impact on the safety of rail transportation. In order to make the optimal maintenance decisions to ensure the safety and efficiency of railroads, it is necessary to analyze the track geometry defects and develop reliable defect deterioration models. In general, standard deterioration models are typically developed for a segment of track. As a result, these coarse-scale deterioration models may fail to predict whether the isolated defects in a segment will exceed the safety limits after a given time period or not. In this paper, survival analysis is used to model the probability of exceeding the safety limits of the isolated defects. These fine-scale models are then used to calculate the probability of whether each segment of the track will require maintenance after a given time period. The model validation results show that the prediction quality of the coarse-scale segment-based models can be improved by exploiting information from the fine-scale defect-based deterioration models.

scholarly journals A Novel Boundary-Type Meshless Method for Modeling Geofluid Flow in Heterogeneous Geological Media

Geofluids ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing-En Xiao ◽  
Cheng-Yu Ku ◽  
Chih-Yu Liu ◽  
Wei-Chung Yeih
Keyword(s):  
Free Surface ◽  
Meshless Method ◽  
Numerical Solutions ◽  
Domain Decomposition Method ◽  
Subsurface Flow ◽  
Test Problems ◽  
Pressure Potential ◽  
Trefftz Method ◽  
Flow Problems ◽  
Boundary Type

A novel boundary-type meshless method for modeling geofluid flow in heterogeneous geological media was developed. The numerical solutions of geofluid flow are approximated by a set of particular solutions of the subsurface flow equation which are expressed in terms of sources located outside the domain of the problem. This pioneering study is based on the collocation Trefftz method and provides a promising solution which integrates the T-Trefftz method and F-Trefftz method. To deal with the subsurface flow problems of heterogeneous geological media, the domain decomposition method was adopted so that flux conservation and the continuity of pressure potential at the interface between two consecutive layers can be considered in the numerical model. The validity of the model is established for a number of test problems. Application examples of subsurface flow problems with free surface in homogenous and layered heterogeneous geological media were also carried out. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed method is highly accurate and computationally efficient. The results also reveal that it has great numerical stability for solving subsurface flow with nonlinear free surface in layered heterogeneous geological media even with large contrasts in the hydraulic conductivity.

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