STBM+: Advanced Stochastic Trading Behavior Model for Financial Markets using Residual Blocks or Transformers

Author(s):  
Masanori Hirano ◽  
Kiyoshi Izumi ◽  
Hiroki Sakaji
Author(s):  
WEI ZHANG ◽  
GEN LI ◽  
XIONG XIONG ◽  
YONG JIE ZHANG

Investors with different trading strategies can be viewed as different "species" in financial markets. Since the asset price is ultimately determined by the individual trading decisions, the combination and evolution of different trader species in financial market ecology will have great impact to the price dynamics. Considering the limitations and shortcomings of traditional analytical approaches in financial economics in dealing with this issue, an agent-based computational model is introduced in this paper. With the co-existence of 3-type trader species that make different decisions based on their own beliefs and constrains, it is found that although rational speculation destabilizes the price process with the presence of positive feedback strategy, as suggested in the literature, introducing extra noise trading behavior to the market will make the price process back to a more stationary situation, meaning that the market will be healthier if more diversified trader species co-exist in the markets.


2019 ◽  
Vol 64 (05) ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
KUN LI

As the most influential regulation in 2016, China launched circuit breakers in the financial markets. However, the circuit breaker mechanism was implemented for only four days and then suspended. Many criticisms then stated that circuit breakers impeded trading behavior in Chinese financial markets. This study explores this short-life circuit breaker mechanism in China, and examines whether circuit breakers impede trading behavior in Chinese financial markets as many criticisms stated. We use an intraday dataset and investigate the circuit breakers. Contrary to those criticisms, we find that circuit breakers are not easily reachable and have no “magnet effect” between two thresholds of breakers. We also find that without protection of circuit breakers, potential large market fluctuations will have negative impacts on individual stocks’ liquidity and value. As the major contribution, our study indicates that Chinese financial markets still need a circuit breaker mechanism to protect investors’ benefits and maintain the market liquidity and stability.


2013 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Preis ◽  
Helen Susannah Moat ◽  
H. Eugene Stanley

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document