scholarly journals Historical and future climates over the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin simulated by a regional climate model in CORDEX

Author(s):  
Xuejia Wang ◽  
Deliang Chen ◽  
Guojin Pang ◽  
Xiaohua Gou ◽  
Meixue Yang

AbstractDespite the importance of the Yellow River to China, climate change for the middle reaches of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) has been investigated far less than for other regions. This work focuses on future changes in mean and extreme climate of the YRB for the near-term (2021–2040), mid-term (2041–2060), and far-term (2081–2100) future, and assesses these with respect to the reference period (1986–2005) using the latest REgional MOdel (REMO) simulations, driven by three global climate models (GCMs) and assuming historical and future [Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6 and 8.5] forcing scenarios, over the CORDEX East Asia domain at 0.22° horizontal resolution. The results show that REMO reproduces the historical mean climate state and selected extreme climate indices reasonably well, although some cold and wet biases exist. Increases in mean temperature are strongest for the far-term in winter, with an average increase of 5.6 °C under RCP 8.5. As expected, the future temperatures of the warmest day (TXx) and coldest night (TNn) increase and the number of frost days (FD) declines considerably. Changes to mean temperature and FD depend on elevation, which could be explained by the snow-albedo feedback. A substantial increase in precipitation (34%) occurs in winter under RCP 8.5 for the far-term. Interannual variability in precipitation is projected to increase, indicating a future climate with more extreme events compared to that of today. Future daily precipitation intensity and maximum 5-day precipitation would increase and the number of consecutive dry days would decline under RCP 8.5. The results highlight that pronounced warming at high altitudes and more intense rainfall could cause increased future flood risk in the YRB, if a high GHG emission pathway is realized.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuejia Wang ◽  
Deliang Chen ◽  
Guojin Pang ◽  
Meixue Yang

<p>Despite the importance of the Yellow River to China, regional climate change over the middle reach of the Yellow River Basin (YRB) is much less assessed than other regions. This work focuses on historical and future spatiotemporal changes in mean and extreme temperature and precipitation over the upper and middle reaches of the YRB. The future mean and extreme climates for near-term (2021−2040), mid-term (2041−2060), and far-term (2081−2100) in relation to the historical (1976−2005) period are investigated based on the latest REgional MOdel (REMO). REMO driven by three CMIP5 GCMs under historical and future (RCP 2.6 and 8.5) forcings, following the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) protocol for the East Asia domain at a spatial resolution of 0.22°, are provided by the Climate Service Center Germany (GERICS). The results show that REMO reproduces the historical mean climate state and six selected climate extreme indices reasonably well, although cold and wet biases still exist. For the far-term, mean temperature rise in winter is most remarkable, with an average of 5.9 °C under RCP8.5. As expected, future temperatures of the warmest day and the coldest night would increase and the number of frost days (FD) would decline considerably. Further, high altitude region would experience a higher mean temperature increase than low altitude region, which is likely caused by the snow-albedo feedback. The decline in FD would increase with elevation, especially under a higher emission. A substantial precipitation increase (32%) would occur in winter under RCP8.5 for the far-term period. Precipitation projections in summer and autumn vary spatially, decrease under RCP2.6 whereas increase under RCP8.5 in the whole YRB for the far-term period. Meanwhile, interannual variability of mean precipitation is expected to increase over most parts of the YRB. Future precipitation extremes, such as the daily intensity and maximum five-day precipitation are projected to increase, and the number of consecutive dry days would decline by the end of the 21st century under the RCP8.5 scenario. The results highlight that the pronounced warming in the high-altitude region together with more intense rainfall extremes could lead to increased future flood risk in the middle and lower reaches of the YRB if the high GHGs emission pathway will be followed.</p>


Water Nepal ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinxia Wang ◽  
Zhigang Xu ◽  
Jikun Huang ◽  
Scott Rozelle

Agronomy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 271
Author(s):  
Jing Chen ◽  
Liantao Liu ◽  
Zhanbiao Wang ◽  
Hongchun Sun ◽  
Yongjiang Zhang ◽  
...  

The objective of this study was to assess the impacts of nitrogen on the physiological characteristics of the source–sink system of upper fruiting branches under various amounts of nitrogen fertilization. A two-year field experiment was conducted with a Bt cotton cultivar in the Yellow River Basin of China. The growth and yield of cotton of the upper fruiting branches were compared under four nitrogen levels: Control (N0, 0 kg ha−1), low nitrogen (N1, 120 kg ha−1), moderate nitrogen (N2, 240 kg ha−1), and high nitrogen (N3, 480 kg ha−1). The results indicated that in the subtending leaves in upper fruiting branches, chlorophyll content, protein content, and peroxidase (POD) activity dramatically increased with nitrogen application, reaching the highest under the moderate nitrogen treatment. The physiological characters in the seeds had the same trends as in the subtending leaves. Furthermore, the moderate nitrogen rate (240 kg ha−1) had a favorable yield and quality. Our results supported that a moderate nitrogen rate (240 kg ha−1) could coordinate the source–sink growth of cotton in the late stage, enhance the yield and fiber quality, and decrease the cost of fertilizer in the Yellow River Basin of China and other similar ecological areas.


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