Coupling high-resolution precipitation forecasts and discharge predictions to evaluate the impact of spatial uncertainty in numerical weather prediction model outputs

2008 ◽  
Vol 102 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 37-62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tommaso Diomede ◽  
Chiara Marsigli ◽  
Fabrizio Nerozzi ◽  
Paola Papetti ◽  
Tiziana Paccagnella
2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Caren Marzban ◽  
Corinne Jones ◽  
Ning Li ◽  
Scott Sandgathe

Abstract. Many physics-based numerical models produce a gridded, spatial field of forecasts, e.g., a temperature "map". However, the field for some quantities such as precipitation generally consists of spatially coherent and disconnected "objects". Certain features of these objects (e.g., number, size, and intensity) are generally of interest. Here, a methodology is developed for assessing the impact of model parameters on features of forecast objects. Although, in principle, the objects can be defined by any means, here they are identified via clustering algorithms. The methodology is demonstrated on precipitation forecasts from a mesoscale numerical weather prediction model.


2020 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 83-111
Author(s):  
Martin Imrišek ◽  
Mária Derková ◽  
Juraj Janák

This paper discusses the in near–real time processing of Global Navigation Satellite System observations at the Department of Theoretical Geodesy at the Slovak University of Technology in Bratislava. Hourly observations from Central Europe are processed with 30 minutes delay to provide tropospheric products. The time series and maps of tropospheric products over Slovakia are published online. Zenith total delay is the most important tropospheric parameter. Its comparison with zenith total delays from IGS and E–GVAP solutions and the validation of estimated zenith total delay error over year 2018 have been made. Zenith total delays are used to improve initial conditions of numerical weather prediction model by the means of the three–dimensional variational analysis at Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute. The impact of assimilation of different observation types into numerical weather prediction model is discussed. The case study was performed to illustrate the impact of zenith total delay assimilation on the precipitation forecast.


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