Trend direction changes of Turkish temperature series in the first half of 1990s

2014 ◽  
Vol 121 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 23-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Dogan ◽  
Asli Ulke ◽  
Hikmet Kerem Cigizoglu
2021 ◽  
Vol 165 (1-2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dario Camuffo ◽  
Antonio della Valle ◽  
Francesca Becherini

Climate ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 119
Author(s):  
Pitshu Mulomba Mukadi ◽  
Concepción González-García

Time series of mean monthly temperature and total monthly precipitation are two of the climatic variables most easily obtained from weather station records. There are many studies analyzing historical series of these variables, particularly in the Spanish territory. In this study, the series of these two variables in 47 stations of the provincial capitals of mainland Spain were analyzed. The series cover time periods from the 1940s to 2013; the studies reviewed in mainland Spain go up to 2008. ARIMA models were used to represent their variation. In the preliminary phase of description and identification of the model, a study to detect possible trends in the series was carried out in an isolated manner. Significant trends were found in 15 of the temperature series, and there were trends in precipitation in only five of them. The results obtained for the trends are discussed with reference to those of other, more detailed studies in the different regions, confirming whether the same trend was maintained over time. With the ARIMA models obtained, 12-month predictions were made by measuring errors with the observed data. More than 50% of the series of both were modeled. Predictions with these models could be useful in different aspects of seasonal job planning, such as wildfires, pests and diseases, and agricultural crops.


Author(s):  
Rodney J. Baxter

We consider the anisotropic Ising model on the triangular lattice with finite boundaries, and use Kaufman’s spinor method to calculate low-temperature series expansions for the partition function to high order. From these, we can obtain 108-term series expansions for the bulk, surface and corner free energies. We extrapolate these to all terms and thereby conjecture the exact results for each. Our results agree with the exactly known bulk-free energy and with Cardy and Peschel’s conformal invariance predictions for the dominant behaviour at criticality. For the isotropic case, they also agree with Vernier and Jacobsen’s conjecture for the 60 ° corners.


1995 ◽  
Vol 09 (24) ◽  
pp. 1589-1594
Author(s):  
M. TIWARI ◽  
R. A. SINGH

The effect of hole–spin coupling together with spin distortion on the energy and hole correlation function have been studied in detail. Standard Green function theory and Low Temperature Series Expansion method have been utilised to get analytical results.


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