Trees on the move: using decision theory to compensate for climate change at the regional scale in forest social-ecological systems

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (5) ◽  
pp. 1427-1437 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Benito-Garzón ◽  
Bruno Fady ◽  
Hendrik Davi ◽  
Natalia Vizcaíno-Palomar ◽  
Juan Fernández-Manjarrés
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Decision Theory ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological

scholarly journals Measuring the vulnerability of marine social-ecological systems: a prerequisite for the identification of climate change adaptations

2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah J. Metcalf ◽  
Elizabeth I. van Putten ◽  
Stewart Frusher ◽  
Nadine A. Marshall ◽  
Malcolm Tull ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological

scholarly journals Droughts and governance impacts on water scarcity: an~analysis in the Brazilian semi-arid

2015 ◽  
Vol 369 ◽  
pp. 129-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. C. S. Silva ◽  
C. O. Galvão ◽  
G. N. S. Silva
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Management ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Extreme Events ◽  
Water Scarcity ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Drought Event ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological ◽  
Semi Arid

Abstract. Extreme events are part of climate variability. Dealing with variability is still a challenge that might be increased due to climate change. However, impacts of extreme events are not only dependent on their variability, but also on management and governance. In Brazil, its semi-arid region is vulnerable to extreme events, especially droughts, for centuries. Actually, other Brazilian regions that have been mostly concerned with floods are currently also experiencing droughts. This article evaluates how a combination between climate variability and water governance might affect water scarcity and increase the impacts of extreme events on some regions. For this evaluation, Ostrom's framework for analyzing social-ecological systems (SES) was applied. Ostrom's framework is useful for understanding interactions between resource systems, governance systems and resource users. This study focuses on social-ecological systems located in a drought-prone region of Brazil. Two extreme events were selected, one in 1997–2000, when Brazil's new water policy was very young, and the other one in 2012–2015. The analysis of SES considering Ostrom's principle "Clearly defined boundaries" showed that deficiencies in water management cause the intensification of drought's impacts for the water users. The reasons are more related to water management and governance problems than to drought event magnitude or climate change. This is a problem that holdup advances in dealing with extreme events.

scholarly journals Restoring our senses, restoring the Earth. Fostering imaginative capacities through the arts for envisioning climate transformations

Elem Sci Anth ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Diego Galafassi ◽  
J. David Tàbara ◽  
María Heras
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Assessment Process ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Average Temperature ◽  
Social Ecological ◽  
The Earth ◽  
The Arts ◽  
Funded Project ◽  
Current Governance

Humanity has never lived in a world of global average temperature above two degrees of current levels. Moving towards such High-End Climate Change (HECC) futures presents fundamental challenges to current governance structures and involves the need to confront high uncertainties, non-linear dynamics and multiple irreversibilities in global social-ecological systems. In order to face HECC, imaginative practices able to support multiple ways of learning about and experiencing the future are necessary. In this article we analysed a set of arts-based activities conducted within the five-year EU-funded project IMPRESSIONS aimed at identifying transformative strategies to high-end climate change. The exploratory artistic activities were carried out alongside a science-led participatory integrated assessment process with stakeholders from the Iberian Peninsula. Our arts-based approach combined a range of performative, visual and reflexive practices with the ambition to reach out to more-than-rational but also practical elements of HECC futures. Our study suggests that the arts-based approach helped to bring out new ways of seeing, feeling and interpreting the world which may support the development of individual and collective sensibilities needed to address HECC.

scholarly journals Environmental Scenario Analysis on Natural and Social-Ecological Systems: A Review of Methods, Approaches and Applications

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (18) ◽  
pp. 7542 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noelia Guaita García ◽  
Julia Martínez Fernández ◽  
Carl Fitz
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Distributed Models ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological ◽  
Use Of Models

Scenario analysis is a useful tool to facilitate discussions about the main trends of future change and to promote the understanding of global environmental changes implications on relevant aspects of sustainability. In this paper, we reviewed 294 articles published between 1995–2019, to evaluate the state of the art use of models and scenarios to investigate the effects of land use change and climate change on natural and social-ecological systems. Our review focuses on three issues. The first explores the extent to which the environmental dynamics of land use and climate change were jointly analyzed and the spatial scales associated with such integrated studies. The second explores the modelling methodologies and approaches used in the scenario analysis. The third explores the methods for developing or building scenarios. Results show that in most predictions there is little integration of key drivers of change. We find most forecasting studies use a sectoral modelling approach through dynamic spatially distributed models. Most articles do not apply a participatory approach in the development of scenarios. Based on this review, we conclude that there are some gaps in how scenario analysis on natural and social-ecological systems are conducted. These gaps pose a challenge for the use of models and scenarios as predictive tools in decision-making processes in the context of global change.

The challenge of adapting marine social–ecological systems to the additional stress of climate change

2010 ◽  
Vol 2 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 356-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
R Ian Perry ◽  
Rosemary E Ommer ◽  
Manuel Barange ◽  
Francisco Werner
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Additional Stress ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological

scholarly journals Integrated Modeling to Evaluate Climate Change Impacts on Coupled Social-Ecological Systems in Alaska

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Babcock Hollowed ◽  
Kirstin Kari Holsman ◽  
Alan C. Haynie ◽  
Albert J. Hermann ◽  
Andre E. Punt ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Integrated Modeling ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological

scholarly journals A framework for understanding climate change impacts on coral reef social–ecological systems

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 1133-1146 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua Eli Cinner ◽  
Morgan Stuart Pratchett ◽  
Nicholas Anthony James Graham ◽  
Vanessa Messmer ◽  
Mariana Menezes Prata Bezerra Fuentes ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Coral Reef ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological Systems ◽  
Social Ecological
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