scholarly journals Fast nonlinear risk assessment for autonomous vehicles using learned conditional probabilistic models of agent futures

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ashkan Jasour ◽  
Xin Huang ◽  
Allen Wang ◽  
Brian C. Williams
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 401-415
Author(s):  
Xuanpeng Li ◽  
Lifeng Zhu ◽  
Qifan Xue ◽  
Dong Wang ◽  
Yongjie Jessica Zhang

AbstractPrediction of the likely evolution of traffic scenes is a challenging task because of high uncertainties from sensing technology and the dynamic environment. It leads to failure of motion planning for intelligent agents like autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we propose a fluid-inspired model to estimate collision risk in road scenes. Multi-object states are detected and tracked, and then a stable fluid model is adopted to construct the risk field. Objects’ state spaces are used as the boundary conditions in the simulation of advection and diffusion processes. We have evaluated our approach on the public KITTI dataset; our model can provide predictions in the cases of misdetection and tracking error caused by occlusion. It proves a promising approach for collision risk assessment in road scenes.


Author(s):  
В.М. Безденежных ◽  
Л.Х. Боташева ◽  
Д.Ф. Ализада

В статье исследуются методики оценки рисков аграрного сектора экономики на основе вероятностных моделей, учитывающих особенности самих рисков и размеры потерь сельскохозяйственной продукции. Показано, что два различных по своей сути методических подхода (принципа пропорции Парето и критерий оптимальности Парето) моделирования могут хорошо дополнять друг друга, создавая статическую картину события и динамический ряд ее изменений. The article explores methods of assessing risks of the agricultural sector of the economy on the basis of probabilistic models, taking into account the peculiarities of risks themselves and the size of losses of agricultural products. It is two different methodological approaches (the Pareto proportion principle and the Pareto optimality criterion) of modeling as complement each other, creating a static picture of the event and a dynamic series of its changes.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Swarn Singh Rathour ◽  
Tasuku Ishigooka ◽  
Satoshi Otsuka ◽  
RAUL MARTIN

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 791-811 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Assunção ◽  
M.J. Silva ◽  
P. Alvito

Most fungi are able to produce several mycotoxins simultaneously and, consequently, to contaminate a wide variety of foodstuffs. Therefore, the risk of human co-exposure to multiple mycotoxins is real, raising a growing concern about their potential impact on human health. Besides, government and industry regulations are usually based on individual toxicities, and do not take into account the complex dynamics associated with interactions between co-occurring groups of mycotoxins. The present work assembles, for the first time, the challenges posed by the likelihood of human co-exposure to these toxins and the possibility of interactive effects occurring after absorption, towards knowledge generation to support a more accurate human risk assessment. Regarding hazard assessment, a physiologically-based framework is proposed in order to infer the health effects from exposure to multiple mycotoxins in food, including knowledge on the bioaccessibility, toxicokinetics and toxicodynamics of single and combined toxins. The prioritisation of the most relevant mixtures to be tested under experimental conditions that attempt to mimic human exposure and the use of adequate mathematical approaches to evaluate interactions, particularly concerning the combined genotoxicity, were identified as the main challenges for hazard assessment. Regarding exposure assessment, the need of harmonised food consumption data, availability of multianalyte methods for mycotoxin quantification, management of left-censored data, use of probabilistic models and multibiomarker approaches are highlighted, in order to develop a more precise and realistic exposure assessment. To conclude, further studies on hazard and exposure assessment of multiple mycotoxins, using harmonised methodologies, are crucial towards an improvement of data quality and a more reliable and robust risk characterisation, which is central for risk management and, consequently, to prevent mycotoxins-associated adverse effects. A deep understanding of the nature of interactions between multiple mycotoxins will contribute to draw real conclusions on the health impact of human exposure to mycotoxin mixtures.


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