scholarly journals LCA capability roadmap—product system model description and revision

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (8) ◽  
pp. 1685-1692 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brandon Kuczenski ◽  
Antonino Marvuglia ◽  
Miguel F. Astudillo ◽  
Wesley W. Ingwersen ◽  
M. Barclay Satterfield ◽  
...  
2010 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-141 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. F. Tjiputra ◽  
K. Assmann ◽  
M. Bentsen ◽  
I. Bethke ◽  
O. H. Otterå ◽  
...  

Abstract. We developed a complex Earth system model by coupling terrestrial and oceanic carbon cycle components into the Bergen Climate Model. For this study, we have generated two model simulations (one with climate change inclusions and the other without) to study the large scale climate and carbon cycle variability as well as its feedback for the period 1850–2100. The simulations are performed based on historical and future IPCC CO2 emission scenarios. Globally, a pronounced positive climate-carbon cycle feedback is simulated by the terrestrial carbon cycle model, but smaller signals are shown by the oceanic counterpart. Over land, the regional climate-carbon cycle feedback is highlighted by increased soil respiration, which exceeds the enhanced production due to the atmospheric CO2 fertilization effect, in the equatorial and northern hemisphere mid-latitude regions. For the ocean, our analysis indicates that there are substantial temporal and spatial variations in climate impact on the air-sea CO2 fluxes. This implies feedback mechanisms act inhomogeneously in different ocean regions. In the North Atlantic subpolar gyre, the simulated future cooling of SST improves the CO2 gas solubility in seawater and, hence, reduces the strength of positive climate carbon cycle feedback in this region. In most ocean regions, the changes in the Revelle factor is dominated by changes in surface pCO2, and not by the warming of SST. Therefore, the solubility-associated positive feedback is more prominent than the buffer capacity feedback. In our climate change simulation, the retreat of Southern Ocean sea ice due to melting allows an additional ~20 Pg C uptake as compared to the simulation without climate change.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 3159-3185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anthony P. Walker ◽  
Ming Ye ◽  
Dan Lu ◽  
Martin G. De Kauwe ◽  
Lianhong Gu ◽  
...  

Abstract. Computer models are ubiquitous tools used to represent systems across many scientific and engineering domains. For any given system, many computer models exist, each built on different assumptions and demonstrating variability in the ways in which these systems can be represented. This variability is known as epistemic uncertainty, i.e. uncertainty in our knowledge of how these systems operate. Two primary sources of epistemic uncertainty are (1) uncertain parameter values and (2) uncertain mathematical representations of the processes that comprise the system. Many formal methods exist to analyse parameter-based epistemic uncertainty, while process-representation-based epistemic uncertainty is often analysed post hoc, incompletely, informally, or is ignored. In this model description paper we present the multi-assumption architecture and testbed (MAAT v1.0) designed to formally and completely analyse process-representation-based epistemic uncertainty. MAAT is a modular modelling code that can simply and efficiently vary model structure (process representation), allowing for the generation and running of large model ensembles that vary in process representation, parameters, parameter values, and environmental conditions during a single execution of the code. MAAT v1.0 approaches epistemic uncertainty through sensitivity analysis, assigning variability in model output to processes (process representation and parameters) or to individual parameters. In this model description paper we describe MAAT and, by using a simple groundwater model example, verify that the sensitivity analysis algorithms have been correctly implemented. The main system model currently coded in MAAT is a unified, leaf-scale enzyme kinetic model of C3 photosynthesis. In the Appendix we describe the photosynthesis model and the unification of multiple representations of photosynthetic processes. The numerical solution to leaf-scale photosynthesis is verified and examples of process variability in temperature response functions are provided. For rapid application to new systems, the MAAT algorithms for efficient variation of model structure and sensitivity analysis are agnostic of the specific system model employed. Therefore MAAT provides a tool for the development of novel or toy models in many domains, i.e. not only photosynthesis, facilitating rapid informal and formal comparison of alternative modelling approaches.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ying Bao ◽  
Zhenya Song ◽  
Fangli Qiao

<p>The First Institute of Oceanography Earth System Model (FIO-ESM) version 2.0 was developed and participated in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). In comparison with FIO-ESM v1.0, all component models of FIO-ESM v2.0 are updated, and their resolutions are fined. In addition to the non-breaking surface wave-induced mixing (Bv), which has also been included in FIO-ESM v1.0, there are three more distinctive physical processes in FIO-ESM v2.0, including the effect of surface wave Stokes drifts on air-sea momentum and heat fluxes, the effect of wave-induce sea spray on air-sea heat fluxes and the effect of sea surface temperature (SST) diurnal cycle on air-sea heat and gas fluxes. The FIO-ESM v2.0 has conducted the CMIP6 Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of Klima (DECK) , historical and futrue scenario experiments. The results of pre-industrial run show the stability of the climate model. The historical simulation of FIO-ESM v2.0 for 1850-2014 is evaluated, including the surface air temperature (SAT), precipitation, SST, Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), etc. The climate changes with respect to SAT and SST global warming and decreasing AMOC are well reproduced by FIO-ESM v2.0. The correlation coefficient of the global annual mean SAT anomaly can reach 0.92 with observations. In particular, the large warm SST bias at the east coast of tropical Pacific from FIO-ESM v1.0, which is a common challenge for all climate models, is dramatically reduced in FIO-ESM v2.0 and the ENSO period within the range of 2-7 years is well reproduced with the largest variation of SST anomalies occurring in boreal winter, which is consistent with observations.</p>


Author(s):  
Shaun Abrahamson ◽  
David Wallace ◽  
Nicola Senin ◽  
Nick Borland

Abstract This paper describes an integrated product design study conducted with Polaroid Corporation for a liquid crystal display video projector, applying a research system called DOME. The services of distributed objects — encapsulating CAE simulations, component catalogs, manufacturing cost models, geometric and configuration models, customer preference models, and environmental life-cycle assessment — are mathematically related to form an integrated product system model. Software objects providing optimization and decision support are also included in the model to create a design tradeoff environment. As such, designers can obtain sales predictions based upon configuration changes and make tradeoffs with other requirements. Benchmarking suggests there would be approximately a 30% increase in the time to fully evaluate the first design configuration due to the overhead of creating the integrated system model. However, the time to fully evaluate subsequent alternatives may be reduced from months to minutes.


2000 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-17 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Petoukhov ◽  
A. Ganopolski ◽  
V. Brovkin ◽  
M. Claussen ◽  
A. Eliseev ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 483-496
Author(s):  
Brandon Kuczenski ◽  
Chris Mutel ◽  
Michael Srocka ◽  
Kelly Scanlon ◽  
Wesley Ingwersen
Keyword(s):  

Author(s):  
Sean N. Brennan

A simplified method of identifying a dynamic model is presented that utilizes explicit and implicit coupling between Bode parameter sensitivities. This focus of this work is the identification, in real-time, of the Cornering Stiffness parameter. This parameter governs the tire-road interaction within the simplified bicycle model description of vehicle chassis dynamics at highway speeds. This novel sensitivity coupling method, discovered earlier as sensitivity invariance in circuit network analysis, explicitly limits the possible parameter gradients of the system model to a very small subspace. By constraining the parameter identification or adaptation to solely this possible subspace, a simplified and efficient parameter identification can be obtained at a reduced computational and modelling cost. Both simulation and experimental implementation on a research vehicle under changing road conditions are presented.


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