Darwin beats malthus: evolutionary anthropology, human capital and the demographic transition

Cliometrica ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katharina Mühlhoff
2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-203
Author(s):  
Muhit Hidayah ◽  
◽  
Joko Triyanto ◽  

The existence of a demographic transition that in the long run has an impact on the population explosion in the productive age and even the population trend shows a growing pattern of population growth in the productive age. It is feared that the number of people of productive age who are not absorbed in employment will eventually become unemployed. Unemployment of productive age will have an impact on the amount of educated unemployment. This study will analyze the demographic, human capital and economic factors behind educated unemployment in Sragen Regency in 2019, from the supply dan demand side. The data used is the raw data of the results of the National Labor Force Survey (SAKERNAS) in Agustus 2019 from the Statistics of Sragen Regency (BPS) with a sample of 602 respondents. The method used is logistic regression analysis. The results showed that the variables age, number of household members, gender, relationship with the head of the household, marital status, Diploma I / II, Diploma III, Diploma IV / S1 and S2 affect the probability of the educated workforce to be unemployed. Meanwhile, the domicile variable does not significantly affect the probability of the educated workforce being unemployed.


2005 ◽  
Vol 95 (3) ◽  
pp. 580-601 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rodrigo R Soares

This paper develops a model where reductions in mortality are the main force behind economic development. The model generates a pattern of changes similar to the demographic transition, where gains in life expectancy at birth are followed by reductions in fertility and increases in the rate of human capital accumulation. The onset of the transition is characterized by a critical level of life expectancy at birth, which marks the movement of the economy from a Malthusian equilibrium to an equilibrium with investments in human capital and the possibility of long-run growth.


2000 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 343-363 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Prskawetz ◽  
G. Steinmann ◽  
G. Feichtinger

2020 ◽  
Vol 86 (2) ◽  
pp. 157-182
Author(s):  
Robert Tamura ◽  
David Cuberes

AbstractA general equilibrium model that characterizes the gap between optimal and equilibrium fertility and investment in human capital is developed. The aggregate production function exhibits increasing returns to population arising from specialization, but households face a quantity–quality trade-off when choosing their fertility and how much education these children receive. We show that equilibrium fertility is too low and investment per child is too high, in contrast to a current planner who internalizes the externality of current fertility on the next generation's productivity. We next introduce mortality of young adults in the model and assume that households have a precautionary demand for children. Human capital investment lowers next generation mortality. This model endogenously generates a demographic transition but, since households do not internalize the negative effects of human capital on mortality, the equilibrium demographic transition takes place many years later than the efficient solution. We show that ${\rm {\cal A}}$-efficient fertility and human capital investment pair can switch; in high-mortality regimes, ${\rm {\cal A}}$-efficient fertility is lower than equilibrium fertility, and ${\rm {\cal A}}$-efficient human capital investment is higher than equilibrium investment. In the zero mortality regime, however, ${\rm {\cal A}}$-efficient fertility exceeds equilibrium fertility, and ${\rm {\cal A}}$-efficient human capital investment is lower than the equilibrium choice.


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