scholarly journals Maximum observed likelihood prediction of future record values

Test ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. 1072-1097 ◽  
Author(s):  
Grigoriy Volovskiy ◽  
Udo Kamps
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Continuous Distribution ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Performance Criteria ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record

AbstractPoint prediction of future upper record values is considered. For an underlying absolutely continuous distribution with strictly increasing cumulative distribution function, the general form of the predictor obtained by maximizing the observed predictive likelihood function is established. The results are illustrated for the exponential, extreme-value and power-function distributions, and the performance of the obtained predictors is compared to that of maximum likelihood predictors on the basis of the mean squared error and the Pitman’s measure of closeness criteria. For exponential and extreme-value distributions, it is shown that under slight restrictions, the maximum observed likelihood predictor outperforms the maximum likelihood predictor in terms of both performance criteria.

Record-Based Estimators for Weibull Distribution

2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (07) ◽  
pp. 1450026 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Teimouri ◽  
Saralees Nadarajah
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Shape Parameter ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Likelihood Estimation ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Likelihood Estimator ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record

Teimouri and Nadarajah [Statist. Methodol.13 (2013) 12–24] considered bias corrected maximum likelihood estimation of the Weibull distribution based on upper record values. Here, we propose an estimator for the Weibull shape parameter based on consecutive upper records. It is shown by simulations that the proposed estimator has less bias and less mean squared error than an estimator due to Soliman et al. [Comput. Statist. Data Anal.51 (2006) 2065–2077] based on all upper records. Also, the proposed estimator can be considered as a good competitor for the maximum likelihood estimator of the shape parameter based on complete data. This is proved by simulations and using a real dataset.

Record values and extreme value distributions

1982 ◽  
Vol 19 (01) ◽  
pp. 233-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. N. Nagaraja
Keyword(s):  
Random Variable ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Canonical Representation ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Extreme Value Distributions ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Lower Record ◽  
Record Value ◽  
Upper Record

The limit distribution of thekth maximum from a random sample of sizenwhenn →∞ is identified as the distribution of thekth lower record value from one of three extreme value distributions. This fact is used in giving a different canonical representation and new proofs of the results of Hall (1978) for this limiting random variable. A characterization of the exponential distribution based on upper record values is given.

Record values and extreme value distributions

1982 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 233-239 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. N. Nagaraja
Keyword(s):  
Random Variable ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Canonical Representation ◽  
Extreme Value ◽  
Extreme Value Distributions ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Lower Record ◽  
Record Value ◽  
Upper Record

The limit distribution of the k th maximum from a random sample of size n when n → ∞ is identified as the distribution of the k th lower record value from one of three extreme value distributions. This fact is used in giving a different canonical representation and new proofs of the results of Hall (1978) for this limiting random variable. A characterization of the exponential distribution based on upper record values is given.

scholarly journals The Type I Generalized Half-Logistic Distribution Based on Upper Record Values

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devendra Kumar ◽  
Neetu Jain ◽  
Shivani Gupta
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Confidence Intervals ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Logistic Distribution ◽  
Type I ◽  
Special Cases ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record ◽  
First Four Moments

We consider the type I generalized half-logistic distribution and derive some new explicit expressions and recurrence relations for marginal and joint moment generating functions of upper record values. Here we show the computations for the first four moments and their variances. Next we show that results for record values of this distribution can be derived from our results as special cases. We obtain the characterization result of this distribution on using the recurrence relation for single moment and conditional expectation of upper record values. We obtain the maximum likelihood estimators of upper record values and their confidence intervals. Also, we compute the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters of upper record values and their confidence intervals. At last, we present one real case data study to emphasize the results of this paper.

scholarly journals Maximum Likelihood Estimations Based on Upper Record Values for Probability Density Function and Cumulative Distribution Function in Exponential Family and Investigating Some of Their Properties

2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 2-27
Author(s):  
Saman Hosseini ◽  
Parviz Nasiri ◽  
Sharad Damodar Gore
Keyword(s):  
Probability Density Function ◽  
Probability Density ◽  
Density Function ◽  
Exponential Family ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Cumulative Distribution ◽  
Ml Estimation ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimations

A useful subfamily of the exponential family is considered. The ML estimation based on upper record values are calculated for the parameter, Cumulative Density Function, and Probability Density Function of the subfamily. The relationship between MLE based on record values and a random sample are discussed, along with some properties of these estimators, and its utility is shown for large samples.

scholarly journals Exact Interval Inference for the Two-Parameter Rayleigh Distribution Based on the Upper Record Values

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-5 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jung-In Seo ◽  
Jae-Woo Jeon ◽  
Suk-Bok Kang
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Estimation Method ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Rayleigh Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record ◽  
Two Parameter

The maximum likelihood method is the most widely used estimation method. On the other hand, it can produce substantial bias, and an approximate confidence interval based on the maximum likelihood estimator cannot be valid when the sample size is small. Because the sizes of the record values are considerably smaller than the original sequence observed in the majority of cases, a method appropriate for this situation is required for precise inference. This paper provides the exact confidence intervals for unknown parameters and exact predictive intervals for the future upper record values by providing some pivotal quantities in the two-parameter Rayleigh distribution based on the upper record values. Finally, the validity of the proposed inference methods was examined from Monte Carlo simulations and real data.

scholarly journals Some Characterizations of the Distribution of the Condition Number of a Complex Gaussian Matrix

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 22-35
Author(s):  
M. Shakil ◽  
M. Ahsanullah
Keyword(s):  
Order Statistics ◽  
Condition Number ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Distributional Properties ◽  
Upper Record Values ◽  
Upper Record

AbstractThe objective of this paper is to characterize the distribution of the condition number of a complex Gaussian matrix. Several new distributional properties of the distribution of the condition number of a complex Gaussian matrix are given. Based on such distributional properties, some characterizations of the distribution are given by truncated moment, order statistics and upper record values.

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