Monte Carlo simulation-aided analytical hierarchy process (AHP) for flood susceptibility mapping in Gabes Basin (southeastern Tunisia)

2017 ◽  
Vol 76 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Noura Dahri ◽  
Habib Abida
Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 364 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matej Vojtek ◽  
Jana Vojteková

Flood susceptibility mapping and assessment is an important element of flood prevention and mitigation strategies because it identifies the most vulnerable areas based on physical characteristics that determine the propensity for flooding. This study aims to define the flood susceptibility zones for the territory of Slovakia using a multi-criteria approach, particularly the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) technique, and geographic information systems (GIS). Seven flood conditioning factors were chosen: hydrography—distance from rivers, river network density; hydrology—flow accumulation; morphometry—elevation, slope; and permeability—curve numbers, lithology. All factors were defined as raster datasets with the resolution of 50 x 50 m. The AHP technique was used to calculate the factor weights. The relative importance of the selected factors prioritized slope degree as the most important factor followed by river network density, distance from rivers, flow accumulation, elevation, curve number, and lithology. It was found that 33.1% of the territory of Slovakia is characterized by very high to high flood susceptibility. The flood susceptibility map was validated against 1513 flood historical points showing very good agreement between the computed susceptibility zones and historical flood events of which 70.9% were coincident with high and very high susceptibility levels, thus confirming the effectiveness of the methodology adopted.


Author(s):  
Samaneh Khazraeian ◽  
Mohammed Hadi

Decisions to invest in alternative intelligent transportation system (ITS) technologies are expected to increase in complexity, particularly with the introduction of connected vehicles (CV) and automated vehicles (AV) in the coming years. Traditional alternative analyses based on deterministic return on investment analysis are unable to capture the risks and uncertainties associated with the investment problem. In addition, these methods cannot account for agency preferences and constraints that cannot be converted to dollar values. This study utilizes a combination of a stochastic return on investment and a multi-criteria decision analysis method referred to as the Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) to select between ITS deployment alternatives considering emerging technologies. The approach is applied in a case study of the selection between using CV data and point detector data to support the freeway traffic data collection and monitoring service. The four objectives specified in the AHP analysis are providing the required functions, providing the required performance, minimizing the risks and constraints, and maximizing the return on investment. A stochastic return-on-investment analysis using a Monte Carlo simulation was used to calculate the return on investment values for input to the AHP method.


Author(s):  
B. Sozer ◽  
S. Kocaman ◽  
H. A. Nefeslioglu ◽  
O. Firat ◽  
C. Gokceoglu

<p><strong>Abstract.</strong> Susceptibility mapping for disasters is very important and provides the necessary means for efficient urban planning, such as site selection and the determination of the regulations, risk assessment and the planning of the post-disaster stage, such as emergency plans and activities. The main purpose of the present study is to introduce the preliminary results of an expert based flood susceptibility mapping approach applied in urban areas in case of Ankara, Turkey. The proposed approach is based on Modified Analytic Hierarchy Process (M-AHP), which is an expert-based algorithm and provides data based modeling. The existing spatial datasets are evaluated in the decision process and the specified number of decision points according to the degree desired can be formed. The parameter priorities can be identified at the beginning of the modeling with this approach by the responsible expert. The spatial datasets used in the modeling and mapping process have been provided by the General Directorate of Mapping (HGM). Additionally, the slope gradient of topography, drainage density, and topographic wetness index of the site being one of the second derivatives of topography have been evaluated to identify the main conditioning factors controlling water accumulation on ground. Considering the uncertainties in flood hazard assessment and limitations in sophisticated analytic solutions, the proposed methodology could be evaluated to be an efficient tool to detect the most influential parameters representing the flood vulnerability and assessing the mitigation applications in urban environment.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (12) ◽  
pp. 720 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kishore Chandra Swain ◽  
Chiranjit Singha ◽  
Laxmikanta Nayak

Flood susceptibility mapping is essential for characterizing flood risk zones and for planning mitigation approaches. Using a multi-criteria decision support system, this study investigated a flood susceptible region in Bihar, India. It used a combination of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP) and geographic information system (GIS)/remote sensing (RS) with a cloud computing API on the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform. Five main flood-causing criteria were broadly selected, namely hydrologic, morphometric, permeability, land cover dynamics, and anthropogenic interference, which further had 21 sub-criteria. The relative importance of each criterion prioritized as per their contribution toward flood susceptibility and weightage was given by an AHP pair-wise comparison matrix (PCM). The most and least prominent flood-causing criteria were hydrologic (0.497) and anthropogenic interference (0.037), respectively. An area of ~3000 sq km (40.36%) was concentrated in high to very high flood susceptibility zones that were in the vicinity of rivers, whereas an area of ~1000 sq km (12%) had very low flood susceptibility. The GIS-AHP technique provided useful insights for flood zone mapping when a higher number of parameters were used in GEE. The majorities of detected flood susceptible areas were flooded during the 2019 floods and were mostly located within 500 m of the rivers’ paths.


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