Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug-associated gastropathy: Incidence and risk factor models

1991 ◽  
Vol 91 (3) ◽  
pp. 213-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
James F. Fries ◽  
Catherine A. Williams ◽  
Daniel A. Bloch ◽  
Beat A. Michel
Author(s):  
Susanne Wallner ◽  
Stemmler Mark ◽  
Jost Reinecke

Psychological- and sociological-criminological research refers to, for example, cumulative risk factor models (e.g., Lösel & Bender, 2003) and Situational Action Theory (SAT; e.g., Wikström, 2006). The German longitudinal study “Chances and Risks in the Life Course“ (research project A2, Collaborative Research Center 882; e.g., Reinecke, Stemmler, & Wittenberg, 2016) focuses upon the development of antisocial behavior from a psychological and sociological point of view. Two-wave panel data of two cohorts (children and adolescents) were utilized to test the power of developmental path models investigating the development of antisocial behavior. Individual risk seems to have both direct and indirect influences on antisocial behavior, supporting the ideas of risk factor models; antisocial behavior might be the outcome of the interaction between propensity and criminogenic exposure, so there is evidence for SAT. Additionally, empathy seems to be related to both propensity and low parental supervision. Implications for the study of antisocial behavior in childhood and adolescence are discussed in line with developmental criminology.


2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 259-287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan Ansari ◽  
Ludger Rüschendorf

AbstractConditionally comonotonic risk vectors have been proved in [4] to yield worst case dependence structures maximizing the risk of the portfolio sum in partially specified risk factor models. In this paper we investigate the question how risk bounds depend on the specification of the pairwise copulas of the risk components Xiwith the systemic risk factor. As basic toolwe introduce a new ordering based on sign changes of the derivatives of copulas. This together with discretization by n-grids and the theory of supermodular transfers allows us to derive concrete ordering criteria for the maximal risks.


Vascular ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-58
Author(s):  
Yutaka Matsubara ◽  
Kentaro Inoue ◽  
Kazuki Mori ◽  
Masato Morita ◽  
Satoshi Takebayashi ◽  
...  

Objectives Type II endoleak is a problem after endovascular abdominal aneurysm repair. Preoperative risk factors for Type II endoleak include anatomical factors in the lumbar artery and inferior mesenteric artery; however, preventable postoperative risk factors are unknown. Postimplantation syndrome is associated with lower incidence of Type II endoleak. Therefore, we focused on inflammation, and our aim was to investigate nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs as a postoperative risk factor for Type II endoleak. Methods This was a retrospective study of patients with aortic aneurysm who underwent endovascular aneurism repair at the Department of Cardiovascular Surgery, Beppu Medical Center, Oita, Japan, from January 2011 to August 2018. Clinical characteristics were retrieved from patients’ medical records and included age, sex, body mass index, smoking history, comorbidities, treatment devices, medications, and perioperative information, including postimplantation syndrome. Postimplantation syndrome was defined as body temperature >38.5°C with 12,000/dL white blood cells or >10.0 mg/dL C-reactive protein. The primary outcome was the presence or absence of Type II endoleak assessed on the first postoperative enhanced computed tomography scan. Risk factors for Type II endoleak were assessed. Results and conclusions: Of the eligible 84 patients, 20 (24%) had Type II endoleak identified in the first enhanced computed tomographic scans after endovascular aneurism repair. Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use (odds ratio (OR): 21.2; 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.5–308.4; P = 0.026), cerebrovascular disease (OR: 7.27; 95% CI: 1.06–49.99; P = 0.044), and body mass index <22 kg/m2 (OR: 17.3; 95% CI: 2.1–141.8; P = 0.008) were independent risk factors for Type II endoleak after endovascular aneurism repair. Comparing the rate of Type II endoleak among patients who did not receive nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair, patients who first used nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs 12–24 h after endovascular aneurism repair, and those who received nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 12 h after endovascular aneurism repair, we found a significant difference among the groups (4%, 18%, 45%, respectively; P = 0.001). Nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug use within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair is a risk factor for Type II endoleak. We should know nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs within 24 h after endovascular aneurism repair can be a risk of Type II endoleak.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-222
Author(s):  
Christian Fieberg ◽  
Armin Varmaz ◽  
Thorsten Poddig

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyze the implications of the risk versus characteristic debate from the perspective of a mean-variance investor. Design/methodology/approach Expected returns and the variance-covariance matrix are estimated based on various characteristic and risk models and evaluated for the purpose of mean-variance portfolios. Findings Return estimates from characteristic models are most informative to investors. Risk-factor models provide the most informative estimates of the risk. A mean-variance investor should rely on combinations of the two model types. Originality/value Although the risk vs characteristic debate is a binary academic debate, our findings from an investor's perspective suggest to make use of the best of both worlds.


Author(s):  
Fernando Henrique Taques ◽  
Nelson Areal ◽  
Leonardo Fernando Cruz Basso

The object of the research is to assess whether organizations’ ability to innovate may be able to explain abnormal returns to firms by composing risk factor models. Using R&D investment indicators and published patents from a global sample of companies for the period 1992 to 2018, the 3-factor, 4-factor and 5-factor risk models were applied. Partly the case is that increased investment in innovation contributes to better sales performance and, consequently, excess returns. Regarding the rolling-regression method, the results show few scenarios in which the ability to innovate is an explanatory factor for financial performance.


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