Time-dependent observables and diabatic curve crossing: a model study

1995 ◽  
Vol 330 (1-3) ◽  
pp. 107-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alessandro Lami ◽  
Giovanni Villani
1997 ◽  
Vol 107 (6) ◽  
pp. 1904-1914 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshiaki Teranishi ◽  
Hiroki Nakamura

1992 ◽  
Vol 96 (5) ◽  
pp. 3613-3623 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jose Campos‐Martinez ◽  
Janet R. Waldeck ◽  
Rob D. Coalson

Author(s):  
Aditya Rajesh ◽  
Haidas Pai ◽  
Victor Roy ◽  
Subhasis Samanta ◽  
Sabyasachi Ghosh

CoVID-19 is spreading throughout the world at an alarming rate. So far it has spread over 200 countries in the whole world. Mathematical modelling of an epidemic like CoVID-19 is always useful for strategic decision making, especially it is very useful to gain some understanding of the future of the epidemic in densely populous countries like India. We use a simple yet effective mathematical model SIR(D) to predict the future of the epidemic in India by using the existing data. We also estimate the effect of lock-down/social isolation via a time-dependent coefficient of the model. The model study with realistic parameters set shows that the epidemic will be at its peak around the end of June or the first week of July with almost 108 Indians most likely being infected if the lock-down relaxed after May 3, 2020. However, the total number of infected population will become one-third of what predicted here if we consider that people only in the red zones (approximately one-third of India's population) are susceptible to the infection. Even in a very optimistic scenario we expect that at least the infected numbers of people will be of the order of 107.


1991 ◽  
Vol 40 (S25) ◽  
pp. 141-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Broeckhove ◽  
B. Feyen ◽  
L. Lathouwers

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